Scenery of Tiananmen, China.(Bloomberg)
Regardless of the West, Taiwan, or the mainland (including Hong Kong), the existing political system must be reasonable, especially the mainland.What the mainland currently needs is not simply copying the Western democratic system of "Chen Shui -bian andrdquo; and establishing a new type of democratic system that can ensure that the leaders can be Andrdquo;
Many people now believe that mainland China should implement the set of democracy in Taiwan, which certainly makes sense.However, the implementation of Taiwan democracy in the mainland will completely choose the mainland version of the "Chen Shuibian Andrdquo;? This is the problem that the mainland intellectuals must think rationally.
In the mainland to implement a modern democratic system in the West, the mainland version of the mainland version of "Chen Shui -bian Andrdquo;. Most people with a little rational and wrong concepts no longer deny that Chen Shui -bian is the largest in Taiwan's politics, the recognition of Western society in Western society, and the three judicial Judicial three judicialness in Taiwan.The criminal of the review (although the trial of several major cases has been suspended).
The reason is extremely simple and clear: he is neither Li Denghui appointed nor to grab the power through military coup or other non -democratic methods. Instead, the Taiwanese people are legally elected by the standard procedures for Western democratic elections, and they are two consecutive years.Western countries, Taiwan's political parties and most people have never questioned whether his election violates the democratic procedures in Western or Taiwan.
In this case, the implementation of Taiwan's democracy on the mainland may have the same results, and the excellent criminals similar to Chen Shui -bian are selected.Facing the extreme ruthless and unquestionable facts in Taiwan, no one can deny this.
Of course, some people will say that even if the mainland version of the "Chen Shui -bian Andrdquo;, it must be better than the autocracy, because the leaders under the democratic system have a term limit, and the autocracy is not, so it is more harmful to the autocracy.All autocracy will produce a worse dictator than Chen Shui -bian, and they are faint monarchs and tyrants.
However, who can guarantee that Chen Shui -bian is only the only big oolong that Taiwan's democracy has made. In the future, Taiwan will not choose corruption or scammers?No one can guarantee this.On the contrary, as long as the loopholes of the democratic system in Taiwan are not eliminated, the second, third, fourth, and fifth Chen Shui -bian will appear.In other words, the new Chen Shui -bian will definitely be in Taiwan's politics. "Andrdquo; Andrdquo; Andrdquo;.
Secondly, the democratic system in Taiwan may produce a dictatorship, because politicians can modify the democratic system, and the democratic system that cannot be modified does not exist at all.When politicians use high support rates with some social issues, they are very likely to make themselves a dictator by modifying the democratic system.
History proves this.Hitler is a dictator and tyrant. He first obtained part of the regime through the democratic system, and then further modified the democratic system to become a dictator and tyrant.If the Western democratic system cannot be modified, he cannot capture the German regime and become a dictator and tyrant.In the future, the Western and Taiwan society's various, large and small Andrdquo; and may also be transformed into dictators and tyrants, or dictators.
Third, even if you can replace leaders, society must pay huge costs.1.4 billion people in China need a stable social environment, and the world also needs peace, so it needs a rational but not crazy and violent China.The mainland cannot be another Syria or Libya, so the mainland leaders cannot be Andrdquo; nor can it be Andrdquo; Andrdquo;, "Andrdquo; and" Mingjun Andrdquo;, this is most in line with China 14.The fundamental interests of 100 million people and the world.
If the mainland today comes out "Mingjun andrdquo; and tomorrow," Flying Jun andrdquo;, and today, "Chinese Mandera Andrdquo;, will choose Andrdquo;And "Roosevelt Andrdquo; and tomorrow will bring the new and" Hitler Andrdquo; Arch to the stage, whether it is China or the entire world, it cannot withstand this toss, and it cannot afford extremely huge social costs.
It can be seen that it is very unwise to advocate that China's future is fully pinned on the political system with serious defects, and so -called democratic elections like the West.For very few people (especially some politicians), the implementation of Western democratic elections in China is greater than disadvantages.
However, as far as the overall, most people are innocent and kind, and they are not all Andrdquo; so there is no ability to distinguish politicians and politicians. Therefore, the people of Taiwan will choose Chen Shui -bian.
The Western democratic system is "Chen Shui -bian Andrdquo; Andrdquo; and provided arbitrarily deceive the people's special legal and natural platforms. They can be famous and risky to deceive the people at all under the protection of the law..
Implementing a western democratic system on the mainland, those potential Chen Shui -bian politicians will inevitably flicker the people unscrupulously. Some of them will succeed and transform into the mainland version of "Chen Shui -bian Andrdquo;. This process and consequences will inevitably leadTurmoil and chaos.
For 1.4 billion Chinese people, copying Taiwan's democracy is not necessarily a wise choice now.For world peace and health development, the disadvantages are greater than benefits.The mainland version of Andrdquo; "Chen Shuibian Andrdquo;, and the" blessing Andrdquo;, "blessing andrdquo; and the world's" lucky andrdquo;
He will be ashamed of corruption as his own responsibility, disregard the country and people's livelihood, and may even use the loopholes of the Western democratic system, turning the clouds and rain in China like Hitler, further seizing power, and eventually becoming "Hitler's second Andrdquo;.
Regardless of the West, Taiwan, or the mainland (including Hong Kong), the existing political system must be reasonable, especially the mainland.What the mainland currently needs is not simply copying the Western democratic system of "Chen Shui -bian andrdquo; and establishing a new type of democratic system that can ensure that the leaders can be Andrdquo;
Obviously, in order to establish such a new democratic system, we must first maintain social and political stability in order to establish a new type of political democratic system on the basis of minimum social costs.People who deny this point, even if they are not attempting to use democratic vulnerabilities to deceive the people's political scammers, but also the potential Chen Shuibian flow, Hu Tu's politics A Q.
(The author is originally a scholar in Australia in Australia.
