Current affairs perspective
China and Japan were normalized on September 29, 1972, but it was only six years later, that is, the two countries only signed a peace -friendly treaty on August 12, 1978.Originally, after the normalization of diplomatic relations, it continued to sign the trade, fishery, aviation and other agreements, and then signed a peaceful and friendly treaty.Essence
When the Treaty faces the problem, the treaty stipulates that it is an important treaty for the basis of Japan -China relations without adopting force and utilization of peace.For issues such as the East China Sea between the two countries, this is an extremely important treaty to improve bilateral relations.
2018 is the 40th anniversary of the signing of the treaty.In fact, both Japan and China want to work through the 45th anniversary of the normalization of diplomatic relations in 2017 and the 40th anniversary of the 2018 Peaceful Friendship Treaty, and strive to improve bilateral relations.In fact, exchanges and other exchanges in the two countries have been launched in the past two years, and bilateral relations have been continuously improved.There are several reasons for seeking improvements in Japan.
First, the US Trump administration's foreign policy is unstable, and it must first deal with the United States in the fields of trade and security. Therefore, if there is a dispute between the second and third economic powers in the world, it is not good for each other.Second, the North Korean nuclear issue is urgent. For Japan, it needs to be closely related to China, which is influential in North Korea.China also needs to maintain a certain relationship with Trump's close -up Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.Third, for the leaders of the Chinese President of China, in order to maintain domestic political stability, properly handling the relationship between the fire of patriotism in Japan is particularly important. For Shinzo Abe, improving the relationship with China is also the completion of China ’s policy to China.No complete homework.
However, it is the United States.Once the Trump administration's foreign policy stabilizes and returns to the orbit as ever, the necessity of stable Japanese -China relations will be reduced.Therefore, it can be said that the fundamental reason for improving Japanese -China relations is from the current special situation.That is, for Japan and China, improving bilateral relations is temporary tactics.
However, political experts in the United States said that Trump's appearance and his policies cannot belong to their personal problems.That is, Trump was elected as the result of the change of the president of the United States, and its policy is not an accidental product. It is as shown in the support of the government and its policy in the United States.Choice.
Of course, for the internal free democracy of the United States, the Trump administration and its policies are the targets of criticism.However, the current support rate of the Trump administration is similar to the support rate of President Obama in the previous period of the mid -term election.
In addition, if Trump re -elected, and the subsequent government continues to implement policies similar to the Trump administration, it is not impossible.Alternatively, the Trump administration also has the side of the Obama administration, because the Obama administration has appeared in a nationalist side and requires the allies to bear more responsibility.It's just that Obama's language is more euphemistic, and Trump is more direct.
In summary, if the foreign policy status of the United States remains unchanged in the future, the improvement of Japan -China relations is not only "temporary tactics andrdquo; and may be maintained for a long time. That is, in various situations, it can be said that Japan -China policy policyVery consistent or very similar, such as supporting free trade, opposition to the implementation of military attacks such as military attacks.
From the 1970s to the 1980s, Japan and China cooperated with the Soviet Union based on the existence of the Soviet Union in different fields.Today in the 21st century, Japan and China in different fields, the situation of joining in hand due to the existence of the United States, may be increasing day by day.At this point, Japan and China improved the tone. Not only did it appear in 2017 and 2018, it can be predicted that it will continue since then.To this end, properly dealing with historical understanding and the issue of the East China Sea is a major prerequisite.
The author is a professor at the University of Tokyo, Japan
