The jury of the court in Manhattan, New York, USA ruled on May 30 that the former President Trump sealing fee case was established.The final crime is sentenced to punishment.Trump is embarrassing, public opinion is uproar, the United States is embarrassing, and the world is shocked.No matter how everyone discusses Trump, the US Constitution has not denied his qualifications to run for president, but Trump may have no chance to enter the Palace -in the White House for the second time. There are five reasons, as follows.
Judicial procedures will greatly involve Trump's campaign investment.After being convicted, Trump may not be in prison, because he is high, a non -violent crime, and a first offenders. The social danger is not high, and he can pay high margin.In the case, the results he wants to face is nothing more than appeal, probation, parole, etc., almost every of them will consume huge resources and energy.Trump's assets were originally faced with compensation and fines. Now they have to pay a lot of lawyers to ensure that his team can avoid error correction of the judicial system. At the critical moment of campaignFor the elderly in Xun, even compared to Biden's energy, I am afraid that they can't stand the consumption of trials to face trials.In this case, does he still have an advantage?
Political considerations and sources of political donation within the Republican Party may have twists and turns.On the fourth day after Trump was sentenced to punishment, that is, July 15th, the Republican National Congress. At the meeting, it was necessary to confirm Trump as a Republican presidential candidate in 2024.Can't participate in the conference.Even if they can go smoothly, the identity of the criminals can no longer be changed. The big brothers in the Republican Party may have to consider supporting the political risks of a criminal as a representative.It is difficult to clarify the reason for more grievances.Considering the huge political risks of investing criminals, those providers who were originally Trump's political contributions to Republican politics must also think twice. After all, politics will inevitably trademark attributes and know the result of losses, which will still scare back many people.
The pursuit of the Democratic Party camp will become more powerful.As of Trump's conviction, his support rate has been higher than Biden. The Democratic Party suffers from finding a good direction and means to reverse the trend. This guilty judgment is undoubtedly the best opportunity for a thousand years.At present, it depends on whether the June debate agreed on the two parties can be carried out as usual. If it is carried out, what strategies will Biden adopt, but it is very clear. Biden can directly question Trump's criminal identity, and his unbearable crimes that he can't explain.experience.No matter how good the policy concept is, a criminal will not be convinced. At least all Democratic supporters can think so and persuade others around them.The Democratic Party does not even need to spend more effort to deal with Trump's various policy claims. As long as he seizes his illegal experience, he can press it to the ground.
American voters will fall in a calm and then think of choices.The referees of Trump's 34 felony this time are unanimous decisions made by the jury composed of 12 ordinary people. Although I do n’t know if there are twelve angry men movies, they have carefully reviewed them for two days.Conclusion, no one can despise, nor will it be like Trump's "shame" incident.
After this conclusion came out, all the American people, especially Trump's fans, had to consider a reality: if they had supported Trump to oppose Biden and the Democratic Party, now I am afraid that they will be regarded as opposingThe entire judicial system and social system in the United States, they are proud of the concept of rule of law and democratic system, may be stepped on by supporting Trump.A large number of American voters are facing are not Biden and Trump, nor are they of the Democratic Party and the Republican Party, but legal and illegal, justice and evil. At least the Democratic Party will renders so much, and voters have to re -consider it.
The intangible pressure of the international community.If Trump is just a representative of neo -liberalism and the vanguard of right -wing populism, there will be many admirers and admirers in the world, just like Argentine President Mirley and the Dutch Liberal Party leader Held Veldes;If he is a criminal ruled by a regular court and there are still many crimes waiting for further trials, can the international community accept such a national leader? In particular, he or the leader of the United States in the superpowers?特朗普再做总统，就不仅是美国的难题，还变成全世界的难题；其他国家表面上还是会以不干涉内政为由保持中立，但无形中对罪犯总统的警惕，还是会让他们Keep distance.This distance is the huge pressure that the United States will bear, or it will be the last straw that leads to the collapse of the US soft power.How can the United States lead the world's civilization trend without legal bottom line?
Of course, the history created by Trump today is not to be elected as president after being convicted. In 1920, Eugene Dibes and Linden Raccch in 1988 have done it; he createdHistory was convicted after doing the president in the United States, although this is like South Korea's home in other countries.Such experience is enough to make Trump a legend in the United States and the world, but if you want to become the President of the United States again, it may not be so easy, but the possibility of being sentenced to prison repeatedly.
The author is Yangzhou current affairs commentator
