Zhongshi Electronics News
The Sino -US trade war started because of misjudgment, and the mainland seemed to have a disappearance. Public opinion extended the issue unlimitedly, and regarded a dispute between the Economic and Trade field in the field of economic and trade.The trap andrdquo; early detonation, and interpreted as a state of national future, thereby degradation and self -deprecation and self -confidence. At the same time, there are people who are interested in finding a sir of guilt and preparing to blame the new meaning to sacrifice the flag.It is a virtue, and the mainland is bound to make various policy adjustments, but China's entire large economy is trapped in such a state of political struggle for excessive reactions and over anxiety. Is it really necessary?
The diplomat Kisinger has a unique understanding of the cultural differences between China and the United States. The analysis of his book "World Order" can exactly explain the present.He pointed out that Andrdquo, the concept of "American policy is in pragmatism, and China focuses on the concept of concept of ANDRDQUO;. He went on to say that" Americans must come up with the situation in front of them, and the Chinese people pay attention to the overall development.Americans formulate plans that can be actually achieved. The Chinese only determine the general principles and then analyze its direction.Andrdquo; Today, only compare the US Congress and the media to focus on debate trade obstacles, property rights protection, and market opening up, and research negotiation results and post -troubles, but mainland remarks are stuffed to Andrdquo;, And "Sino -US relations are not adjusted and Andrdquo;, and self -doubt Andrdquo;" Great Revival andrdquo;, Kissinger knows nothing.
In addition to the difference between concepts and pragmatism, a few distinctions must be made for the Sino -US trade war.
Division of tactics and strategy.Fighting a trade war with the United States is not China's established strategic goal, but in tactics, China is likely to avoid hard landing.The representative of trade negotiations, Lai Haizhe, clearly said that the purpose of the United States to achieve is the market opening. In other words, the aggravated tariff is just the means of negotiation and the fighting chip, which is generally not pointed out by the public opinion community.Various signs show that President Trump is deepened by US economic growth and creation of employment as a mission, and has no interest in cracking down on China. Trump has never been a basic doctrine, and has no value for China.Investor Buffett is very objective. He does not think that the two countries will continue to start a trade war, because of the huge interests of each other, and "two smart countries will not go to a fool and fools Andrdquo;
Containment and reconstruction distinguished.Since 1979, 600 million people have been poverty alleviation since 1979. In the past five years, the rural poor people have decreased by almost 30 % each year, and the total number is as low as 30 million.After joining the World Trade Organization, China is the biggest winner and become the second largest economy.However, in the WTO, China still enjoys Andrdquo, "developed the country and its special treatment in the development of the country.The estimation of the White House trade consultant Navarro, China's reform and opening up has led to the closure of 57,000 factories in the United States and lost 25 million job opportunities., Can't see it.
The distinction between cooperation and competition.The combination and struggle of great powers is normal, and it should be separated from the concepts such as curbing and traps.Trump knows that maintaining a good cooperation atmosphere with the leaders of Chinese President of China to facilitate heads of heads of heads of state, but if you do n’t fight, you cannot force China to fulfill the WTO commitments, implement structural reforms, transform into a market economy, and provide American enterprise competition opportunities;If you do n’t fight, it is also unable to fight against AndD “Made in China 2025Andrdquo;, American technology will be unfortunately lost in large quantities. Trump’ s policies and prosperity conditions this year are relatively favorable, and personnel adjustments are made immediately and negotiated.Make the necessary Andrdquo; use the head of state as soon as possible to make a breakthrough in principle issues with the White House as soon as possible, so that Andrdquo, "potential long pain in politics;Essence
The distinction between measurement and Suixing.The most critical misjudgment of Trump is that he is unhappy and unpredictable, and the main thing is for the mid -term election.That's because the world is generally misleading by mainstream American media, liberal scholars and Wall Street, coupled with the language rate of tycoon and outstanding confrontation.In fact, Trump has an amazing coherence between Trump's policies. He has his life insights, campaign commitments and actual government affairs. It is unpredictable to move the time, place and means.The Trump team has also adjusted a temporary choice. His degree of recognition of his concept is by no means as fragile.Trump, such as the Great Saint of the Sky, is worrying, but the peaceful and reciprocal chapters can be distinguished.He handled ZTE, North Korea's North Korea Nuclear and EU negotiations, all showing reasonable, favorable, and festival.
It is possible for the Sino -US trade war.
(The author is a US financial lawyer and a former visiting professor at Peking University)
