Source: United News Network

Author: Gao Yongguang

Before and after the NATO Summit, Ukraine launched a comprehensive counterattack. From Western media reports, it seems that from the north to the north, south to Zabroe, extending to the north of Hermuson and Crimea, under Russia's cloth, under Russia's clothOn the defensive line of about 1,000 kilometers, the Ukraine seemed to have won. Although the progress was "slow", Ukraine's counterattack "smooth" may make "black powder" excited.

Ukraine must be fully attacked and prepared from May this year, but it was not until the Russian Wagner mercenary head, Porigo, did not start shortly after the "soldiers". This delay was also criticized by relevant NATO countries.

There are several phenomena on the entire counterattack of Ukraine, which is worthy of attention.First, in the northern Bacht fierce fighting, the Ukraine bets more forces, and the soil must fight, making Bachmart a super "meat grinder" in the "meat grinder".According to reports, the Ukrainian army has been surrounded in the north and south, and the Russian army seems to have become a "cricket in the middle". It is also reported that about 16,000 Russian troops may not be able to evacuate in time.Big defeat.

Second, Ukraine has increased its comprehensive counterattack before and after the NATO Summit. It seems to be showing it to NATO to "be able to fight" and look forward to getting a clear commitment to joining Ukraine to NATO;Can and be more willing to provide more firm support, as well as more and more advanced military materials and weapons.

Basically, Zelei Sky got what he wanted. For example, before the summit, the United States ignored more than 20 countries to oppose the opposition and provided a "bundle bomb" with strong lethality; NATO also announced its "fast strike force"It will expand to 300,000, more than 40,000 before the Russia -Ukraine War, and increased by 700%. NATO will also be stationed near the border between White Ross and Ukraine, although NATO did not explicitly promise Ukraine to join the timetable.

Third, in the NATO summit, it was closely discussed in Russia to use low -equivalent tactical nuclear weapons. Once Ukraine's comprehensive counterattack was successful, Russia may launch a small -scale nuclear war.Coupled with the beginning of the NATO Summit, due to the successful and stable of the Urchi crossing the river, the West has been evaluating the high possibility of Russia's bombing of the Zabro -Nuclear Power Plant.The international community may occur, and the first nuclear war war after the World War II was bombed by nuclear bombs.

But when everyone felt that Russia was about to "defeat" after the NATO summit, the "Putin Emperor" shot.The "Black Sea Grain Initiative" (the formal name of the document should be "Ukrainian port grain and food safety transportation initiative"), which guarantees the safety of black sea grains and fertilizers.From the beginning, the initiative is "expired".This means that about one -third of the world's food and chemical fertilizers in the world will be affected immediately from Ukraine and Russia, and the food and fertilizer exported to other countries.The food supply of 100 million people will be affected, and the 349 million famine population will be immediately affected.

Based on the statistics of the United Nations, as of July 2023, the United Nations World Food Program has purchased 80%of wheat grain this year through the initiative, higher than 50%in 2021 and 2022.Therefore, if Ukraine grains cannot be shipped out of the Black Sea, it has a great impact on Ukraine.

The Black Sea Grain initiative was an initiative reached by the Quartet of the United Nations, Russia, Turkey, and Ukraine after the 2022 Russia and Ukraine War.According to the initiative, there will be a "maritime humanitarian corridor" on the Black Sea.Exit grain and other foods.On July 22, 2022, the Quartet signed the initiative in Istanbul, Turkey.The "initiative" also promised Russia's food and fertilizer products including ammonia, which may not be output from the global market.

After Russia announced the failure of the "Black Sea Grain initiative", in the past few days, because the Ukrainian Army once again bombarded the Crimea Bridge and the arsenal, Russia had hit and bombed Ukraine's port on the black seas.The sailing safety of the Black Sea will be threatened and full of danger.

Of course, whether Russia's fleet in the Black Sea can completely block Ukrainian merchant ships and protect their own food and fertilizer output from being affected, and it has to be observed; coupledIt still depends on whether Turkey has the ability, and after the Black Sea grain initiative is invalidated, it is also willing to maintain close attention.However, Putin's fully launching food and fertilizer war seems to be difficult to discourage.

The

The Russian and Ukraine War has now faced the key to "upgrade".Although the West hates Putin very much, unless it can fully defeat Russia, or step down Putin.Otherwise, under the food war and fertilizers, the global economy may be negatively affected, and countries must be prudent.

The author is a part -time professor at the National University of Political Science