Interviewee: The two associations to Taiwan or maintaining the ＂strategic initiative＂

The Chinese Two Sessions (National People's Congress and the CPPCC Annual Meeting) appeared on Monday (March 4). Regarding the direction of Taiwan's policy on Taiwan this year, the scholars interviewee studied and judged that the government work report should be separatedThe "strategic initiative" general tone; in fact, it will use Sino -US relations to slow down the opportunity period, strengthen the crackdown on Taiwan independence, and make the sea of ​​Taiwan in the Taiwan Strait a new fact.

The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Taiwan's Taiwan Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has always been regarded as a vane of Taiwan's policy vane of the Taiwan Central Committee. Last year, it was held to May in May. This year, it returned to February 22 to 23.After Lai Qingde, who has gone through the Democratic Progressive Party, won the Taiwan election, the two sides of the Strait broke out in succession, The seas of the Xiajin Sea (called Jinxia Sea) over the shipwreck has also attracted much attention from the content of the meeting.

Wang Huning, member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China and chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, described the work of Taiwan in the past year as "forging ahead and making difficulties", and said that it has consolidated and expanded the "one China" pattern of the international community.

Regarding the work of Taiwan this year, Wang Huning proposed that it is necessary to further grasp the "strategic initiative" of fully unified unity, and emphasize that it is necessary to adhere to a Chinese principle and "1992 consensus", promote the peaceful development of cross -strait relations, and promote the unified process of the motherland.

The active of the official media press release has a significant increase in active activeness

Compared with the press release released by the official media after the meeting last year and this year, Wang Huning proposed last year that "resolutely oppose Taiwan independence split activities and external forces interference, and resolutely defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity." This yearTo curb external forces interference ", intensity and initiative increased significantly.

Li Zhenguang, deputy dean of the Taiwan Research Institute of Beijing United University, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the mainland used to be passively counter -control of the Taiwan party in the past. HoweverIncluding strengthening public opinion guidance, clarifying the anti -Taiwan independence forces, and curbing external forces interference.

After the work meeting in Taiwan, the two nationwide sessions will also appear. Premier Li Qiang of the State Council of China will publish a government work report at the opening ceremony of the National People's Congress on March 5. Among themplanning.

Wang Xinxian, a special professor of the East Asia Research Institute of Taiwan Politburo, analyzed this newspaper that the government's work report on the mainland this year should be discussed to Taiwan."More", there will be more actual actions in cracking down on Taiwan independence and curbing external forces.

After the mainland fishing boat turned over in Golden Gate, Beijing implemented a normalized law enforcement in the seas of the Xiamen and Jin as an example.1469821 "Roth = NOFOLLOW TARGET = _Blank> The mainland has prepared these means to promote the seaization of the Taiwan Sea , but it is thrown through the occasional transaction.Both the facts. "

He believes that as the United States enters the presidential election cycle, the Bayeng government will avoid accidents as much as possible, so they are unwilling to take the initiative to involve cross -strait disputes such as routes of M503 and Xiamen and Gold.Under the lack of substantial support in the United States, it is difficult to respond hard;Duan strategic opportunity period, pressing the Taiwan steps to force .

Li Zhenguang also mentioned in an interview that even if the aftermath of the fishermen's death, the mainland will continue to exercise management rights, jurisdiction and governance rights in the relevant sea areas; this management method is likely to be further institutionalized and normalizedEssence

Li Zhenguang pointed out that because Taiwan's past recognition of the 1992 consensus and the same Chinese cross -strait, the two sides could solve the problem through negotiation and negotiation;question.

Just two weeks before the two sessions, the latest survey released by the Election Research Center of Taiwan Politburo showed that the Taiwanese people agreed that their proportion was 2.4%, a new low since 1992;In terms of field trends, the ratio of hopes to maintain the status quo forever reached 33.2%, which also reached a new high since the 1994 investigation.This shows that the cultural identity of the people in Taiwan is significantly different from the mainland, and "not unified" is still the mainstream public opinion.

Scholars: Beijing may take more action to prevent "cultural Taiwan independence"

Wang Xinxian believes that this is why Beijing is very concerned about the "de -China" question, and specially reiterates to promote the common promotion of Chinese culture on both sides of the strait at the work conference on Taiwan.He judged that Beijing may take more actions in preventing "cultural Taiwan independence".

He further pointed out that this work meeting on Taiwan also mentioned the consolidation and expanding the international community's adherence to the "one China" pattern.Wang Yi, director of the Office of the Working Committee, mentioned the announcement of the Cairo Declaration Potsdam's announcement in the Munich Safety Conference, which means that Beijing will further strive for the historical interpretation of the "one China" in the future.

Beijing may strengthen pressure on Taiwan to ensure that Lai Qingde's inauguration speech is cautious

After this two sessions, about two months later, the Lai Qingde government will officially take office on May 20.It is generally believed that during this time, Beijing will strengthen pressure on Taiwan to ensure that Lai Qingde's inaugural speech will not have unexpected content.

In response, Bao Chengke, deputy director of the Shanghai East Asia Research Institute, pointed out in an interview that after Lai Qingde was elected, Taiwan stopped opening a travel agency to go to land.Impression worsen.

Bao Chengke believes that if Lai Qingde wants to improve cross -strait relations and allows the situation to restore peace and stability, he must have a very clear statement on the frozen Taiwan independence party platform.