Now that in the third year of the Russia -Ukraine War, the United States announced its strong attempt to the world through a comprehensive aid of Ukraine: after the end of the Russian and Ukraine War, the United States will defeat the country with the countryGesture, continue to dominate world order.
The author mentioned in the last article Yisai's conflict stone scissors (Lianhe Zaobao's remarks on April 16) mentioned that the only uncertain variable was from the post -response method from Israel.On April 19, the Israeli cabinet, which followed the principle of "eyes and eyes" of the ancient law, still quickly and accurately crack down on air defense facilities in Iran.But fortunately, the world's backbone is also a Ming card. The action has a clear warning nature, but it is restrained.The Iranian side was unwilling to point the relevant attacks to Israel, conveying the attitude of "so far".
With the offensive and defensive transformation of all parties involved, the fuse of the Middle East War upgraded was lifted, and the tight world financial and capital markets were also breathing.The focus of the chaotic world has returned to the Russian and Ukraine War. The recent headline news is that the Ukrainian military aid bill, which has been delayed for half a year, was finally able to vote in the two houses of the Parliament of the United States.US dollars (about S $ 83 billion) will greatly improve the air defense and long -range strike capacity of the Ukrainian army.The current tendency of the Russian troops to be slightly tended to return to the same potential in the short term.
The details worth noting are: the approval of the relevant bills, thanks to the rare joining of the United States Democratic and Republican members.2024 is the year of the United States election. When the donkey elephant party answered the "Captain America, in the face of the current chaotic world, no matter", the choice question is often based on the consideration of the party's interests and audience support.The contradictions are difficult to reconcile, and NATO countries, which have threatened war, have begun to question the leadership of the United States.
But with the Republican House of Representatives Johnson's attitude, it is important to admit that providing military assistance to Ukraine is essential; and the Republican pronunitive presidential candidate Trump is also abnormal, saying that "Ukraine's survival and strength are also for the United States."After the American society has experienced a fierce policy game and ethnic tear, the political elite group and mainstream public opinion have re -formed consensus: to become Captain America, the greater the ability, the greater the responsibility.As the mainstream politician of the institutionalist, the US President Biden made an exciting question: If the United States does not lead the world, which other country can stand up?Which country?
Throughout history, it is undoubtedly Britain in the face of one of the countries that will be the most choice questions in international disputes.Historically, the famous British Prime Minister Churchill once had a classic evaluation of the United States: After trying all the error options, Americans can always make the right choice.
China must also answer the choice question
The United States has maintained the role of a neutral person with vague positions in the first and early days of World War II. It was not until the end of the war to participate in the war, and became one of the victory countries. Since then, it has opened the road of the world's first strongest.Today, in the third year of the Russian and Ukraine War, the United States announced its strong attempt to the world through a full range of aid in Ukraine: After the end of the Russian and Ukraine War, the United States will continue to dominate the world order with the attitude of the country.Essence
Another big country of the same choice question must be answered in China.China still adheres to peaceful neutrality, persuades and talks, and promotes political resolution disputes on all parties in conflict.As a strong and strong strength, it can become a trump card that the hostile camps are struggling; but on the other side of the coin, it is easy to fall into the unrealized isolation difficulties after the war.A few days ago, the European Union and the United States both expressed their concerns about Sino -Russian trade to support the Russian military industry.After looking forward to the Russian and Ukraine War, will China a strategic misjudgment of "answering the wrong selection question"?
As a large civilized country with thousands of years, China's historical long river has bred many outstanding strategic thinkers and international diplomatic elites.At the end of the first World War, the Beiyang government adopted the war of Germany to participate in the battle of labor travel, and as an opportunity to participate in the international community as a victim.The key turning point.In the Second World War, the Chinese theater is the Oriental main battlefield of the World Anti -French War. China eventually became a permanent member of the United Nations as a victory of the country and deeply participated in the formulation and maintenance of the post -war world rules.
It is such a heavy historical sedimentation and inheritance of civilized genes. So far, China can confidently uphold the strategic determination of the Beijing official "objective and fair position, and determine its own position in accordance with the right and wrong of the matter".force.Russia is a regional country with nuclear deterrent power. Even if it has repeatedly increased from the United States and NATO military aids, when the NATO army does not directly participate in the war, the Russian and Ukraine War is destined to be a long -lasting war, and the length of time will span 2024.On the basis of equality and mutual benefit, China has launched civil economic and trade exchanges and energy trade with Russia. It stabilizes international oil prices and inflation from another perspective, while helping peace and stability in the Asia -Pacific region.
但如果关注中俄近期外交互动，会发现相比起战前的中俄合作“无上限”的政治语境，中国如今更强调的是“三不”：不结盟、不对抗、不For third parties.With fine -tuning, China re -grasped strategic flexibility in its own hands.If the Russian and Ukraine War could not have two World War "to capture the enemy capital", let's look forward to the other two (only two) final mode:
The first model, the two sides of the war stopped the war through negotiations.China, as one of the permanent members of the United Nations, must be the contractor and witness of the contract.The second model is that a conflict is in a tactical decline and adventurous use of tactical nuclear forces. China has always insisted that the nuclear war cannot win nor to fight. At the same time, they oppose the use of or threatened the use of nuclear weapons.In this model, China will inevitably stand on the anti -nuclear side based on the concept of the community of human destiny.Therefore, when the end of the answer sheet must be paid, China has already scheduled a position of the victory.
History is always amazing. During the Second World War, China was at a critical moment of national survival. The two hostile parties Communist Party reached cooperation with the Kuomintang to fight against foreign enemies.Cooperation, no.When the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs explained its national field, it emphasized that China always insisted on standing on the correct side of history; when Johnson, Speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States, also said "I want to stand on the correct side of history."In the same way, the world looks forward to the two superpowers of China and the United States in the Russia -Ukraine War.
The author is President of the Asia -Pacific Regional Enterprise Group
