Yu Dayong

Following the tax increase in China, the European Union, South Korea, and Canada, US President Trump has recently aimed at Turkey, NATO ally.The fuse of this time was that Erdogan detained Pastor Andrew Brunson.The Turkish said that the person in charge of the "Hulun Movement andrdquo; the person in charge of the Hulun Movement and the coup two years ago had a push, and the United States insisted on Ankara.P>

Beginning on August 10, Turkey's lira plummeted nearly 20%, and 10%plunged by 10%on August 13.Since the beginning of the year, the Turkish lira has plummeted 45%against the US dollar.Affected by Turkey, on August 13, the currency of the emerging markets such as South Africa and India plummeted.In addition, Russia's rubles, Brazil, and Mexico peso have greatly declined in exchange rates.

BRICS (China, Russia, India, Brazil, and South Africa) outside the United States is spared today. Trump's Andrdquo; seemingly victory, but what is the price of victory?And "U.S. priority to Andrdquo; or Andrdquo in the United States will leave a scorched soil? The United States really wants Andrdquo;?

Public opinion has the following two views on Trump's approach: First, this is a trade war, so people's focus is on the trade deficit, market share, WTO, trade rules, and fair trade nodes.Second, this is not a trade war, but the strategy of the United States is reorganizing international order.The author believes that this is not only a trade war, but also a deconstruction and reorganization action of the United States on the existing international order.

The world seriously underestimates Trump

Trump now ignits everywhere and goes too much. It is not that he does not understand that many enemies are taboos, but that he uses muddy water to touch fish tactics very accurately, making it difficult for China to form a united front against the United States for a while.

Trump hit the European Union this time to let it instinctively start Andrdquo; Trump's success. In order to protect his own interests, Trump really stepped on two boats and even sold the interests of others.Close to the United States, reduce losses. The reason for Trump's appeal is Andrdquo; we are all ally.Since the European Union proposed this reason, it is exactly that the common values may not be the protective film that is for granted.

Trump increased its military expenditure at a high amount, and announced a high -profile announcement of the establishment of Andrdquo; Obviously at the Andrdquo; Summit, which was held in Finland in Finland, failed to reach the critical areas (strategic disadvantaged, etc.) and Putin reached.The consistency and disappointment are related.Trump is now imitating Reagan's approach and drag Moscow through arms race.As for whether this success is successful, it is still a question mark, because it depends on whether Putin follows up.

But one thing Trump did, that is, "warm water stew Putin andrdquo; open a door gap to make Moscow feel like there is still a hope of improving Russian -US relations. As long as this hope exists, Russia will not go with China more than China.Near.

The Middle East is another focus of the United States.The withdrawal of the "Iran Nuclear Agreement" and mutual interoperability with Turkey are related to Russia's Middle East policy, because Iran, Turkey, and Russia's attempts in the Middle East's new structure in the Middle East are very obvious.The United States does not need to worry about the source of oil, because it has become an exporter of energy, but the Middle East is essential to its global strategy.Why?Because the Middle East is a block of Eurasia, the geopolitical status is significant.

The United States hopes the Middle East, because only the Middle East chaos, it can continue to exist in Europe and Asia. But it does not want this chaos to be out of control, and it does not allow this chaos to develop in the direction that is not good for itself.When the cooperation between Iran, Turkey and Russia is getting closer, it must re -disrupt the status quo of the Middle East according to its own strategy.

There are two main reasons why the Islamic State Organization (Iraqi Organization, IS), which has been soared before,: First, after the 91st incident, the United States must hold high flags of counter -terrorism.For Wu.Second, the essence of the Iranian organization is anti -American and anti -West, so there is no possibility of use.But this does not mean that the United States does not want an emerging force that can be available in the region. Therefore, the Kurds have entered the American vision.

To say the relationship between the allies, Turkey is a member of NATO and another important bridgehead in the West in the Middle East.But in the so -called counter -terrorism operation, the United States clearly secretly supports Turkey's internal rivals Andmdash; Andmdash; Kurds.This is the fundamental crux of the contradiction between Erdogan and Washington, not the priest Brunson, who is being detained at the moment.The US sanction in Iran, cracking down on Ankara, is also to distract Russia and have no time to take care of the battle between China and the United States.

Behind the United States, there are two major pursuit of interests:

The first is Trump's personal goals, that is, to ensure good results in the mid -term elections, paving the way for the president in the future, and to follow the "Kennedy family Andrdquo; Andrdquo; Andrdquo;" Andrdquo;The Trump family Andrdquo; laid the foundation.After the last visit to Washington, French President Macron made it clear: And "Trump's foreign policy is inseparable from the US's internal affairs. Anandrdquo;

The second is the global strategy of the US reorganization international architecture.This design has already begun, and several previous presidents of Trump have plans, but traditional means are not available, politics has more constraints, and their determination, perseverance and ability are not enough.After Trump was elected, all this was rapidly changing.

Xiangzhuang Wujian is in Peigong

In the past two or three decades, the reason why the United States is tolerant and even happy to see China's development is to change China's system.Its purpose has nothing to do with popularization of democracy, but to allow China to completely enter the US dollar system so that it can better control.

Why is China's financial sector the most lagging behind in international standards?It is not that Beijing intends to violate Andrdquo; commitment, but because of prematurely opening finance, China will lose its control of its own destiny. At present, the currency turbulence is the best proof: the US dollar is the most effective tool for the United States to rule the world.

The United States hopes that China will change the system to not want to improve the well -being of the Chinese people, but because if China realizes the party's rotation system, it will be more effective for external impact.However, China's development in recent years has made the United States have to admit that this wish is difficult to achieve, so it is determined to change its original strategy and practices.

We can also demonstrate from the opposite side: China has always rejected the Western government, why?In addition to the interests of the ruling party itself, it is also because the Western political party rotation system has brought a lot of benefits and operating space to China: If a Western government cannot live with China, China can expect the next government's "Goodwill andrdquo; or Andrdquo; or Andrdquo; "Fixed Andrdquo;, you can also use the other party's field to internalize;

In order to put pressure on the government, the opponent's opponent will also play foreign cards.China can see this, how can the West know this?Of course, they hope that China will have such a system.

According to the theory of ancient Greek historians, fear and interests are the two major characteristics of humanity. Many words and deeds are based on these two points.This is the case for people.This is also the discovery of Xiu Xidid's wisdom.The international strategic game is nothing more than working on these two points.

Trump's pressure is because the United States discovered that since China is not possible, it is not possible for China to attack by greatly increasing external forces, causing a shake of human heart, igniting dissatisfaction public opinion parts, and letting China have a scattered situation.This is not a conspiracy theory, this is the cold reality.

With the rapid development of China, the United States realized that if it is not done now, it will be difficult to move in the future.This is why the so -called Andrdquo; "the old friend of the Chinese people Andrdquo; all supports Trump.

In addition to the interests of the party's own, because the Western party rotation system has brought a lot of benefits and operating space to China: If a government of a Western country cannot live with China, China can expect the next government's Andrdquo; Or Andrdquo;, you can also use the other party's field to perform internalization;

In order to put pressure on the government, the opponent's opponent will also play foreign cards.China can see this, how can the West know this?Of course, they hope that China will have such a system.

According to the theory of ancient Greek historians, fear and interests are the two major characteristics of humanity. Many words and deeds are based on these two points.This is the case for people.This is also the discovery of Xiu Xidid's wisdom.The international strategic game is nothing more than working on these two points.

Trump's pressure is because the United States discovered that since China is not possible, it is not possible for China to attack by greatly increasing external forces, causing a shake of human heart, igniting dissatisfaction public opinion parts, and letting China have a scattered situation.This is not a conspiracy theory, this is the cold reality.

With the rapid development of China, the United States realized that if it is not done now, it will be difficult to move in the future.This is why the so -called Andrdquo; "the old friend of the Chinese people Andrdquo; all supports Trump.

It is said that on the issue of China, the Republican and Democratic Party is unprecedentedly consistent, and the corporate community has few micro -words. The public opinion foundation is very solid, and even exceeds China ’s public opinion on the US issue.Why?The answer is simple, because the Americans' external interests are absolutely consistent.

The United States has been prepared for China this time, and think tanks have been prepared for a long time.The relatives around Trump are almost a believers in the theory of Shuxidd.China Think Tank has always denied Andrdquo; and believes that this is alarmist, so it is prepared to be deserted and monotonous.

Many people think that the Sino -US conflict is caused by different systems and values, which is a misunderstanding.In fact, interests are consistent with whether values, ideology or beliefs.

Here you may wish to explain the history that Chinese people are more familiar with: Before Japan invaded China, the KMT and the Communist Party had a mess. However, after the national contradictions became the main contradiction, the party's dispute could only be temporarily relying on any motivation.Therefore, when there is a dispute between ideology and values, the contradictions in the same values system will not be highlighted, which will give people an illusion. It seems that they will not fight each other because of the same values.

The United States can use its unparalleled strength in its own hands to defend its Andrdquo; but this victory that is won by power will leave a very serious AND "sequelae Andrdquo;, and the United States itself may not be alone.Essence

From the trading war to the recent currency turbulence, none of the "US dollar andrdquo; shadow. The US dollar can benefit the world, but if it becomes a tool of Andrdquo;Many regions and countries will re -consider the role and status of the US dollar after being impacted.

Perhaps the day of Trump's triumph is the beginning of the US dollar to go downhill, so Trump won and lost.

The author is a German time -rating columnist

Trump now ignits everywhere and goes too much. It is not that he does not understand that many enemies are taboos, but that he uses muddy water to touch fish tactics very accurately, making it difficult for China to form a united front against the United States for a while.