Source: Taiwan Newspaper

Author: Chen Jiahong

First ask two questions first.The first question: Who is the most hoped for Guo Taiming to run for election now?There is no doubt that of course it is the DPP.Second question: Who does not want Lai Qingde to be elected in the world?There is no suspense, of course, the Beijing government.After determining these two questions, Guo Taiming will finally run independently, and the answer has been clearly unveiled.

Guo Taiming cannot run independently, but why is it still on the battle now?One of the most direct reasons was that Guo Taiming felt insulted during the entire Kuomintang nomination process.The Kuomintang announced on May 17th that he nominated Hou Youyi. These two days ago, Zhu Lilun and Guo Taiming (later added with Hou Youyi) talked for more than four hours. After the talk, Guo Taiming did not know that Zhu Xian nominated Hou Youyi.On the morning of May 16th, even the front page of the media has been determined to be Hou Youyi qualifying. Guo Taiming also instructed the staff to pre -plans a "victory statement";Someone reminded him that "the situation may not be optimistic", and then there was Guo Zhu Erhui to determine that "the groom is not him."

It can only be said that if this entire process is not lying on Guo Taiming, it is the merchant that the businessman's conversation with politicians can not be understood; no matter which one is, this is extremely great for Guo Taiming's "political IQ".Insulting, he has always been higher than the top, where can he swallow it.Guo Taiming must recover the face, or to the minimum also proves that Zhu Lilun recruited Hou Youyi this decision was wrong.Of course, Hou Youyi was really uncomfortable. After he nominated, a series of performances of the deserted lane really made Guo Taiming get this opportunity to "prove himself".

Guo Taiming definitely does not want to run independently, because the presidential election in Taiwan is a solid party struggle.EssenceGuo Taiming is a savvy businessman. What he thinks is "buying and merging". It is not as good as you in four pieces. I will be close to three pieces. I can live in the second one that day.First, this has always been his wishful thinking.

From the beginning of the world, Guo Taiming has to be "backdoor". First of all, from Ke Wenzhe's people's party, there are two people "Golden Gate Beach Moon Lights", and even "Big Brother, let me make you"The rumors flowed out; however, Ke Wenzhe's wings had become successful, obviously did not let Guo Dong show his heart.Unexpectedly, Hou Youyi's momentum was immediately like a mercury, and Guo Dongluo took the front line of returning to the Kuomintang.He began to contact the Kuomintang local leaders and legislators candidates, creating the hen of "I can cover you"; he publicized various policy programs in a state of trouble, just to compare Hou Youyi's words of the awkwardness: he tried to find ways to do what he wanted to do is to have to do.Tell all the pan -blue non -green voters: "Hou Youyi does not, my brother, I have all here."

Guo Taiming is constantly pressureing, but this is not enough. He wants to "pressure on the limit."Therefore, several pipelines even reported that he was going to be independent to run for elections.It wasn't for a wrong decision, and constantly swimming between "whether the cost of changing the Hou" and "the cost of changing Hou" were swimming.He may even convince the relatives around him to believe that he wants to choose, because only in this way can he get thousands of snow for his momentum.

All the people in Taiwan are in the eyes, so the recent presidential election polls have fallen into a state of unstable; that is because the pan -blue people who look forward to changing are either to support Ke Wenzhe or hide; or evenThere are also a few pan -green supporters who think they are smart, and deliberately run to support third -party candidates.Hou Youyi's support is clearly underestimated, because the Kuomintang nominated candidates at least 205 % of support; however, as long as the "Guo Taiming factor" does not disappear, Hou's support is difficult to cross 20 % in the short term.

But Guo Taiming's extreme pressure is still difficult to succeed.First, Jin Jicong's admission to Hou Youyi is an important message. If Guo did too much, the fierce knife will often say hello to Guo Ying next time.Second, the Kuomintang's factors that did not nominate Guo Taiming did not disappear. Why should you change it?Third, Guo Taiming is playing the game of mergers and acquisitions, but that is the logic of the mall rather than the political logic. Every Kuomintang leader has its own account. Why should you let you play a businessman (outsiders) to play?

Guo Taiming cannot run independently. This is based on the rational analysis of rational people; just, if the perpetrator is "irrational", everything will be another matter!

(the author is the general pens of the report)