Source: Hong Kong Zhongtong News Agency
Reporter: Wang Fengling
Israel launched an air strike on the Iranian Embassy in Syria on April 1, causing seven people to kill. This is Israel's first attack on the Iranian embassy in Syria.The outside world is concerned that all parties are under great pressure. The incident may cause Iran to get involved in the chaos and become the "last straw" that has caused Pakistani conflict.
At 17:00 on the 1st on the 1st, the Syrian capital of Damascus, the continuous explosion, the Iranian Embassy consular building collapsed, and the victims included two senior commanders of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guards.The military did not comment, but the US media quoted officials and confirmed that the air strike operation was launched by the Israeli military.
Iran's response stated that Israel has seriously violated international law and should be strongly condemned by the United Nations.The impact of the attack is under investigation, Israel is responsible for the consequences of the incident, and Iran reserves the right to adopt countermeasures.Many countries such as Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon and other countries condemned Israel at the same day.
Zhu Yongbiao, Executive Director of the "Belt and Road" Research Center and Professor of the Afghan Research Center of Lanzhou University, told Hong Kong Zhongtong News Agency on the 2nd that in terms of international law status, attacking a country's embassies and consulates is equivalent to attacking the country's territory, and its nature is serious.From the perspective of intelligence and enforcement, the possibility of basically exclusion of error bombing, the main goal is not necessarily limited to the senior Iraqi commander, but the embassy itself.Iran wants to arch the fire and does not want to rush on the front line. However, in view of the special situation, Iran is actually forced into a dead end.Image.Although there are fewer words this time, it is likely to fight back with practical actions.
"This is a premeditated action. Israel has the motivation to seek expansion of war and stir water." Zhu Yongbiao pointed out that the Nebaniahu government is facing the pressure of domestic demonstrations.The United States' sight and even kidnapped the United States forced the United States to end.It may be that the pressure on Iran's affected allies is less underlying, and the income is much greater than the risk.The United States agrees that the possibility of this operation is very small. It is expected that it is a separate military operation by the Fang Intelligence Agency and the technical department.
Zhu Yongbiao continued that the bombing consulate is likely to become a major risk point for the upgrading or overflowing of Palestine's Israeli conflict.At present, it is at a critical stage that determines the direction of the Pakistani issue. The resistance of all parties is large, and there are fewer positive factors to promote peace in the short term.Jordan, Iraq, and Lebanon may follow Iran to join the war. At least some armed forces will increase the intensity and strength of Israel. For example, the Houthi armed forces are likely to launch an upgrade operation in the Red Sea.
According to US media reports, the Biden government expected to sell the largest military sales to Israel, including 50 F-15 fighters, ammunition and other weapons, and the transaction is expected to exceed $ 18 billion.After the bombing consulate, will the United States provide arms in the face of the pressure of international public opinion?
Zhu Yongbiao believes that the willingness of the United States to support Israel will not be shaken by this, or even accelerate the provision of military aid to avoid great losses in Israel's revenge in Iran.The United States is unwilling, but has to be abducted.Unless the Iranian revenge has caused a large loss to the United States, the United States will not force Neitanahu to resign, but it does not rule out that Israel is accusing Israel and using domestic competition to put pressure on Neitanahu.
