According to the current trend, if it is not surprising, the next year's election Trump will inevitably come back.If he was elected again next year, would the extreme Democrats impact the Mountains and even the White House?I do n’t know, but it is certain that this is completely unacceptable for Democrats and the media behind them and will never give up.Moreover, the tears of the two parties and their voters are definitely increasing.
The US Congress crisis not only indicates that U.S. politics will usher in a series of unprecedented new changes, but also makes us soberly realize that the US media is losing the fourth power (second only to legislative power, administrative power, and judicial powerThe meaning and value of), even make people more and more doubt whether it has always been independent and autonomous.In this incident, not only did we see that the Democrats had no regrets (maybe they had regretted Lochia), and almost all the media's media ignored the party's ridiculous measures, let alone reflect on reflecting on what to change.How do Americans count on the media (especially the Democratic Party) to carry out supervision of political power and ensure that government behavior is fair and transparent?How can we expect them to continue their early warning function and put forward what kind of prudent and objective constructive opinions?
When Johnson was elected as the Speaker of the House of Representatives, the Wall Street Journal reporter Siobhan Hughes, the highest member of the House Democratic Party, and Hakeem Jeffries, a minority leader, also asked: the Democratic PartyWhen McCarthy needs to help, he did not reach out. Do you regret it now?Does the Democrats are unwilling to cooperate with McCarthy milder McCarthy than Johnson?Hargim's answer is only one word, "no".He did not make a more detailed explanation.
This cannot be reminded of the author. In 2018, when the editor -in -chief of Harvard University, the editor -in -chief of Times Magazine Nancy Reid Gibbs and a senior staff member of the Democratic Party Hillary campaign team invited to Harvard University, they asked questions.Reaction.I remember that I asked at the time: "Why do most media (especially paper media) before the 2016 election predict that Hillary will win a lot? What experiences of the Democrats will summarize from the defeat?" Remember their answers at the time.It is the word "yes", and there is no explanation.
From the perspective of expressions, they obviously don't think there is any summary, and even disdain what explains.Because they already feel that the truth is holding, there is no need to abolish the tongue, nor the need to change what they have to change their party platforms and policies.They are reluctant to face the following questions at all: Why is a Trump, who is regarded as a "hooligan", even defeats the veteran politician Hillary, who has defeated the stable voucher?Why is a gifted political amateur win the support of most voters in the United States?What policies do the Democratic Party have lost their hearts?On the contrary, they would rather feel that this election is just a light enemy and accidentally being stolen by the "group of hooligans". The next time they are riveting back, they will be taken back.
Presumably they also think that voters who support Trump are "non -stupid or bad", so there is no self -adjusting or error correction at all.
It is sad that the Republicans represented by Trump also think so. This is the then 2020 election storm and the source of power behind Congress Mountain.Both sides regard themselves as the true representative of the interests of the United States. They are true patriots and even saviors.How can this be unable to divide?
In this process, the American intellectuals and most media have obviously played a role in helping, and in the political spectrum, it is increasingly showing left -leaning and democratization.To some extent, this can partially explain the first question I raised.At the same time, it is also the reason why the author's survey statistics and analysis given by many scholars or institutions in the United States is increasingly cautious.Because when they give survey statistics and analysis, they often have biased bias in subjective guidance ideas, and have strong evil and tendencies, so that the final survey research report not only reports good news, but also with the results.The feelings of observers or ordinary voters are very different or different, and they even blatantly disregard the fact that it is surprising.
For example, in this Congress crisis, the New York Times not only pushed all the sins to the Republican Party, but also used thin words (its comments on October 26 said that Johnson's election is the Republican Party's end of the Speaker Election."The" despair "choice made by the embarrassing situation).After McKinsey was dismissed, the Washington Post also showed unspeakable glory: "He digs his own grave", and a person familiar with the matter told the post to why the Democrats did not save him. "" He was abandoned by his party."Republicans cannot unite any members in the team, which makes them feel frustrated and almost desperate, because they may never decide the Republican spokesman."What happened 2023)
The most funny thing is that the Democrats also defended their stones: "Democrats have considered voting with most Republicans to help McCarthy to keep their work, but finally decided not to do so; every Democrat present was present.They all voted to oppose McCarthy. There are many reasons why Democrats do not like McCarthy: he went all out to help Trump, he launched an impeachment survey on President Biden, he frustrated the last investigation on January 6, overwhelmed their last oneThe straw is to see McCarthy attempt to blame the government on the TV on the weekend to blame the government on the Democrat. "
But Democrats have forgotten that McCarthy is the Speaker of the Republican Party after all. He must first balance the interests of the various factions in the party and limited the conditions promised by the candidate.And when we all saw whether the Republican Party was impeached to Biden, McCarthy had been threatened by extremes within the party.As the Economist's articles see, "Mr. McCarthy is a well -known cunning, but in order to obtain the position of the speaker, he seems to have to make an impossible commitment." Therefore, Democrats are simply inhuman people.Conditions require others, and let themselves be self -flow.Even, just to vent his anger, to see the lively of the other person, even for the moment, and even to humiliate the other party, the House of Representatives was paralyzed.
Understand this, you can understand why the Democratic Party will launch the presidential impeachment that is completely hopeless in democratic procedures (of course, we also see the Republican party's recently).Because even if the procedure of impeach Trump can't go, it can discharge the hearts of the Democratic people and solve the hatred of the Democratic party.The most unpleasant can also tell the supporters how "moral corruption" they opposed, and took the opportunity to humiliate this "hooligan" and their party.In addition, the Democrats have initiated 91 federal criminal allegations (according to statistics as of August 14) of Trump's 91 federal criminal allegations (this number itself has slipped the world).It's just that the Democrats are unexpected (or do they expect to go to the end?), The more they do, the more reverse the support rate of Trump has soared.
According to the current trend, if it is not surprising, the next year's election Trump will inevitably come back.If he was elected again next year, would the extreme Democrats impact the Mountains and even the White House?I do n’t know, but it is certain that this is completely unacceptable for Democrats and the media behind them and will never give up.Moreover, the tears of the two parties and their voters are definitely increasing.This is the most urgent internal affairs problem in the United States.That is, how to stabilize the domestic situation and constructively control the trend of further polarization of the two parties.First of all, the American media and the two -party elites can reflect on the "deadly self -negative" of their own "deadly self -negative", and do a comprehensive and profound and systematic review, and no longer deceive themselves.
(The author is a professor at China University of Political Science and Law, a researcher at the Ash Democratic Governance and Innovation Center of Kennedy College of Harvard)
