It turns out that the success of the new axis strategy depends entirely on the current military results of the two major occupation range of Wudong's "New Russia" and the "New Ukraine" in Russia, namelyThe Battle of Errsk.This is a decisive battle that changes the overall power balance of Eurasian grasslands.
As soon as international public opinion reported on Hamas's leader Hania, shortly after the death of Hamas, Ukraine launched an unexpected strong counterattack to Kurusk, the western border of Russia on August 6.The face swept the ground, and it also caused a global media to be uproar, which caused the Russian and Ukraine War, which lasted two half a year, and once again became the focus of all parties in the new form and trend.
The core of the incident is neither the long -occupied "New Russia" that Moscow has invaded, nor is the "new Ukraine" captured by Kievros' counterattack.The order restructuring of the sector in the context of the United States, China, and Russia, and regional security for regional security, as well as the power foundation and strategic options of the Eurasia's inland sector and the Indo -Pacific coastal areas.
The essence of war
In essence, the Russian and Ukraine's comprehensive war, which is still being upgraded, is not the "special military operation" implemented by Russian President Putin unilaterally on February 24, 2022, but has long been regarded as a regional special historical event.The Crimean crisis 2014.In other words, the Russian and Ukraine War has continued for 10 years as a whole. The root causes can be traced back to the Crimean crisis. The two major plans of the China Belt and Road and Russia Eurasian Economic Alliances have been released one after another.The special trinity of the United States, Russia, Europe, China, Russia, and the United States and China.
In the final analysis, Gorbachev, the last general secretary of the CPSU, and the first president of the Russian Federation, Yeltsin, are willing to accept the fact that the Soviet Union is disintegrated is not the inevitable history, but that the two believe that it is not possible to get rid of themselves.The geographical burden is the only way for liberation and rebirth.The so -called fire burning or self -destruction of the Great Wall at the level of political and economic levels is nonsense.The independence of the former Soviet Union's joining the Republic has caused Russia to lose its original sphere of influence.On the contrary, politically abandonment and military and economic limited resignation are necessary prerequisites to re -integrate the global economic and trade system centered on the United States. It is also a prerequisite for the promotion and construction of the international multi -rate system for the national political system.It is the only best option with the overall structure of the "Great Eurasian" strategic overall pattern.
Because of this, Gorbachev chose to break the ice of diplomatic ice before the Soviet Union was completely disintegrated, and the strategic focus was focused on the Middle -Eastern European and the coast of the Far East, concentrated to the heart of the Russian Eurasia.The Eurasian Corridor, consolidate its own three -in -one monopoly position (that is, transportation, food production, energy export), and the way to build a traditional land -type multi -pole system axis with Berlin on both sides of the east and west.It may minimize the overall strategic deterrence and influence of the United States on the Eurasian sector.
At the same time, part of the economic opening and political limited freedom can provide short -term guarantees for Moscow's capital and technology required by Moscow in exchange for the needs of foreign defense military systems.Questions, the routes are not separated, the strategy is not confrontation, the identity is not resistant, the history is not denied, and the recognition is not constructed, it is the key to determining whether the future success is or not., Still waiting for the corner of the corner.
The Awakening of Ke Gong
After more than 20 years of economic globalization and stable development, the core of Ku Palace's power under Putin's rule began to realize that it shows that it seems that the relationship between the European and Russian -Russia -Russian -Russian -China triangular axis is the largest.Hidden safety hazards.Regardless of Russia or China, 2001 is a key year for the far -reaching evolution of Eurasia and even international relations. Its geographical strategy is to put on hold and jointly develop. Until 2013, Kazakhstan became a place of advocacy in the Belt and Road Initiative, and Ukraine.Until the revolution of anti -presidential protest protests.
In this process, the establishment of the SCO and the signing of the Treaty of China -Russia's good -neighborly and friendly cooperation treaties.Fundamentally solve the historical problem of the historical division of the land border between China and Russia, only in the form of "solid foundation of the relationship between new powers", according to the treaty period, it is put on hold to 2021 on the eve of the full upgrade of the Russia and Ukraine War, and in the two countries, the two countriesThe joint statement issued by the leader will be automatically extended for five years, which is difficult to predict in 2026.
In order to achieve the "rise of a strong country" in Russian capitalist, the core of the Koyong power that confronts the bipolar in the United States will be the horizontal union between the power of Eurasia's power, and through the unified old -fashioned industrial power, Germany, and joining the worldAfter the trade organization, China joined forces to implement the strategic cooperation of the Trinity "Technical -Resources -Production" to maximize the "Great Wall" of the "System" of its own sphere of influence (that is, the three Eastern European countries, the three South Korean Merchants, China, China, China, China, and China.The Five Asians and Mongolia) were broken one by one and borrowed this strategic window period to make Russia great again. It is hoped that the original republics to join the Republic of the Republic will not continue to weaken.
What Lingk Palace did not expect is that everything is contrary to his wishes. The 30 -year -old Eurasian horizontal axis strategy (EU -Russia -China) has not allowed Russia to rise against the trend in its "institutional Great Wall.Gong Shunlizhang became a pole in the multi -pole world. On the contrary, he was unable to extricate himself in self -consumption.The so -called German -China Trinity Integrity Integration, the Western European -China Triangle Relationships with the Western European -type "restoring Asia -Europe" and the highly consistent geographical interests of the Western European -type "Removal Eurasia" and East Asian -type "restore Asia and Europe" have been seriously underestimated.The geographical function played by Moscow for a long time has been limited to the auxiliary role of "oil and gas carrier" and "railway transport workers", not the core of the core.
Russia's helplessness
As the heir of Yeltsin, Putin is not the maker of the Eurasia's horizontal axis strategy. On the contrary, it has witnessed the insiders and bystanders of the two dynasties of the old Soviet Union and the New Russia.To be precise, Putin, who knows that he is a confidant, is the core backbone of the edge of the edge of the edge of the Soviet Union.The game between Gorbachev and the radical Yeltsin, as well as the red -Russian -style "death" and Belarus "rebirth" that caused but eventually failed.On the other hand, as the core decision -making elite of the new Russian power, in the long -awaited laughter, he has seen his own bruises and crumbling traditional inland grassland empires, and his belongings are unwilling to accept the established empire survivor, andThe worder and peripherals that are far away.Therefore, Putin, who took over Gorbachev's "broken heritage" and Yeltsin's "rotten project", did not allow Russia's great Peter -style strong man again, but could only do his best to delay the two dynasties of Russia's weakness.And to avoid the "unparalleled new Tsar" that the empire disintegrates.
In order to keep it, when facing the China Belt and Road In addition to the "Western Development" strategy, Putin immediately responded to the "Eurasian Economic Union".In contrast, when facing Ukraine's resolutely entered Europe and Soviet -style military technology continuously exporting, Putin did not hesitate to choose to start the Crimean crisis and upgrade the military blows against Ukraine, thereby announcing that it lasted for 30 years in Europe.The Asian Hengxinxin Strategy, the official life is endless, and replaced it with the October and Asian axis strategy (Russia -Islamic World -India) for the Indo -Pacific Eurasia.But it turns out that the success of the new axis strategy depends entirely on the current military results of the two major occupation range of Wudong's "New Russia" and the "New Ukraine" in Russia, that is, the Battle of DonbasField changes the overall right of Eurasian grasslandsBalanced decisive battle.
Author Yerkin Nazarbay is a Scholar of International Relations of Eurasia, Kazakhstan
