North Korea has always hoped to consolidate the new Cold War through unity between North Korea and Russia. If the new Cold War structure is established, North Korea can continue to pursue nuclear ability to improve.Both the facts.
North Korea's ninth meeting of the Fourteenth People's Conference held by North Korea on September 26 and 27, writing the "nuclear military policy" into the constitution.This is an attempt to try to support the current core axis of the North Korean system -nuclear martial arts -related content clearly shows that in the constitution, trying to make nuclear military power permanent.
North Korea clarified the "nuclear support" in the constitution as early as 2012. Following the decree of nuclear military policy policy in September last year, this time it specifically shows the goals and directionability of nuclear weapons development in the constitution.The Constitution Declaration that will not abandon nuclear.In the Constitution, it is clear that the writing of nuclear weapons is a means to protect the right to survival and development of the country, curb war, and maintain regional and world peace and stability.Kim Jong -un specifically demanded that the production of nuclear weapons at the speed of geometric levels, requires multiple military -based practical deployment work for various types of blows, and clearly expressed that it will continue to promote the speed of nuclear capacity.
In fact, North Korea has always published similar remarks before, nothing special.However, this blind "nuclear galloping" will not only have a negative impact on the situation of the Korean Peninsula and the entire Northeast Asia.What's more, Kim Jong -un also emphasized that the cooperation between the Korean and American Japan triangle is the "Asian version of the NATO Military Alliance".Especially the successful self -confidence of the Russian DPRK talks in September and the Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov visited the DPRK in October. If Putin's visit to the DPRK is also realized, North Korea may start a more aggressive nuclear force improvement and external activities. ThereforeAttention.
From this point of view, it is necessary to re -examine the Charlene -Russian head talks recently.After four years since 2019, the Summit of North Korean State Chairman Kim Jong -un and the Russian President Putin were held at the Oriental Space launcher symbolizing Russian independent space exploration capabilities.On the eve of North Korea, two short -range ballistic missiles were launched to the East China Sea on the eve of the summit, provoking the international community, and even showing the reckless behavior of maintaining a firm military alert attitude even if leaders were overseas.This meeting can be established because Russia hopes to obtain weapons supply from North Korea, including ammunition and shells that have been exhausted in the Ukrainian war; North Korea hopes to obtain advanced nuclear, missiles and nuclear submarine military technology, and ensure energy support to overcome the economy to overcome the economydifficulty.
At the summit, Kim Jong -un emphasized that it would help Russia to fight against "imperialism"; Putin expressed his willingness to support military technology development, saying that it would support North Korea to cooperate with satellites.In addition, the two sides may discuss the trade of artillery and rocket technology, as well as all cooperation systems in food, energy support, and diplomatic, economic and military fields.If this agreement is reached, a clear danger signal will be issued to deepen the security crisis of the Korean Peninsula.This is North Korea's attempt to form a new DPRK -Russian Alliance, which is different from Russia's relationship with Russia. It is intended to choose Russia through strategic selection to maximize the so -called intermediate benefits.Excessive approach through the North Korean nuclear plan will not only extend the Ukrainian war, but also have a profound impact on the confrontation between South Korea and North Korea, South Korea, and the United States and Japan.It will also affect the future development of South Korea, China, and Russia and Sino -US relations.North Korea's choice of Russia as a political military allies will inevitably bring various unclear variables to South Korea.
However, from the perspective of North Korea and Russia, there is a clear reason for seeking approaching each other.First of all, it is good for military cooperation, because the summit surpasses the general diplomatic level, and can discuss extensive military cooperation issues, including large quantities and types of ammunition.In the case of conventional war in Ukraine, Russia is seeking various conventional weapons such as the Ukrainian war from North Korea.North Korea is actually the only country that can purchase weapons from Russia, which has been sanctioned by international sanctions.North Korea is using the dilemma of Russia to try to obtain Russia's advanced military technology.
At the eighth party congress held by North Korea in January 2021, it announced the five strategic weapons missions to strengthen national defense, including hypersonic missiles, super large nuclear weapons, intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM), and multiple warheads to guide separatelyTechnology (MIRV) pointed out that the development and development of nuclear submarines (SSBNs) and submarine -to -aircraft ballistic missiles (SLBM), promoting miniaturization and tactical weapons of nuclear weapons, as well as the development and development of military reconnaissance satellites and unmanned reconnaissance aircraft.It is important to complete these tasks from Russia by planning to complete these tasks in 2026.In particular, the military reconnaissance satellites that failed to launch this year, intercontinental ballistic missiles have entered the atmosphere technology, and the construction of nuclear -powered submarines requires Russian technology transfer.The danger of North and Russia has already appeared, which is worrying.
In addition, approaching North Russia has significant diplomatic significance.North Korea tried to get rid of isolation, show strong unity with China and Russia, and played a demonstration to South Korea, the United States and Japan.Of course, China ’s support or support methods is unknown, but the way is to strengthen the DPRK -Russian alliance and build a unity between North China, China and Russia.From the perspective of these practices in North Korea, it may have given up the efforts that have been pursued in the past 30 years.From the perspective of Russia, it is of great significance to establish close cooperation in the North Korea relations to curb the cooperation between South Korea and the United States and Japan, while pressure on the United States.This is because strengthening the North Korea -Russian military alliance is likely to disperse people's attention to the deterrent of the Ukrainian war and the United States to strengthen the Korean Peninsula, which naturally has led to the upgrading of the tension of the Korean Peninsula's nuclear tension.In particular, Putin chose the Oriental Base as the meeting place, highlighting the symbolic significance of conveying the willingness of military cooperation with space technology to the outside world.This is a double strategy in Russia to indirectly pressure and attract China to the United States, while supporting North Korea to strengthen military strength.
North Korea's cutting -edge technology threatens China
However, this close relationship between North Korea and Russia does not guarantee that it will develop according to the wishes of the two countries, but may become a self -destruction.Although North Korea starts to supply weapons to Russia regardless of US sanctions, Russia does not necessarily provide super -end nuclear submarines and reconnaissance satellite technology, because transfer technology not only takes a long time, but also will definitely be opposed by China.Because North Korea has strong military power and cutting -edge technology, it may pose a threat to China that borders it, and may not listen to Beijing.
Russia is a permanent member of the Security Council. It has supported sanctions on North Korea, but it does not perform international responsibilities, but seek military cooperation with North Korea in exchange for weapons supply.The pursuit of close relationships between North Korea and Russia, which are sanctioned by the Security Council, may offset the means to prevent North Korea from developing large -scale killing weapons and not avoid sanctions in the international community.This is the big mistake of Russia.Especially Russia's adventure gambling may pose a direct threat to South Korea.Of course, South Korea and Russia relations are important, but if Putin directly provides Kim Jong -un with technology that may endanger South Korea, South Korea will inevitably respond to it from the perspective of national security.
In this case, China's attitude is important. South Korea, the United States, and Japan have recently strengthened the triangle cooperation through the David Camp Summit. North Korea and Russia are building a common front against the West.The Chinese and Russian confrontation structures do have concerns that the confrontation structure may be intensified.Although it is difficult for China to oppose DPRK and Russia, China does not need to join this structure and join forces with the two international abandoned countries, North Korea and Russia.Russia, which has no reason, has no reason to hide its support for North Korea, but China does not need to stimulate the United States by establishing a common front with them.Especially if China is involved in military cooperation, the reason that the opposition to the opposition to South Korea and the US military will disappear.
Russia uses each other to send resistance information in the direction of the United States and the West.North Korea has always hoped that through the unity between North Korea, China and Russia to consolidate the new Cold War structure. If the new Cold War structure is established, North Korea can continue to pursue nuclear capacity progress. At the same time, rely on China and Russia's two supporters to make nuclear weapons a factor.If this confrontation structure is established, it is likely that not only the Ukrainian war will be extended, but North Korea's security threat to South Korea, the United States and Japan will also increase. In the end, it may not only exacerbate the Korean Peninsula tight.Zhang's situation has also deteriorated the situation in East Asia and even the world.Of course it is also very unfavorable to China.
The security threat facing South Korea is by no means an attachment to the United States and China or US -Russian relations.South Korea's response to North Korea's nuclear plan is an imminent security threat, and there are not many choices.South Korea has been destroyed by the war, overcoming the sequelae of war for more than 70 years, and has grown into the world's top 10 economic and cultural powers.Although South Korea is still threatened by North Korean nuclear weapons, it is now hoping to make themselves a model country dedicated to achieving global value.Once again, for South Korea, South Korea -American and Japan cooperation is a defensive measure to deal with North Korean nuclear threats.Of course, South Korea will continue to communicate with China and Russia to show that there is no reason to promote the new cold war, and at the same time hopes that China will treat it rationally.
The author is a professor at the University of Foreign Language and Foreign Language
The President of the Northeast Asia Future Cooperation Forum
