Russian President Putin visited North Korea and Vietnam in June.The two sides of Russia signed a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty, indicating that the two sides agreed to immediately provide all available military assistance when the other party faces war or suffers from unreasonable aggression.Kim Jong -un said that the relationship between the two countries has been promoted to "alliance relations" and moved towards a higher and new level. North Korea will unconditionally support all policies of Russia.Putin said that the two countries have developed new documents for the construction of a long -term stable relationship.According to the treaty, Russia does not rule out military technical assistance to North Korea.If the two sides are invaded, they will support each other.
At this stage, both Russia and the North Korea are eager to each other.Due to military invasion of Ukraine in Russia, North Korea has been suffering from continuing, deep sanctions and isolation between the international community because of its nuclear nuclear issues and other issues. Both are non -normal countries.The current alliance of Russia and North Korea is bound to rise from the confrontation of the United States, Europe, NATO, and allies. At the same time, it has also significantly increased the risks to the world's geopolitical security, especially Northeast Asia's geopolitical security.As South Korean media pointed out that the military alliance between Russia and illegal nample development countries in Russia and illegal nuclear development countries will shake the global security system.
The Russian -DPRK military alliance brings China uncertainty
Analysis of Russia's strategic intent: 1. By providing military technology, energy and food assistance to the DPRK, hold and cultivate North Korea as its own satellite country and even thugs;Russia, military bases, and production bases that provide weapons that are dedicated to Russia, and even the Russian army is legalized in North Korea, allowing North Korea to lose its good independent economic development capabilities and comprehensively control North Korea;Military and emotional connections.According to South Korean media reports, North Korea has changed the external transmission of national radio and television from Chinese satellites to Russian satellites a while ago;
However, the alliance of Russia and North Korea will make China's geopolitical security facing more major uncertainties, which must cause China to be highly vigilant and preventive in China.China should make strategic response and adjustment in a timely manner in the development concept and policies inside and outside the country.
China must see: 1. North Korea's long -term promotional politics, development nuclear weapons, and actively provoking the continuous upgrading of the tension between the Korean Peninsula, and the overall process of promoting democratization, rule of law, and marketization since the World War II has developed the mainstream of the world's mainstream.Violation is also inconsistent with the political philosophy of China that is actively promoting the establishment of a community of human destiny.The North Korean government has ended.
2. Kim Jong -un tried to get rid of China for a long time and devoted himself to the embrace of Americans, but has not been accepted by Americans.
Third, although Russia has been suppressed by NATO, its military invasion of Ukraine is contrary to the UN Charter, and it is bound to continue to deepen its sanctions and isolation of Western political and economic, and corresponding military countermeasures.Negative factors of retrogression and major security risks.
Fourth, the Russian -DPRK alliance is just a kind of mutual collusion based on security interests, rather than because of advanced development concepts or consistent with each other's philosophy, and it is not in line with the global development trend.
5. The Russian and North Korea alliances do not have the ability and driving force to promote global civilization progress. On the contrary, the embarrassment between the reactionary forces that move against the mainstream is raped.In the long run, this alliance is obviously unsustainable, but it is the lasting performance of human reactionary forces.
North Korea has not only faced major development and security risks in the international community, but also has a major development and security crisis in China.A report submitted to the Human Rights Council in March 2023 by the UN North Korean Human Rights Special Reporter shows that 42%of North Korea's population is malnourished due to insufficient food.However, the Kim family is always extravagant at all times.North Korea obviously has a class confrontation such as exploitation, exploitation, oppression, and oppression.In other words, the day of the fundamental "self -revolution" in North Korea ’s society will come.
If Russia does not end the Russian and Ukraine War in a timely manner, the accompanying development and security risks are also obvious: 1. The Russian -DPRK alliance in the country and military sustainable development capabilities, which is far from competing with the United States, Europe and NATO, exacerbated confrontation, and oppose confrontation.Both countries and the world's sustainable development and security are obviously very unfavorable; second, the military forces in the United States and NATO can support Ukraine to defeat or defeat Russia, or to promote the division of Russia, which will not allow Ukrainian territory to include the Russian territory.That is, in terms of the overall development strategy of the country, Russia has achieved the decline in the implementation of the Russian and Ukraine war.
China must not be Mr. Dongguo
China must always be highly vigilant that Russia is a wolf after all, and China must not be that Mr. Dong Guo!In the history of Sino -Russian relations, Russia has long been conspiracy to occupy Chinese territory for a long time.According to general statistics, in the Qing Dynasty, Russia directly or indirectly plundered from China, from Lake Baikal (Beihai before the Qing Dynasty) and the dweller island (Russia -called Sahalin) from the East and East -East -East -East -Guangzhou region to the northwest of the Pacific, includingDou Mongolia was independent in 1945, with a total of 13.83 million square kilometers, equivalent to 1.44 times the current land area of China.That is, about 17 million square kilometers of Russia's land, most of which belong to China in history.
In the 1960s, Moscow alliance with Mongolia Mongolia, Chen Bing million in the northern border of China, intending to invade China, and also issued nuclear blackmail to China.At that time, Mao Zedong told the visiting international friends that he was preparing to fight the Soviet Union.Zhou Enlai has publicly accused the Soviet Union as social imperialism in international occasions.According to incomplete statistics, between 1960 and 1969, the Soviet Union at the time provoked more than 6,000 border events.
Do not forget the past, the teacher of the future.Both neighboring countries in China and Russia have long been pregnant with the strategic plot of Chinese territory and population.In fact, the main strategic intention of the United States and Europe lies in the market and the establishment of a global high -level market system and economic globalization, which is not to territorial and population, and this is exactly the right of human development.
According to the changes in Europe and the Far East, China should quickly improve their strategic vigilance and make in -depth strategic response: 1. Take the initiative to strengthen cooperation with the international community, promote the Russian and U -wars as soon as possible, and develop normal economic and trade relations with Russia.Second, vigorously promote the Nuclean Peninsula.At the same time, the impact is increased, the North Korean market economy system and environmental construction, and strengthen the guidance and impact on the development capabilities of Korean society.3. Pay great importance to building a sustainable development relationship with Southeast Asia, and strengthen investment and development in Southeast Asia.In response to the South China Sea, on the premise of defending sovereignty and territorial integrity, we must pay great attention to the development of development in various fields such as investment, trade, education, science and technology, and culture with the Asian Danan countries.Southeast Asia has irreplaceable strategic value in China's development and security strategy.Fourth, deepen the reform of state -owned enterprises, optimize the development of the private economy, and accelerate the transformation and upgrading of marketization, rule of law, globalization, and development methods. It can continue to promote the integration of market systems between China, the United States and Europe, and continuously improve Chinese enterprises and productsAnd technology, the integration and development capabilities and levels with the US and Europe market.
China's modern construction, development and security capacity system construction should attach great importance to the sustainable development relationship and development level of the US and Europe market at any time.
The author is a scholar of China Development and Security Strategic Research Institutions