Comment: Sino -US trade re -consultation and release signal

Author: Zhang Jingwei

Sino -US trade frictions are moving.On August 16th, the Ministry of Commerce of China announced at the invitation of the United States. Wang Shouwen, the deputy minister of the Ministry of Commerce and deputy representative of the International Trade Negotiation, intends to led a delegation to the United States to hold a deputy minister of economic and trade issues in the United States in late August.

Sino -US trade frictions were in an impasse. Two months ago, the United States announced that it was 50 billion yuan (USD, the same below, about S $ 68.6 billion), and the U.S. goods were imposed by 25%tariffs.Manufacturing products to block China as the goal of "manufacturing power andrdquo; and the same scale of trade against the United States, focusing on the United States, focusing on the US agricultural and sideline products, energy and automobile products.

With the larger tariff barriers of the US government, China has adjusted according to the trade structure of China and the United States, and countermeasures from quality and quantity.Faced with the extreme pressure of the United States, the Chinese position is Andrdquo;

Analysts have more analysis of the Sino -US trade war.Some people think that the United States has stronger strength and can choke up China's neck; some think that China ’s countermeasures can capture the political dead acupuncture point of US President Trump and shake Trump through targeted counterattacks (soybeans, energy products) and otherGeneral's Andrdquo; affects the situation of the mid -term election of Trump and the Republican Party.

However, the universal consensus is that the Sino -U.S. The trading war not only caused the two defeats, but also causing global trade to be chaotic and affecting the recovery process of the global economy.

The new round of trade negotiations between China and the United States shows that the trade war does not meet the interests of China and the United States. It is worth a try by negotiating the "fire extinguishing andrdquo;

Perhaps the comprehensive strength of the Chinese side is not as good as the United States, but China has already made a plan to live a bitter life.In addition, the Chinese government has the appeal and mobilization of the U.S. government that does not have, as well as policy coordination and efficient execution of policy that the United States cannot reach.What's more, China's policy is continuated, and China has stronger pressure tolerance.Therefore, the advantages of China's system have made up for the lack of comprehensive strength and are more good at lasting war.In contrast, the US trade strategy to China requires a quick decision.

First of all, the US trade war front is too long. Almost all trading partners are on the Trump trade sanctions list. The United States has put heavy pressure on the United States by the United States.The United States and Europe have reached a trade consensus, and the United States and Japan and Mo will open trade negotiations separately.

Some people think that this is really reasonable for the United States to focus on China.However, even if the coalition partnerships such as the United States and Europe, the United States and Japan ease, the sanctions on Russia and Iran, especially the US and Turkey, the "Eldquo; Turkish President Erdogan), which just happened in the United States and Turkey, also madeThe United States is in a larger geopolitical predicament.

The strategic layout of the United States in the Middle East will encounter challenges from the three countries of Russia.Compared to this Andrdquo; the Sino -US trade war needs to be temporarily resting. After all, China is passively warned, and China may also promote China to join this anti -US camp.

It is worth mentioning that because the United States supports Saudi and other Sunni countries last year, Qatar has provided 15 billion yuan in support from Turkey.A small country can solve the pressure of the United States for Turkey, let alone China?

Secondly, Trump is facing the pressure of midterm elections.From the election, the Democratic Party broke Andrdquo; the Republican party was defeated by the Republican Party in the midterm of the Republican Party."Tong Russia Andrdquo; The investigation even sent Trump into prison.Therefore, Andrdquo; and trade negotiations with China, "

Third, the limit pressure is invalid to China, and continuing stalemate is not conducive to Andrdquo; it is impossible to make the United States continue to be great. After all, this is the duel of two trading powers.More importantly, the relationship between China and the United States is formed for a long time. It is also difficult for the United States to find a new alternative country with Chinese and Chinese and Chinese.

The point is that China has not showed maliciousness. China has always been forced to fight, and the principle of favorable conducive to the United States is also rational.This has led to the US Chamber of Commerce and all sectors of the society against the US trade war in China.Therefore, continuing negotiation is harmless to the Trump administration.

Sino -U.S. Trade re -negotiation releases signals of meaningfulness.The first is the invitation of the United States to highlight the unsustainable trade war in the United States. I hope to talk to China. The so -called and the so -called "Xiezu must also be a bellman Andrdquo; second, change the model of the previous ministerial level and above.The contact with deputy ministerial officials can make China and the United States more room for negotiations, which also means the possibility of Sino -US trade negotiations entering mechanism negotiations.

Third, China put forward a serious position to the United States, emphasizing opposition to unilateralism and trade protectionism, and does not accept any measures for unilateral trade restrictions.China welcomes dialogue and communication on the basis of peering, equality, and integrity.This is the same thing that China reminds the United States not to repeat the previous three rounds of negotiations that the United States does not speak of integrity.

How the two sides resolve the deadlock of the trade war and unbutton the friction is a long process.However, it is not terrible to talk about Sino -US trade consultations and can continue to talk about it. However, if the United States continues to talk about integrity, trade negotiations will lose meaning.It makes sense to make consultations. China and the United States can find the interest point of interests.Trade unilateralism is not applicable to China.