Current affairs perspective
The Sino -US trade war has entered Andrdquo; stage.
The deputy ministerial negotiation ended on August 23 has not achieved specific results.However, Andrdquo; may continue, and this is also the normal state of the Sino -US trade war to enter Andrdquo;China's large media Andrdquo; analyzed the three layers of meaning: the negotiation is open, not easy, but it is also worth mentioning. It is worth mentioning that when the negotiation is negotiated, the United States once again "fire to China" fire.Andrdquo; and imposed a 25%tariff on $ 16 billion in Chinese goods, China immediately retaliated with the same scale.
The Sino -US trade war is so Andrdquo; fighting and alternation, highlighting the evenly matched China and the United States (although the United States is stronger), the consequences are also very serious.Both defeats are inevitable. For the pursuit of Andrdquo; the Trump administration in the United States, the result of the trade war in China is the same as the same; for China, this trade war disrupted the rhythm of China's reform and development, and even there mustLong -term intended to live a bitter life.In terms of good aspects, the Chinese and American trade war Andrdquo; help to curb the United States to transmit the trade war to the world and urge the Trump administration to abandon unilateralism.
The Sino -US trade war Andrdquo; neither of the two countries is sustainable, although there is no sign of Sino -US streamlined. Both countries are suffering from each other's yielding, and there are three means in the United States: First, continue to trade in China.After a wave of $ 50 billion (34 billion plus 16 billion) attacks, the United States launched a hearing of US $ 200 billion in trade sanctions against China., Concentrate the firepower to fight against China. The third is to take sanctions on Chinese high -tech companies as the starting point, such as sanctioning ZTE to promote China to compromise with the United States.
China's strategy is: First, the use of global public anger for the protectionist of the United States to shape its own global leadership.The second is to directly hit Trump's flaws. For example, tariffs on agricultural and sideline products such as soybean soybean, shaken Trump's Andrdquo; and leveraging political leverage with trade retaliation and giving Trump and the Republican mid -term selectionThe situation has the influence. The third is to wait and see the US "Tong Russia Andrdquo; scandal investigation, and use the anti -Trump force in the United States to disintegrate Trump's extreme pressure on China's trade friction.
Both China and the United States have Andrdquo; but none of them have a full grasp to let the other party yield.
The results of the four -round consultation between China and the United States show that the Trump administration is not satisfied with the "Xiao En Xiaohui Andrdquo;, but biting and biting Andrdquo;property.The former is to block the development of China's advanced manufacturing industry, and the latter is not allowed to have advanced technology.These are the prices that China has not fulfilled the entry commitment, the state subsidizes the manufacturing industry, and the name of China's mandatory foreign enterprises transfer technology.
It is impossible for China to make concessions on these fields, otherwise it will take the initiative to actively allow the initiative of national development and progress, and the results of reform and opening up will be destroyed.China still believes that it belongs to developing countries, and should have the right to develop countries in industrial transformation and technology renewal.Therefore, China regards US trade protectionism as bullying.
In short, in the Sino -US trade war, China was forced to fight against the United States with the mentality of weak people to exchange for the sympathy of the international community.In the United States, in the anxiety of long -term victims, China prevented China from continuing to develop in the past.These two mentality encounters have become the "Ronaldon Andrdquo; and China's grievances and the anxiety of the United States that cannot be conceded and unable to solve the bureau, which highlights the complex situation of the game of the new and old power.
The United States has set up the way to curb the "second -powerful country Andrdquo;, in an attempt to make China difficult for China to escape the so -called" 60 curse Andrdquo; (the Soviet Union and Japan ’s GDP exceeded 60%of the United States by the United States.Go down).However, China and the Soviet Union are different. After decades of interconnection symbiosis between the Sino -US trade structure, it has formed a deeper relationship.Unless the trade war between the United States and China becomes a two -sum game of suicide, and the United States and China "掰 掰 Andrdquo; it is impossible to burst out.Pu's "Voice discussion andrdquo;, reflecting the constraints of the American business community.Similarly, the Chinese knowledge class has a strong attack on Huansang, which advocates Chinese scholars who surpass the United States, and also releases the elite uneasiness of the Sino -US trade war.
The logic seems to be clear.The mainstream voices of China and the United States do not want the Sino -US trade war and "Strikes andrdquo; continue. This is the main reason for the start of a new round of trade consultation between China and the United States, especially the level of reducing the negotiating team, which also enables China and the United States to carry out.Long -term, open and controllable trade negotiations.
Therefore, it is normal for the China -US Deputy Ministerial Terminus to discuss the substantial content.Of course, this is also the time when China and the United States are the best, and the kung fu is also outside the economic and trade relations.Trump encountered the political pressure of the former lawyer and the chairman of the campaign team to plead guilty and guilty of being charged. The United States also appeared in the United States to impeach Trump. The U.S. political situation had uncertainty, and China had a certain buffer space.However, along with Andmdash, the United States and India; the clarity of the Pacific strategy and the ease of the US -Europe -Japanese trade relations, China also faces the pressure of the United States government to jointly exert its pressure on China with other countries.
Moreover, even if Trump is impeached, the strategic direction of American society's strategic direction will not change.After all, China's comprehensive strength has become the biggest competitor in the United States. No matter who is the White House owner, Sino -US relations can no longer return to the past.
Therefore, Andrdquo; will be the normal state of the two China and the United States. However, as long as the Chinese and American countries do not repeat the new and old powers in history, there must be the same way in the first war, and the Andrdquo in the trade war;Instead, it's fortunate.
The author is a senior researcher at the Chahar Society of China, a guest researcher at the Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China
