Source: Taiwan Economic Daily Society
The US -China economy has recently been prosperous and declining.
The US Federal Standard has so far raised interest rates at 21 yards a total of 525 basis points, but the US economy is still strong, and the doubt of economic recession has gradually cleared.The more, the market salty inflation has fallen to the level of suspending interest rate hikes.
On the contrary, the Chinese mainland's economy is miserable, consumption, investment, and foreign trade frequency extinguish, the crisis of real estate explosion is rising, and the shrinkage of shade is shrinking. The world is worried that China's high growth era is the end of the recession, loss, and wolf smoke.Why can the United States stand out?Why is mainland China be trapped in the sea of suffering?
First of all, the two different scenes reflected in front of you are that the investment trend of the US private sector is fierce, the manufacturing orders are strong. Driven by technology, the growth of industrial production and demand is gradually relieved. The dynamic balance of supply and demand has significantly improved significantly.Essence
In contrast, in the face of unfavorable factors such as economic growth drama, supply chain relocation, and poor social expectations, the phenomenon of annual and quarterly economic growth that has never been in the year has never been more than the United States for more than 40 years.Data in the first half of 2023 showed that the gap between China and the United States' economic bodies continued to increase, from 70%of the US GDP last year to approximately 63%.This is the first annual growth rate in the United States since 1976 than China.The self -confidence of the US officials and the people has a significant rise in the economy, while China is in depression and anxiety.
One of the key is that in recent years, the Biden government has injected a lot of funds and used various methods to encourage investment and manufacturing to return to the United States. It is now successful.He has been committed to the semiconductor and clean energy industry for two and a half years, and has attracted more than $ 500 billion in domestic and foreign private investment.
China is closely related to the operation of the enterprise and strongly rectifies the private enterprise. The real estate, platform economy and tonics have suffered heavy injuries.With a large number of outsourcing, domestic and foreign capital's confidence in policy stability and economic prospects has caused severe atrophy of investment.
Biden is committed to creating a friendly business environment, and the government has adopted expansion fiscal policies to inspire consumption and support investment.Since June this year, the Bayeng government has seen that the inflation has fallen steadily and the employment has continued to be strong. It has taken advantage of the opportunity to increase its efforts to make public investment, which has inspired the willingness of private investment to achieve significant results in the planning of the manufacturing industry.
The operating environment of Chinese private enterprises has shifted significantly in recent years. Policy suppression, financial indifference and administrative interference have continued to rise, which has led to the prosperity of private enterprises. In the past, the overall trend was transferred to China to China and the transfer of eastern China.
In recent years, the overall trend has changed to China to India, Vietnam and even the United States.China's actual use of the world ’s foreign direct investment (FDI) accounted for from 14.5%in 2020 to 10.5%in 2021.Although China is still the most complete country in the world's industrial chain, a large number of industrial chains have been relocated, which has been severely damaged to economic growth.Under the leadership of the United States and the raging diplomacy of the Wolf, Australia, Japan, South Korea and other countries have a gesture that sacrifice economic interests and comprehensively cooperates with the United States to "de -risk" to alienate China.
The Bayeng government has actually made considerable progress in the game and economic interests of the great powers, and the international Olympic aid has almost responded.China is getting more and more isolated among Western countries, and can only warm up with the southern countries.The political consensus of the United States' integration of Western countries on "Chinese threats" and "risks" has been fully moved. In the context of geographical conflicts and trade frictions, "eastward rise and west" may be the big trend of history, but in the short -term economic situation,It has given the position to "Mishengzhong".
China's current situation is that the development of high -tech development has been stuck in the neck, and the ideas are stuck in the "socialist modern China". The international discourse has been stuck, so the economy has fallen into inside and outside the trap.As a result, optimistic people in Europe and the United States have created a momentum for the "re -rise of the West", and the atmosphere of "the end of China's rise" has been rendered. This assertion is difficult to be forward -looking, but for China, which is under wind and water inside and outside, it really needs to be in China.The development strategy is deeply adjusted and adjusted sharply, and returns to Yangguan Avenue, which respects market mechanisms and greaterly reform and opening up as soon as possible.
