Lu Yi: Central Asia, which has no sense of existence, is the most critical turning poi

Source: Hong Kong 01

Author: Lu Yi

Because of war, the world's eyes are attracted by the situation of Russia and Ukraine.Chinese Ambassador Li Hui made his envoys and temporarily increased the EU. He has met with Ukrainian President Zelezkiski. Beijing's promotional political resolution of the Ukrainian crisis can be realized. It seems to be the most critical international issue.At the same time as Zeelianzki met with Li Hui, the China -Central Asian Summit was held in Xi'an, China.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and Kazakhstan President Takayev, Kyrgyzstan President Zaparov, Tajikistan President Rahmon, Turkmenistan President Beildamhamadov, Uzbekistan President MirchiyeyeThe husband gathered together to consolidate the cooperation consensus in order to enter a new era of China -Central Asian relations with a more united attitude, more efficient collaboration, and more pragmatic cooperation.

Xi Jinping proposed to "build a community of destiny in China -Central Asia", so as to achieve four persistence -persistence of watching and helping each other; adhering to common development; adherence to universal security; adherence to generations of friendship.It is committed to strengthening mechanism construction, expanding economic and trade relations, deepening interconnection, expanding energy cooperation, promoting green innovation, enhancing development capabilities, strengthening civilized dialogue, and maintaining regional peace.And develop well. "This time, the China -Central Asian Head Head of state meets the mechanism and is held every two years. It also establishes a permanent secretary office in China -Central Asian mechanisms in China.

The Xi'an Central Asia Summit is quite a sense of the 2014 Beijing APEC Summit. Why do Xi Jinping value Central Asia so much?It must be acknowledged that Central Asia has no sense of existence in the world. Most people's impression of Central Asia is estimated to be a "Stan" behind the names of Central Asian countries.Another more, this time Xi Jinping met with the five countries of "Stan". Without Russia, public opinion stared at whether Beijing would "shot" to the back garden of Russia, and even some media pointed out "Putin is deeply invaded in the Ukraine Mud China.Harvest in Central Asian fruits. "However, there is such a low sense of existence, but it is the most critical turning point in the Asian and Europe sector. This is a long -term strategy, and it will even become the key to China's rise and rejuvenation.

Central Asia is important. Why is there any sense of existence in the world?

In the past, it was the Western camp that dominated the world's trade. It is a division of industrial chain in the American -style globalized industrial chain, all of which revolved around the "American order".The "American order" is naturally not conducive to Central Asian countries.

From a geographical point of view, the United States hangs in North America, surrounds the sea on three sides to lead the ocean, far from the core areas of the Asia and Europe.If the United States wants to maintain its influence on Eurasia, it must have a huge navy and overseas bases, and supports a large number of attached countries in order to maintain its own global hegemon.Therefore, the United States naturally becomes a great power country. Under the leadership of the United States, the global order is the marginal countries and regions of the "Asia and Europe". Regardless of the four small tigers in Asia or Japan and South Korea, for these countries, the shipping is talented.It is the most convenient.As long as all the main maritime maritime lanes are controlled, the global economic life pulse is controlled.

In this case, Central Asian countries cannot be valued.The Central Asia Five State itself is also a hell start. It is a place where the four wars (flat, no danger, no danger, and easy to be attacked). Traditional agriculture is difficult to develop, stay away from the ocean, and the trade circulation is not smooth.

How can Central Asia rise?

If global goods are dominated by sea transportation, Central Asia is a locked inland poor country, when can Eurasian land transportation rise?This depends on where the consumer market is.

Over the past few decades, the US dollar hegemony, military monopoly and scientific and technological dividends have made the United States the largest consumer market in the world, and then the European Union has a well -developed developed country with high welfare and high consumption level.The super -strong situation in Europe and the United States allows them to determine the global raw materials and commodity exporters. Whether it is time to travel to the sea or land transport, the latter is not qualified to choose.

Turning point occurred around 2008, and China's total social consumer goods rose straight.This year is actually an important watershed in China's industrial upgrading. A group of enterprises have ushered in gold development time:

Smartphone: Established OPPO mobile phone in 2004, established vivo mobile phone in 2009, the first smartphone in Huawei in 2009, and the establishment of Xiaomi mobile phone in 2010; online enterprises: Alipay launched a payment business in 2008, Baidu launched in 2010Mobile APP, JD.com launched the mobile phone app in 2011, Sina Weibo was established in 2009, Meituan was established in 2010, WeChat was established in 2011, Kuaishou was established in 2011, Douyin was established in 2016; automobile industry: 2009 in 2009: 2009For nine consecutive years, China has ranked largest in the world's new car production and sales, and the production and sales of new energy vehicles have also ranked first in the world.In the first quarter of this year, the number of Chinese automobile companies exported 994,000 units, an increase of 70.6%year -on -year. In the first quarter of Japan, it was only 954,000 automobile exports, which had lagged behind China in single quarter.In other words, China surpasses Japan to become the world's largest car exporter.

The five most important consumer markets in the world today are: the United States, China, the European Union, Southeast Asia and India.In other words, except for the United States, the other four consumer markets, including China, the European Union, Southeast Asia, and India, are all concentrated in the Asia and Europe.

It is worth noting that China, Southeast Asia, and India can be regarded as a large consumer market, with close economic connections, and can be easily connected through land transportation.The European market is relatively far away. In the past, in the past, if the East Asian consumer market wanted to have economic exchanges with the European Union, only shipping was available, from Malacca to the Indian Ocean, and finally entered the Mediterranean via the Red Sea.However, if Central Asia can become the core of the transportation hub, then the Eurasian economic integration is no longer a conceptual word for mirror flowers and water, and nothingness.In fact, the China -Europe trains have opened up the traffic artery on the road of Eurasia.

Of course, why did the Central European train happen?The key to all this is China's industrial upgrade.Only the industrial upgrades have been truly upgraded, driving consumption power to rise, and forming a benign domestic demand market.When the domestic demand market in China was formed, the two land trade channels of Central Asia and the Middle East were then integrated to completely open up the European Union and the Chinese market.When two huge economic energy form a cycle, the entire mainland economy can be activated.

It is also necessary to see how much the European Union is determined to get rid of the United States. Only when the European Union is truly independent, can the EU be able to participate in the Economic integration of Asia -Europe.

Central Asian land transportation has laid down wooden stakes

In terms of land transportation in Central Asia, there are three major directions in the European Union:

First of all, China -Central Asia -Russia -EU.This line has been opened and has been subdivided into two land trade lines.One is the China Inner Mongolia -Russia -Belarus -EU.The second is the Western Region of China -Central Asia -Russia -Belarus -EU.These two can be clearly visible in the complete planning diagram of the Central European trains.

The second major direction is China -Central Asia -Lyo -Black Sea -EU.If the Nakashi Railway is through, it means that this land trade line is opened.During the Single Organization Summit last year, China, Kyrgyzstan, and Uzbekistan signed cooperation documents around the China -Geewu Railway project to achieve staged progress.

The third direction is China -Pakistan (or Afghanistan) -Iran -Turkey -EU.At the SCO meeting last year, Iran officially joined the SCO.In this way, China and Russia just surrounded Central Asia into an iron barrel.Of course, this iron barrel has two gaps, one is Armenia and Azerbaijan next to Turkey; the other is Afghanistan and Pakistan.But in fact these two gaps covered China and Russia's influence.This land transport line, Turkey is a very important node, Turkey, the EU on the left, the right side is the Middle East, connected to the Black Sea, and the Mediterranean.Past daily daily Turkish riding wallLooking at it, the forces of all parties are drawn, but now the domestic inflation is high, and the external geographical changes, Ming Erdogan was deeply attracted by the cake behind the SCO.

In other words, in terms of land transportation in Central Asia, it has laid a solid foundation.At the beginning of the starting stage, a "potential" change will be revitalized.

Former US President Carter Carter's national security adviser, Bu -Rezuski, wrote in the chess game: It is the greatest danger to the United States to be alert to the United States.The meaning here is that once China, Russia and Iraq have reached a anti -hegemony consensus, Central Asia will be completely stable, and then integrate into the situation in the Belt and Road, the United States will be a serious situation.

Economic integration of Asia -Europe will directly affect the US power status, and it is especially like China ’s trade channels, energy supply and raw materials supply.Starting from Central Asia, the EU can be obtained by the EU.With the blessing of the Beidou system, the efficiency of Eurasia's land transportation can not say that it can kill sea transportation. At least it will cause serious blows to the US shipping hegemony in the United States, and step by step.

Why is the geographical structure of Central Asia so important?There is an old saying in China, "Those who get Jingzhou to get the world", and Central Asia is equivalent to the "Jingzhou" of the Earth Village.