Warfire?The interior was burned, and the drums came from the other side.However, Lai Qingde's unique declaration of the platform still stirred the fragile balance of the Taiwan Strait.

Taiwan Lai Qingde unexpectedly read the "Declaration of Peace" to the world at the inauguration ceremony.

Tsai Ing -wen's "four persistence" is based on the constitution of the Republic of China, and has pushed the "facts independence" to its limit.The gap of pragmatic Taiwan independence.

He is separated from the people's cross -strait people with the Constitution and Nationality of the Republic of China, emphasizing that "the Republic of China and the People's Republic of China are not affiliated with each other", and then make up for "whether it is the Republic of China, the Republic of China, or Taiwan, or TaiwanInternational friends call the names of our country, which are as loud, "which means that it does not matter if it is not changed. Taiwan and the Republic of China have combined.

Lai Qingde's discussion logic is that when Taiwan's first elected president was in office in 1996, it had conveyed that "the Republic of China Taiwan is a country with sovereignty and independence", and Taiwan's independence has become a established fact.Did you fight on both sides of the strait?No.Therefore, what he wants to maintain is the status quo of Taiwan's "peace and independence". If Beijing breaks the status quo, it is a troublemaker.

From Lee Teng -hui in 1999, he proposed "Special State and the State Relationship", to Cai Yingwen's "Republic of China and the People's Republic of China without belonging to each other", and then the "two countries theory drafted by Cai Yingwen drafted by Tsai Ing -wen"After 25 years of span, it has completed the way from fuzzy.

Can Beijing swallow this breath?impossible.The mainland government has to explain to the inside.Taiwan explained the "theory of the two countries" so clearly, and Beijing responded with an unambiguous warning.

First of all, attack.The official media cooperated with the official caliber to depend on Qingde's unprecedented unprecedentedness, surpassing Lee Teng -hui, Chen Shui -bian and Tsai Ing -wen.Come again.The Eastern theater of the PLA announced in the military exercise around Taiwan.

The military exercise scope of the locking Taiwan published by the PLA includes Kinmen and Matsu, including the islands; the next day, it released the North -South Boarding folder simulation animation film, saying that the exercise was the ability to test the joint island.Huang Jiezheng, director of the Kuomintang International Department, pointed out that military exercises did not include Penghu, Dongsha Islands, and Taiping Island.After careful research, the meaning of the subtext may be that if the war broke out, these three pieces are the real goals.

The strategic goal of the mainland government to complete the great cause of cross -strait unification has always been very clear, while the tactics remain blurred, and the unification may not be clear.Lai Qingde's cross -strait relations positioning "Cai Lai Sui" has turned Cai Yingwen's strategy into strategic clearly, and tactics are unclear.

However, in his speech, he mentioned "Taiwan's Taiwan", which not only master the advanced semiconductor process technology, but also rank the strategic location of the first island chain, affecting the geopolitical politics of the world and affecting the world economy.The implication, once Beijing won Taiwan, the first island chain will break through the first island chain to create the United States' security and interests. It is called to ensure the safety of Taiwan in the United States.

Washington has long implemented a fuzzy policy for Taiwan's strategic strategy, that is, it does not indicate how to deal with Beijing's attack on Taiwan. It is believed that this can create a subtle balance, so that Beijing has some scruples, and it can also curb Taiwan's announcement of legal Taiwan independence.In recent years, the popularity of the American political community has gradually grew for the vagueness of abandonment of strategic strategy. It is clear that once Beijing's attack on Taiwan will involve, it will also worry that it will irritate Beijing and it will be more disadvantaged to Taiwan.

The President of the Guoan Think Tank, Alflovich, published in the latest issue of the magazine of Foreign Affairs, adopts the concept of "Taiwan is New Berlin".He said that the Kennedy government at the cost of defending West Berlin at the cost of the Cold War that the Soviet Union gave up confrontation. Now that the United States must adopt a similar strong deterrent strategy to completely interrupt the idea of ​​Beijing's attack, Sino -US relations can slow down.

Bo Ming, deputy vice -nation of the White House of the Trump administration, also supports Taiwan's strategy.In an interview with Japanese media in early May, if Trump wins in November, he should show that "Beijing is not allowed to launch a war in the Western Pacific, including invasion of Taiwan."

Vaguely can create a rotary space, from blurring to clear, often on the verge of layout.If Washington, Beijing, and Taipei have taken strategic clear policies, how far is China and the United States and the show of the showdown?

On the first day of the military exercise of the PLA, Chinese President Xi Jinping hosted a seminar on enterprises and experts in Jinan to talk about comprehensive deepening reforms.On the same day, Taiwan stocks would not rise.The U.S. aircraft carrier did not see a change. The Seventh Fleet said that the Rooseford aircraft carrier's strike group continued to carry out "normal, safe and responsible exercises."On the second day of the military exercise, the Taiwan Legislative Yuan continued to perform all martial arts, and more than 10,000 people protested against the Reform Act of the Court of Court.

Warfire?The interior was burned, and the drums came from the other side.However, Lai Qingde's separate declaration of peace on the platform still stirred the fragile balance of the Taiwan Strait.

No matter who won the US presidential election, China and the United States may not have a consensus on how to control the Taiwan Strait crisis. In the next four years, it will be tested by the wind and waves.EssenceIt depends on how Taiwan's public opinion is going.If Lai Qingde lost the 2028 election, the "two -strait belongs to the same middle school" can be reappeared in Taiwan; if it is eight years in a row, the status quo of the "independence of the platform" will be more deeply rooted in the young generation of the brain, and it is difficult to remove even the rotation of political parties.