At the two -day G20 summit, leaders of many countries around the world gathered in New Delhi, India.As the global economy is sluggish, New Delhi seems to intentionally instruct the global economic development direction.The G20 summit has once again become India's high time.India seems to try to take the opportunity to become the leader in the south of the world.Can India really do it?
In June this year, Washington ushered in a VIP with a red carpet, which was India Prime Minister Modi, who had been banned by Washington for 10 years.In Washington, Modi and Biden had a private dinner with Biden and also delivered a speech in the U.S. Congress. This is a very high -level courtesy.At this moment, India has attracted worldwide attention.
In July, India, as the rotating chairman of the SCO, hosted the Shanghai Summit online and issued a New Delhi declaration to the world, showing the gesture of the great power.In August, the BRICS Summit was held in South Africa, and India was invited to participate in the meeting as one of the five countries.At the meeting, India brought the awareness of pro -beauty into the summit, such as "refusing to go to the US dollar" to add pro -Western standards to the addition of member states.Although there is no obvious pro -American diplomacy, it has become the fulcrum of the United States in the BRICS conference.
Not only India, but many Southeast Asian countries get a share from the opposition between China and the United States.But India is obviously the most profitable party.Politically, the United States has changed its former Asia -Pacific strategy to Indo -Pacific Strategy, linking the Pacific Ocean and the Indian Ocean.Washington also intends to enhance the strategic position of New Delhi in the Asia -Pacific region to contain China's rise.Economically, India has surpassed Britain to become the fifth largest economy in the world, and surpassed China to become the world's most populous country.Today, India has also become the fourth country to board the moon, and is also the first country to land on the Moon Antarctic.In diplomacy, India, which pursues strategic autonomy, can travel between major countries.It has a good relationship with Russia, buying weapons from Russia; increasingly closer to the United States; and also achieving high -frequency interaction with Europe; it is deepening relationships with Japan.India seems to gradually deviate from its strategic autonomy, becoming the representative of Europe and the United States in the Asia -Pacific and the world.
Under the United States, countries seek to decompose the supply chain with China, especially in key and emerging technology fields.India has become a substitute for China.A typical case is Foxconn turned to India.Due to the low labor cost of India, the supply chain of global brands such as Samsung and Apple, as well as companies such as OPPO, Vivo, Xiaomi, Lenovo, TCL, Haier, and Midea also moved to India.
Although India has established a "circle of friends" with the United States, Japan, and South Korea.This makes them look relatively stable in political trust, but the rise of India also faces many challenges.
First, the existing manufacturing capacity of India is still at a low level. From the perspective of the structure of export products, about 95%of China's export products are manufacturing products, and only 61%of the manufacturing industry in Indian export productsEssenceIn addition, most of the manufacturing industries exported to India are low -end.The author emphasizes the manufacturing industry because the manufacturing industry can fundamentally reflect the comprehensive strength and international competitiveness of a country.
Second, India does not have an industrial chain and logistics chain with a complete manufacturing industrial system like China, and it is difficult to become a world factory.The Chinese industrial chain and logistics chain should be the top of the world. Take the Greater Bay Area as an example. To assemble a computer, you can buy mouse from Dongguan, buy a CPU from Shenzhen, use China's developed logistics to complete the assembly with competitive costs to complete the assembly.EssenceAnd these are not available in other countries.
Third, Indian education is weak and the population quality is not high.Low quality has become the burden of dragging down India's economic development.In addition, women's education level is low and the employment rate is low, which directly affects the education level of future generations.Due to poor living standards and poor hygiene conditions, it is difficult to stay in India even in India even if they are trained.India has become the main source of new immigrants in European and American countries.
Fourth, the domestic class of India is serious, the gap between the rich and the poor is huge, which hinders the release of productivity.Some reports show that Indian poverty has continued to increase, but the elite class is becoming richer. If the revenue is ranked, the average income of the top 10%of the wealthy population is more than 20 times the last 50%.
Fifth, India's cultural obstacles.Some media have reported that Indian suppliers have no learning attitude as much as China, and some principles are difficult to promote in India.Indians' time concept and grasp of principles are worse than China.It has been reported that Apple Supplier Tata's waste rate in the iPhone case production plant in southern India is as high as 50%. Experts say that the problem may be in some characteristics of Indian culture.
Sixth, the government at all levels of India is not efficient, and the procedures are cumbersome. It is also necessary to obtain permission.Our familiar Indian film wrestling, Dad mocked all the injustice of Indian and national bureaucrats.The inefficiency of bureaucracy not only hinders India's economic development, but also provides countless opportunities for corruption.
Replacing China to become the leader of the south of the world is India's current diplomatic axis, but it also faces many challenges. The reform of systems, culture, and education is not achieved overnight.Press "shortcut".India is obviously standing at a strategic air outlet, and this is the opportunity to lose China.
The author is a senior researcher at the Yangtze River Zhihui Ideological Library in Hong Kong