Erdogan, who has held the current President Erdogan, who has been holding the regime for more than 10 years, is still under multiple negative issues such as the epidemic, severe inflation, heavy currency derogation and economic commission, and still in the second round of the Turkish election of this year.With more than half of the votes, he could continue to take charge of the Turkish regime and below the glasses of most experts and analysts.
Most foreign media and "overseas institutions" are mostly not optimistic about Erdogan's re -election before the election. After all, Turkey's Related degradation of more than 80%, prices soaring let people complain; many of the extremely ridiculous currencies and fiscal policies in the eyes of experts,Like the Turkish central bank, under severe inflation, the trend cuts interest rates; the candidate launched by the opposition, Kilmal Kilicdaroglu, is aggressive. Generally, the regime rotation is an inevitable trend.Ethnicism has continued to affect this most important economy across the Middle East -West Asia.
Under the circumstances of public opinion that it is generally not optimistic about the ruling and the Development Party (AKP), there are even people even analyzed that Erdogan may announce the postponement of the February earthquake and post -disaster reconstruction to announce the post -May of May.Election, but obviously his old man is confident.Although the election situation is quite stuck, Erdogan still received about 49%of the votes in the first round of voting on May 14th, which was more integrated than the main opponent Kellechidalolu.%Of voters have more support.
According to the Turkish Constitution, if no group of candidates get more than half of the votes, they must enter the second round of elections (which is similar to the French presidential selection).The second round of elections on May 28th, when more than 99%of the votes were issued, Erdogan had included more than 52%of the votes (the opponent was 47.8%), and the gap exceeded 2 million votes.Without suspense, Erdogan was determined to become the next president of Turkey, continuing his strange but always "manipulating public opinion."
A total of 24 political parties participated in this Turkish election and won 600 seats in the National Assembly. It was selected by the total number of registered legal voters (including about 3.4 million overseas voters) with a total number of more than 64.1 million.Most polls show that the issues that Volkswagen cares most include: how to revive economic development, the recovery plan after the earthquake, and the problems of the nation and refugees in Turkey (such as Kurdish and Syrian refugees, etc.).These are all the fields of the Erdogan government.
The "National Alliance", which is integrated by Kellechidalolu, also focuses on the economic cards, critically criticized the current government's wrong economic policy, and vowed to actively prepare to join the EU after obtaining the regime."Dear Western" diplomatic strategy.This is why the mainstream European and American forces are highly looking forward to this election that can be turned over, so that Turkey should not be too close to China (and even Russia).
Sure enough, this election can be regarded as the closest victory of the opposition.Compared with the past AKP, the absolute majority of support votes were won. In 2023, the number of voters in many constituencies showed a stagnant situation.Some observations pointed out that some of the opposition votes come from voters who "hate the ruling party", rather than truly agree with the policy proposition of the wild party candidate.
In addition to the President's re -election by Erdogan, in terms of parliamental elections, the "People's Alliance" composed of other political parties with similar positions and other political parties won 323 seats, and the opposition "National Alliance" won 212The rest, the rest are divided by other small parties.From the results, although the public has high expectations for economic development, in most conservative areas, the rather than the people still agree that maintaining stability can promote development, reflecting that Erdogan's continuous "rebuilding Turkey's century in the media has been advocated by the media.The promotional effect of glory.
Although Turkey has already embarked on the road of modern countries in modern times, the development of democratic politics has always been difficult, and often causes people's grievances to the inside, allowing the topic of opposition forces to manipulate.However, Erdogan is good at using religious inspiration to consolidate his centralized leadership with nationalism.Scholars of international relations have even described the most strong personal worship since the "Erdoganism" described by Turkish Father Kelly.Erdogan also knows this, knows how to use governing resources to create its own political charm, and go deep into the province and the countryside through various channels.This is the intellectuals who stay in Istanbul and have always dealt with intellectuals who are always with overseas study abroad and Western diplomats to misjudge the situation.
The vast majority of Turkey's 64 million voters do not have the ability to contact sufficient international information. At the same time, it is also the devout Islamic believers. It has a longing and longing for the glory of the Ottoman Empire.If there are politicians to give hope at this time, there is a high probability to gather the hearts of the people. The pain caused by inflation and the depreciation of the currency seems to be tolerated in front of the country.
Can personal idol worship and religious doctrine be controlled all the time?This depends on whether civic education and democratic consciousness can become increasingly popular in Turkey, and whether the opposition of forces can find proper breakthroughs, operate public opinion that is dissatisfied with the current government, and flip Erdogan's authoritarian rule.However, even if there is one day, will the newly appointed bureaucracy be another bureaucrat, and it may be difficult to say.
The author is the United Nations Advisor of the Information Technology Department
