Source: Hong Kong 01
Author: Ye Dehao
After almost two months after the Niger's military coup, the French President Macron, which had been refused to accept the military deportation ambassador and the garrison, finally decided on September 24 to finally decide to "admit defeat".In fact, the French ambassador to the embassy under house arrest, at the same time, showed the withdrawal of 1,500 local guards by the end of this year.Macron has criticized the military government that he is no longer committed to counter -terrorism, and he will not let France leave hostages in Niger to hijack the "rebel".
However, although Macron has not acknowledged the legal government of the military government as Niger, he has stated that he will cooperate with the military in the process of withdrawal to ensure that the withdrawal process is smooth.These decisions have a difference with the Pharisee's hint to support the West African Economic Community (ECOWAS) military intervention at the beginning of the Niger coup.
Unlike most Western colonists, after going to colonization, France still retains the army and important political and economic influence in many former colonies in Africa.However, since 2020, military coup has occurred in many countries in Western Africa. The military government (with the Wagner Group supported by Russia) holds up the banner against French colonialism to win the support of the public.military.Niger, who had just experienced the first democratic election of peace in 1960, has become a place where the French army is in West Africa. Unexpectedly, the wind of coup has spread to Niger this year.
At present, in addition to Niger, France has only Gibbuti, Gabon, Senegal, and Ivory Coast where France still has garrison in Africa.The Bango family's pro -law regime.Although France knows that Gabon's political situation is different from President Niger's original president, and the situation caused by fairness and fair elections is different, so there is no fierce opposition, but the local French army is probably just a line.
Macron has been advertised as the first French president after being born in the first colonial era since he came to power in 2017. It advocates that the French -African relationship must enter a new era.Artists return African countries, agree to cancel the French French Lang, and retreat from the existence of the French army in Western Africa from the front line.However, Macron's efforts have not been able to achieve positive results in the anti -French propaganda that West Africa has participated in in recent years.
Macron's European military dream, before the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine War, was originally used as a trial site in West Africa's counter -terrorism. Now even France has almost no place to stand.Unable to continue.
It is worth noting that at the beginning of the Niger coup, media reports were often discussed with the French garrison. In fact, there were actually thousands of guardians of the United States and its drone base.The U.S. military can be left low -key when Macron "defeats".
And, compared to the French ambassador was expelled, the US Ambassador to Niger was actually appointed after the coup occurred at the end of July. Moreover, the ambassador arrived in Niger in mid -August.Even though the United States does not recognize the legitimacy of the Niger Military Government, the military government has such "differential treatment" for France and the United States.
There are two reasons in 原.First of all, although the US Biden officials often hold the banner of values diplomacy, they often adopt pragmatic policies in the diplomatic fields that do not care about much people.After the Niger coup, the United States sent several seniors of the State Council to negotiate with the military government, and refused to follow the hints of the French Association to support West Africa's military intervention and advocate diplomatic resolution.These positions have even caused anonymous French officials to express their dissatisfaction with the United States' approach to the United States.
Secondly, Niger belongs to the French sphere of influence in the French global concept. Even if Macron has repeatedly stated that he wants to say goodbye to "French Africa", his policy logic has not deviated too much from this setting; compared to compared withIn the following, the United States has no such favors in the Sahele region of West Africa. Whoever is willing to cooperate with the US policy can accept the United States.
This time Macron's withdrawal from Niger, to a certain extent, the result of the United States refused to support "French Africa".The nature is the same.Imagine that if the United States supports the threat of military intervention in West African community like France, I am afraid that the Niger Military Government will not dare to be so reckless to France.
After West Africa's European military autonomous trial field became the sky pavilion, the battle of Ukraine became the only way to Macron's continued advancement of European -based military strategy.Since the beginning of this year, France has adopted the Eagle School in controversy in Aidu, such as losing Ukraine and long -range missiles in the main battle tank, long -range missiles.On September 22, the headquarters of the Russian Black Sea Fleet in Crimea was attacked. It seems that the long -range air -to -earth missiles provided by the UK and France, which use it, are called "Storm Shadow". France calls "Scalp-eg.
Compared to the beginning of the war, it continued to talk about Putin and claim that it could not humiliate Russia. Macron could be regarded as changing his face this year and became a helping UK.
If the US election in 2024, Trump, who opposes the aid of Wu, really came to power.European aid characters will become the key to the direction of the Russian and Ukraine War, and the most military power in the European Union will become the key to the key (in fact, Europe has recently exceeded the total amount of assistance to Ukraine's aid commitment to Ukraine).Macron will not let go of this opportunity to build European military autonomy again.
In the past, in the past, in the case of little attention in the United States, Macron has been presented to European countries to show military deterrence.In the past two years, Turkey and the East China Sea in Greece and the East China Sea, France not only sent warships to enter the field, but also signed bilateral joint defense agreements outside NATO with Greece.We can wait and see if the same situation will happen to Ukraine.