Source: China News Agency

Author: Li Yang

The French Parliament election ended in 2024, but the impact of this election has just begun.According to the final result of the election announced on the 8th, the new French National Assembly will be "three -legged" in the future, and the uncertainty of French political prospects will greatly increase.

The election results released by the French Ministry of the Interior on the 8th showed that the "New People's Front" of the Left -wing Political Party Alliance won 182 of the 577 seats in the National Assembly, becoming the largest political faction of the National Assembly.The ruling party camp won the second place in 168 seats.The Right -wing Party Piece National Alliance and its allies won the third place in 143 seats.None of these three major political factions failed to obtain an absolute majority seat (289 seats), which means that the parliamentary structure in the three aspects of the opposition is unstable.

The left -wing party alliance has obtained a relative majority of the National Assembly, but its status is unstable.The extremely left -wing party "Unyielding France", the traditional left -wing French Socialist Party, and the French Communist Party, Ecological Green Party and other parties have different political demands.The alliance aims to be formed for this election, and has no unified consensus on leadership and candidates for prime ministers.

It is difficult for the left -wing party alliance to propose key personnel lists such as the presidents.Although the extremely left -wing party "Unyielding France" has the largest seat in the left -wing party alliance, the party leader Mei Langxiong reiterated that he is capable of serving as the prime minister, but the high -level personnel arrangements are not that the Melangxiong or the extremely left -wing party can control itself.

The Right -wing Party Pie's National Alliance has not obtained the absolute majority of the National Assembly, and even the relative majority of the seats failed to win.This shows that French society's vigilance of the extremely right -wing party is still "ingrained", voters are mobilized, and the ruling party camp and left -wing political factions have also launched a certain degree of cooperation in "blocking" the extremely right -wing party.However, the right -wing party has greatly enhanced its strength in the National Parliament through this election.

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The ruling party camp avoided the defeat in this election, and the results obtained were much better than the pre -election poll.However, it is undeniable that the number of seats in the ruling party camp in the National Assembly has decreased significantly, while losing a relatively large number of seats.The strength of the middle school led by the ruling party in the National Assembly is weakened, which is very tricky for President Macron.

French Prime Minister Atar submitted his resignation to Macron on the 8th, but Macron still allowed him to stay temporarily to stabilize the political situation.However, for the next important issues such as replacing the Prime Minister and determining the candidates for the new government, the main parties are all taboo, and there is no clear statement so far.

According to the disclosure of public opinion in France, preliminary contacts have carried out preliminary contacts around the personnel issues such as the Prime Minister.However, it is generally difficult for the outside world to advance. The three major political factions have no good opinion at all, and they have already disgusted each other.

The political situation of the National Assembly left Macron's operating options is actually very rare.It is impossible for the ruling party camp to join forces with the right -wing party, and it is difficult to cooperate with the left -wing party alliance in a substantive sense, mainly because their political program is huge differences.The operating status of the National Assembly in the past two years has also shown that the road to "governance left and right" is difficult to get through.In particular, the left -wing party alliance emphasized that the reform of the retirement system that the ruling party camp was difficult to achieve was unacceptable by Macron and the ruling party.

According to the research of analysts, the left -wing party alliance can form the government by themselves to try to govern with the relatively weak advantages of the National Assembly; Macron can authorize the establishment of a technical bureaucratic government, appoint experts as prime ministers, and even stay in Atta to stay in AttaGovernment.However, the above -mentioned government formation forms are facing a severe test from the National Parliament.

If the political deadlock of the National Assembly cannot be broken, the political operation of France may face serious resistance.Macron could not dissolve the National Parliament re -election again in the short term, and it takes at least one year in accordance with the constitution.The new National Parliament is scheduled to open on July 18, and the Paris Olympics will open on the 26th, leaving no time for the main party to negotiate and compromise.