The Golden Gate overturning case has taken place for 18 days. The Chinese maritime police have continued to patrol the normalized law enforcement inspections in the Golden Sea (Taiwan -called Jinxia Sea). Taiwan officials set this to the gray area.Scholars of interviewees analyzed that these pressures are more likely to further expand in the future. If Taiwan is not prepared in advance, it may face greater pressure.
Since the case of the mainland fishing vessels over two cases of death, since February 14, 11 rounds of consultations on both sides have failed. The mainland maritime police have continued to launch normalized law enforcement inspections in Xiajin Sea, and the pressure on Taiwan is obvious.
Many Taiwanese media have quoted high -level national security claims on Wednesday (February 28) in the evening, saying that mainland China uses it to compress the gray area of Taiwan;Politics, with independent judicial investigations and proper exposure to the response to media community operations, the minimum pressure effect is made.
The so -called gray zone conflict refers to non -traditional security and informal conflicts between war and peace. Common forms include online warfare, false information, exercise siege, economic sanctions, espionage, and maritime militia.Gray zone compression refers to pressure using these conflicts.
Jie Zhong, a researcher at the Taiwan China Strategic Prospective Association, pointed out in an interview with Lianhe Morning Post that the action of the mainland maritime police is of course a part of the gray area, but Beijing's more important goal is to promote the legal war against the Taiwan Strait.At this stage, this incident breaks through the law enforcement power and jurisdiction over the ban on Kinmen, Matsu, and restricts the waters. The next step is believed to expand the scope to the east of the Taiwan Strait midline.
However, in the Golden Gate turning in this time, Taiwan officially announced that the incident process was like "squeezing toothpaste". At first, it only mentioned that the mainland fishing boat snake dealership refused to check.href = "About:/News/China/Story20240222-1469590" R = NOFOLLOW TARGET = _Blank> Only admits that the two ships collide multiple times .
In addition, the Taiwan Maritime Patrol Department refused to make a video on the grounds of investigation.It was announced afterwards.In the end, Taiwan officially changed its mouth, saying that there was no video on the process of driving away from and turning the ship, and the sea cruise boat was not equipped with a full ship surveillance system.
Jiezhong believes that Taiwan has some negligible impact on the response, and the high -level Guoan executives have been fixed for more than ten days after the incident, and it is also a bit late, which has limited effect on condensing public opinion confidence.
He studied and judged that even if the consultation was over, the Lufang Haiqi Police Ship will continue to break through the restriction of restrictions on the restrictions of the waters, and even use the pursuit of the pursuit of the ship to follow the right to the east of the Taiwan Strait.It will increase, and Taiwan must develop various possible response plans now.
However, Su Jihao, assistant professor of the Department of Political Science at the University of Taiwan, and Shen Zhixin, a researcher at the Research Institute of Political Science, Taiwan University of Taiwan. Since November last year, a two -year gray area conflict research plan has been conducted.In the first phase of the situation for the 1500 -person situation, the questionnaire of 1500 people found that if the Taiwanese government has taken strong countermeasures to pressure on the gray area of the mainland, it can indeed enhance the support of the people.
Su Shihao mentioned on Thursday (February 29) at the Political Institute of the Institute of Research of the Academy of Sciences that this phenomenon can also explain why after the PLA's military exercise in August 2022, why did Taiwan Cai Yingwen ask the Ministry of Defense to adopt the necessary and powerful Ministry of Defense to adopt necessary and powerfulThe countermeasures, and the Taiwan government announced that it would stop traveling to the mainland before the Lunar New Year, and counter -in the mainland's ban on the Taiwan delegation's ban.
But why the Taiwan government's response in this Golden Gate turnover incident was relatively low -key. Su Shihao analyzed the Lianhe Zaobao question in the speech and question and answer session. At present, the opposition of the people on both sides of the strait on this matter is very high.One of the reasons.
He believes that in this context, the government should avoid the situation of falling into a deadlock or even wiping a gun to get angry.
