Indian Prime Minister Modi conducted a three -day state visit to the United States on June 22 and signed a joint statement in the United States and India.China).
In this statement, the two sides not only emphasized the importance of "rules -based international order", but also reiterated that "the contemporary global order is based on the principles of the United Nations Charter, international law, and respect for national sovereignty and territorial integrity.""I am worried about the coercion and the increasingly tense situation" and "reiterate the long -lasting commitment to the Indo -Pacific region of freedom, openness, tolerance, peace, and prosperity."The joint statement covers almost all aspects of politics, military, culture, education, technology and other aspects. The actual effect is as the former director of the American Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said that India has begun alliance with the United States, and the cooperation has exceeded all over all.The allies (although there is no corresponding treaty), the purpose is to replace China in an all -round way, and become a key strategic partner of the United States in Asia to better suppress China.Therefore, the significance of the statement is no less significant than that of the United States to suppress the Soviet Union by the United States, which can even be said to be exactly the same.
If we will promote the Obama period, the cross -Pacific partnership agreement (TPP) and the cross -Atlantic trade and investment partnership agreement (TTIP), and the "Asian NATO" recently promoted by the United States (that is, the United States, Japan, Australia,, Australia, Australia, Australia, Australia,The bilateral or multi -sides signed by Asian countries such as South Korea and India is combined with the US -led military alliance) with the United States and India Alliance.Contain China.
The strategy used by the United States is to differentiate the disintegration of tiles, each break, eaten one by one, or processed the periphery first, and then the core.In the face of this round of curbing strategy, China responded passive and slow, and failed to adopt a positive and effective strategy, so that the situation was rushing down.In addition to the propaganda of the trade war and epidemic prevention policies between China and the United States, the position in the Russian and Ukraine War is also very important.It was the neutral statement of China in Russia and Ukraine that completely opened the distance between China and the United States.The final formation of the United States and India Alliance has greatly benefited from India's original ambiguous attitude in India's real international dispute on a series of sensitive (Russia -Ukraine War), and basically recognized the US position.Therefore, with the changes in the position on the issue of epidemic prevention and the issue of Russia and Ukraine, isn't it also a valuable opportunity for China to change Sino -US relations?
Analysis of the Pre -League of the United States and India
The author is neither pessimistic nor optimistic about the predecessor of the United States and India.On the one hand, it shows that the United States has pulled a heavy weight partner in Asia to compete and block China, which has too many disadvantages on China's influence and strategic interests in Asia in Asia.On the other hand, India is very different from the complexity of the national conditions in Japan and China.
Specifically, there are three main reasons for determining this prospect: First, from historical experience, India has always been driven by the double drive of nationalist awareness and national interests.The influence, but it is not favored by Americans for a long time; second, the complexity of the domestic nation, religion and the surname system in India will directly affect the future of the United States and India; third, the ultimate key is to depend on China and the United States.The direction of relationships, and how the Chinese government responds to China -India relations.
Because it is because of the increasingly severe Sino -US confrontation situation, the Bayeng government did not hesitate to lower his figure, showing a more pragmatic and flexible foreign policy, and actively seeking closer cooperation with India.At the same time, for India, which has long -term watching in the Sino -US game, the situation of continued tensions in the China -India border in the past five years, and Pakistan, who is a deadly enemy of India, actively participated in the "Belt and Road" to pass through the China -Pakistan economy through the Pakistani Kashmir region.The corridor has exacerbated and worsen Sino -India relations, just as the senior defense analyst of Rand Derek Grossman analyzes.
It is the squeezing of this real political interest that makes Yinmei come together, which is getting closer and closer.Therefore, if China can relieve the continuous tension between China and the United States, China and India relations, and the middle and lower kung fu, so that the United States and India will be unknown and only symbolic?
China's response strategy
Zi Zhongzheng once said that Sino -US relations were talked about. On the one hand, the author deeply identified it, and on the other hand, it was believed that Sino -US relations were also struggle (beating).There are two meanings here: one is that Sino -US relations have the painful lessons of the direct conflict between the Korean and the Vietnam War, but also the Chinese and China.Without the previous fight, it is not valuable and valuable for the latter cooperation; the second is that China and the United States officially kicked off the Cold War of the Asia -Pacific Cold War due to the struggle.Since then, China and the United States have come together because of the joint resistance of the Soviet Union.For China, the Self -defense counterattack is the signal of the United States Anti -Soviet, and the historical process of the great rejuvenation of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation marked by the change is opened.Therefore, Sino -US relations have never been talked about, and they must have a struggle. The key is to depend on the positioning of China's international strategic pattern and the grasp of the struggle with the United States.Fang is the best policy, and it is more in line with China's national interests.
In this regard, the Cold War has given China too much inspiration.It is the Cold War that China and the United States opened in the Asia -Pacific region, making Japan the most profitable fisherman in the post -war Asia Pacific.As Zi Zhongzheng pointed out: The strategic base point of the United States in Asia has changed from Fushu Day to Fushi to suppress China.Because at the end of World War II, China was the first ally in Asia in the United States, and almost won the sympathy and favors of all Americans.The US government's strategy in Asia is to support and rely on China to prevent the resurrection of Japanese militarism.However, with the start of the Cold War and the Korean War of the United States and the Soviet Union, the division of the two camps has been divided, and the United States has decided to abandon China and determine that Japan is the Asian strategy dependence and support.So we took a series of measures such as Japan's economy and trade to achieve a post -war Japanese miracle.
In recent years, the intensified China -US game, especially the Russian and Ukraine War, has made the United States show signs of restarting the Cold War.Will India become the biggest winner this time?Judging from the US -India Alliance, it seems like this.But whether it can make a miracle after World War II, it must be seen.As the author has repeatedly believed, the key to the rise of any civilization depends on the internal cause. Even if the external cause can support prosperity and prosperity for a while, he will eventually encounter his insurmountable obstacles.This is so far, only East Asian countries or regions have stepped up the West after the West, and one of the main reasons for its brilliant (of course, East Asia also has East Asian issues and challenges).
Is the iron curtain of the Cold War between the Sino -US Cold War that has fallen?(Lianhe Morning News June 2nd Edition) At the end of the article, the United States called on the United States to calm down, "Return to the United States, who is convinced and respectful as the source of freedom and progress in all human beings.All frictions in China and the United States seriously reflect on and sort out in order to clarify which of China should be adjusted and which ones should be corrected by the United States themselves? Which of China and the United States have the opponents of both sides?Daxide trap is difficult to extricate yourself? "
Why don't these words say to China?Only the Chinese Dynasty can calm down, calm down, start from the great power, and seriously consolidate the basis of the great idea of human destiny community in real international politics.China, a China, who treats others with sincerity and depends on the dependence of all parties, is the justice that adheres to international morality and law and maintains the United Nations Charter.It is destined to be unable to shake!
The author is a researcher at the Ash Democratic Governance and Innovation Center of Kennedy College of Harvard University of China University of Political Science and Law
