Early nbsp; Haiqiang New Tune
In the past Mid -Autumn Festival, not only did China and the United States have no courtesy, but the short soldiers were connected, and the third shot launched on the trade war from the four smokes.On the same day, the United States implemented tariffs on US $ 200 billion (S $ 270 billion) products, and China paid a recovery and implemented tariffs on US $ 60 billion in US $ 60 billion.
After several rounds of consultations before and after the Sino -US trade war, the two countries have previously issued tariff measures to each other's $ 50 billion in products. After more than half a year, either party is not prepared to make concessions.Essence
U.S. Secretary of State Pompeo told the media last Sunday (23rd) that the Trump administration was "determined to win" and confidently predicted that the United States would win in this trade war, forcing China to change its behavior.Listening to this tone, never stopping China.
Of course, China refuses to be soft. Although it is questioned that "ammunition is not enough", tariff measures taken by the United States are so far "returned tooth".The day before yesterday, China released the white paper "about the facts of the Sino -US economic and trade friction and the Chinese position", and the seven deputy ministerial officials were held yesterday to hold a press conference to explain the Chinese position to the domestic and foreign media.There is a great momentum to control the international discourse rights of the Sino -US trade war.
The two countries are deadlocked, and the Sino -US trade war has become the consensus of all parties.Ma Yun, chairman of the Alibaba Group's board of directors, who has always insight into the mall, recently warned that the trade war would last longer and the impact would be longer than most people thought. I am afraid that it would be 20 years.
Ma Yun, who is overwhelming, just predicts that this dispute is lasting, but there is no solution to the plan. It is conceivable how difficult it is to solve the dilemma of the Sino -US trade dispute.If he said, as soon as the trade war was out of control, the situation in China and the United States for 20 years has been shuddering for 20 years.
As early as the trade war broke out, scholars warned that the worst situation in China and the United States was to comprehensively decoupn in economic and trade, which will cause the two worlds to be in the Cold War.Although this step has not yet reached this step, the economic and trade relations between the two countries that have always been regarded as the "cockpit stone" of Sino -US relations are undergoing the mountains and mountains, which has also been emerging on the extensive relationship between Beijing and Washington.
With the upgrading of the trade war, the two countries have recently played frequently in the fields outside the economy and trade.On the 20th of this month, the United States rarely imposed sanctions on the Equipment Development Department of the Central Military Commission of China and its ministers on the grounds that the United States was resisting Russia.This caused China to take diplomatic actions, summon the United States Ambassador to China, and urgently recall the Chinese Navy Commander visited in the United States to postpone the conversation meeting between the joint staff of the two countries.
China and the United States have become increasingly obvious on the Taiwan Strait issue.The United States announced recently that three major envoys in China and American countries that broke diplomatic relations with Taiwan have issued strong political signals to the Taiwan Strait issue.The day before the third shot of the trade war, the Trump administration provoked Beijing's sensitive nerves and approved the sale of 330 million US dollars in Taiwan.Although it was not directly picked up, the timing happened to be levied on the same day at the US $ 200 billion tariffs. It does not rule out that the United States wants to redefine the signal of "one China" policy to assist in the trading war.
When economic and trade relations were cold in the past, when bilateral relations between China and the United States, they can often play a positive stability and prevent a greater conflict between the two countries.The outside world is concerned that this "cockpit stone" is now shaken, and various problems will follow.
Although the possibility of two major nuclear powers in today's nuclear country is less likely to explode today, if the long -term trade war continues, it will inevitably reduce Sino -US economic and trade dependence, and the possibility of evolving into currency warfare and financial warfare will gradually increase.This long -term game will weaken mutual trust in China and the United States, inevitably affect politics, diplomacy, military, science and technology, education and other fields, and bring more uncertainty to the world situation.
Will consumer activities and investment confidence will be affected, and will the world trade system be destroyed?The two major economies fall into a vicious circle of teeth and teeth. Will the global economy be dragged into recession?In the pattern of the Sino -US game, will the world form a opposing camp?Can China and the United States hold the fight without breaking, will it accidentally wipe the gun and get angry?If Sino -US economic and trade issues have not been properly resolved, these chaos is not a nightmare.
Two weeks ago, a Southeast Asian businessman told me that the Sino -US trade war allowed the company to harvest the "benefits of fishermen".In order to avoid tariffs, many importers in the United States turned to Southeast Asia to find a source of supply. The company recorded S $ 4 million in sales in less than half a year, which was much higher than S $ 1 million last year.After a little proud, he couldn't hide his anxiety: "If you fight like this, won't you come again?"
Such concerns are not worried at all, as Li Guangyao, the founding Prime Minister of Singapore, said that when the elephants are fighting, the grass under their feet will suffer for no reason.Even if you are still in a tariff war, you can even take some benefits from it. If this trade war really played for 20 years, no one may be allowed to be rolled in.
