Shi Qiping: Bynden is worried about the Taiwan Strait

Source: Zhongshi Electronic News

Author: Shi Qiping

U.S. President Bynden commented on the 10th to comment on China's economic challenges and weak growth.Okay, because the bad guys will do bad things when they encounter trouble. "

Bynden was worried that China would do bad things and do bad things. Biden did not say clearly, but an American scholar helped him supplement.During the Obama administration's strategic planning special assistance, Hal Brands, a professor of Hal Brands, a professor at the Johns Hopkins Higher International Research Institute, told the Voice of America that Beijing may be thoroughThe risk of war in the situation of the United States has shifted to the focus of war risks.He said, "China's military capabilities have matured, and the situation may be more aggressive in the short term." He also said, "This is why the risk of war because of Taiwan will be the highest reason for the past 10 years."

Branz said that the risk of war in the Taiwan Strait is not as false.Some foreign media reported that Lloyd ’s of London, located in London and consisting of nearly 100 insurance companies, took the lead in increasing insurance costs due to concerns about the Taiwan Strait crisis, and simultaneously tightened the conditions for underwriting Taiwan.It is understood that the largest property insurance in Taiwan is TSMC, with an overall insurance amount of more than 1 trillion yuan (NT $ 43 billion), Formosa Plastics Group over 800 billion yuan, such super huge insurance policies, 99 99, 99, 99, 99, 99, 99%Relying on International Reinsurance.Reinsurance agent interpreted that the commercial property insurance insured by the enterprise was originally a dividend of war, that is, if the war factories on both sides of the strait were blown up, the insurance would not claim it. However, the Taiwan Strait crisis is not limited to the war."Block", in terms of technology and manufacturing, blocking will cause raw materials and energy problems, and exports are also difficult to face.

Blanz's "Chinese military capability has matured" is also a fact. I believe that the US military has fully aware of this, but the greater key is more than that, but since August last year, thisOver the years, the military situation around Taiwan has changed greatly.

In August last year, the Speaker of the House of Representatives of the United States Perosi visited Taiwan. Beijing launched the "Route" military exercise. To be precise, so far, such military exercises have never ended and have long evolved into normal military operations.Independent defense analyst Louis observed that Beijing sent more than 1,700 sub -military aircraft to the Taiwan Air Defense identification zone last year, about twice the previous year, with more than 850 times in the first half of this year, with an annual growth rate of 54%.

It must be seen that several phenomena or trends in normalization: 1. Comprehensive models, in addition to fighters, it also includes almost all machines such as bombers, tankers, early warning aircraft, anti -submarine aircraft, electronic fighter and drones, etc.Species, and the combination of empty navy; 2. In the past, the so -called Taiwan Strait midline has long been existed, and the strategic depth has been significantly compressed., Daily Foreign Aid constitutes a refusal;The New York Times reported that in addition to testing Taiwan's alertness, it is also intended to make Taiwan accustomed to compress Taiwan's ability to facing crisis in the face of crisis.

At this moment, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited the three countries of Singapore, Malaysia and Cambodia. When Wang Yi met with Singapore Prime Minister Li Xianlong, the United States emphasized that if the United States wants to turn Taiwan into China's "gunpowder bucket" through military aid, it will detonateIn addition to the situation of the Taiwan Strait, there is also the political foundation of Sino -US relations.Wang Yi also said that the United States' condonic support for Taiwan's independence forces leaning on the beauty of the United States is the red line of China's red line.

All this information, I believe that Biden must have mastery. No wonder he is worried that Beijing officials who are now in trouble will do bad things.