Foreign scholars and experts from the Russian and Ukraine War and Harbin -Harbin experience, recommend that Taiwan face the threat of the Communist Party of China and must prepare to strengthen the obstacles to mainland China and strive for international support. The most important thing is that the people in Taiwan must have strong defense defensewill.
Michèle Flournoy, the former Ministry of Defense Policy, made a special speech on Wednesday (November 8) at the "2023 Taipei Security Dialogue" that the world is at geopolitics, mainland, Russia, Iran, Iran, Iran,North Korea is developing the world's polynoma, and the mainland is the main cause of the Indo -Pacific region.
She believes that in the face of mainland threats, they should first strengthen their obstacles to the mainland; secondly strengthen cooperation and alliance between democratic countries; third, the economic coerce of the mainland should start from government mechanism, rely on a single market, and create a diversified supply of supply.Chain; fourth, continue to promote innovation, maintain science and technology and economic competitiveness; fifth, restart dialogue with the mainland.
U.S. President Biden and Chinese officials are expected to meet at the China -Pacific Economic Cooperation Conference (APEC) this month.Fo Luo Nuoyan emphasized that dialogue does not mean compromise. As China's official decision -making has been breaking up, democratic countries should ensure that Chinese officials can obtain correct and sufficient information. Through face -to -face communication, it can help prevent misjudgment and reduce regional conflicts.
John Whitley, former US Agent Army Minister, pointed out from the experience of the Russian and Ukraine that the United States spent a lot of time decision -making and discussed with allies how to provide support.Therefore, once Mainland China moves against Taiwan, Taiwan must support it for a while, considering how much the US military can reach Taiwan, Taiwan should also think about which scareing ability.
Whitley said that although the United States supports allies to maintain territory and sovereignty, it has also sent troops to participate in the Korean and Vietnam War, but they are unwilling to directly fight with large powers with nuclear weapons.Furthermore, both the Russian and Ukraine War and the Euham could end in the short term, and Taiwan must also pay attention to actual combat.
He said that in addition to actively establishing anti -intervention/regional rejection (A2AD) capabilities and plans for countermeasures, the US Department of Defense also jointly discussed defense plans, training and military investment with Taiwan.He also pointed out that if it is necessary to strengthen the promise of the United States and allies for a long time, Taiwan is the key to fighting the enemy.This is also the main reason for Ukraine to continue to resist the aggression of the Russian army, and Afghanistan quickly collapsed.
Taiwan Tsai Ing -wen stated in the opening speech that the people of Taiwan have determined to guard the hard -to -laws and democracy. The first task is to strengthen self -defense capabilities and social toughness.Taiwan's national defense budget has continued to increase in eight years. In 2024, it will grow 7.7 %compared with this year, accounting for about 2.5 %of Taiwan GDP (GDP).
Wu Jiemin, a researcher at the Institute of Sociology of the Central Academy of Sciences, analyzed that the so -called "maintaining the status quo" is a Chinese policy, the Sino -US three public newspaper, the Taiwan Relations Law, and six guarantees.It is not affiliated with each other; Beijing is a part of China.
Wu Jiemin said that the polls of the Institute of Society of the Chinese Academy of Sciences in the past eight years show that many people in Taiwan advocate the status quo; in 2020 and 2021, the people who advocated independence exceeded the status quo; after the Taiwan Strait crisis in 2022, the status quo became the mainstream.
He reminded from public opinion reaction that "maintaining the status quo" will not continue forever, because nearly 40 % of the people choose independence in 2022, less than 10 % of the people choose to unify, 50 % choose to maintain the status quo;In the prediction, 32%believe that it will be unified, and 46%believe that it will be independent, and only 15%that can maintain the status quo, which reflects the public that the public has questioned the United States' commitment to defend Taiwan.
Wu Jiemin emphasized that geopolitics has changed, facing the determination to unify Taiwan in the mainland. Without sufficient security and international support, how to maintain the stability of the Taiwan Strait is an urgent issue of thinking.