Qiao Xinsheng
The U.S. Trade Representative Office issued a statement on July 6, stating that the United States' 25%additional tariffs on products from 818 products from China have officially took effect.At the same time, the office believes that the public should provide opportunities to the public, let them make their own applications, and exclude imported products.The public has a 90 -day application period, and the application date will end on October 9 this year.The US Trade Representative Office has been soliciting public opinions after 14 days, and the public can support or oppose it.If you decide to exclude certain products, the validity period is one year.
Some scholars believe that the relevant statements issued by the U.S. Trade Representative Office are actually to alleviate the tension brought by the United States' launch of the trade war in China, encourage American companies and Chinese companies to make requests to the office, and then according to public requests to some of the public requests to make some certain requests to some of them will make some certain requests to some of them will make some certain requests to some of them will make some certain requests to some of them will make some certain requests to some of them will make some certain requests.The product is excluded.
In other words, the total tariffs that the United States eventually exports to Chinese products may be less than $ 34 billion.The reason why the U.S. Trade Representative Office does this is because it has made every effort to execute the president's order, to screen Chinese products exported to the United States to ensure that American companies and individuals in the United States will not be damaged because of this.However, because the amount involves huge amounts, it is impossible to not leak.The U.S. Trade Representative Office tries to make remedial measures to ensure that the loss of companies or individuals suffering from losses to ensure that the US trade war launched by the United States will not affect the Republican election in the mid -term elections of the Congress.
US President Trump put forward a package of tax cuts in order to revitalize the US manufacturing industry.This shows that Trump attaches great importance to the role of tax macro -control policies.However, the increase in punitive tariffs on products exported to the United States to the United States obviously conflicts with domestic tax cuts.Because imported products imported from China must pay punishment tariffs, the price of raw materials for US companies will definitely rise, which makes the US government's tax reduction plan may be offset due to the rise in raw materials.
Trump does not understand the harm of launching a trade war in China, but in order to fulfill his commitment to the steel industry workers, he has to do so.If the US Trade Representative Office's sanction list affects the innocent people, Trump has pushed the practice of launching a trade war to please the American Industrial Trade Union, and it is likely to move stones to smash their feet.Because of this, the US Trade Representative Office will issue a statement that encourages American companies or individuals to apply to eliminate their imported products from the sanctions list.
It can be seen that the launch of a trade war in China is based on domestic politics, the purpose is to win mid -term elections.However, Trump's approach objectively destroys the order of international trade, affects the stability of trade relations between China and the United States, and also harms the interests of domestic enterprises and individuals in the United States.Therefore, whether the trade war launched by Trump can continue, it has made widespread attention from all walks of life.
Some scholars believe that the relevant statements issued by the US Trade Representative Office are actually a kind of & ldquo; step on the brake & rdquo; the purpose is to reduce the harm of the United States' motion of trade in China, so that domestic politics in the United States will not be because of the domestic politics in the United States.The outbreak of the trade war was affected.This statement has a certain reason, but if the United States does not end its trade war against China as soon as possible, even if a statement issued by the US Trade Representative Office prompts enterprises or individuals to apply, it will be difficult to change the abnormal trade relations between China and the United States.China will definitely take practical and effective measures, bite the teeth, and carry out the trade war to the end.
So far, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce has not issued similar statements.The author believes that the Ministry of Commerce does not need to issue similar statements.The United States launched a war of trade that was publicized in advance, the purpose was to force China to obey.But what I never expected was that China proposed trade sanctions measures with unprecedented tough attitudes, which made the US president feel loud.Although Trump claims to expand the scale of the trade war and increase punitive tariffs on other 200 billion US dollars of goods exported to the United States, the Office of the US Trade Representative's Office wants to find a penalty for China, and it will not hurt the US economy.It will be very difficult.
The best way to end the trade war between China and the United States is that the U.S. Trade Representative Office made a request for negotiation. China agreed that the two sides were stunned by negotiations.If Trump is unwilling to solve the problem through negotiations, the trade war is likely to delay to him.At least from the current situation, Trump has not yet plans to receive troops.However, as long as the major US trading partners take sanctions and have a significant impact on the US economy, Trump may change his decision for political considerations.
#P#副#E#China hopes that the economic relations between China and the United States are normalized and opposed to US unilateralism.Trump does not turn back without hitting the south wall. Only when he is angry, he can take back his decision.In order to propose a list of sanctions in China ’s exports of US products, the US Trade Representative Office overtime and added to the office. $ 34 billion products have made the staff of the office overwhelmed.Representative resignation.
Some Chinese scholars are very concerned about the political tendency of the US White House's economic adviser. They believe that the economists hired by Trump are very right. They have a hostile attitude towards China for a long time, hoping that China will be chaotic until the ultimate collapse.This analysis may be in line with objective facts, but not grasped the key points.Determined that the trade relations between China and the United States were in the hands of Trump. If he decided to launch the trade war, no one could stop it.
China is willing to maintain contact with Trump to promote its wrong position.However, at least from the current situation, the conditions are not mature.China hopes that the international community will fully realize that Trump is just a futrious momentum, rather than truly hoping to carry out a comprehensive trade war with China.If Trump does not change his wrong policy as soon as possible, he will eat his own fruit.
Now there are strong challengers in the United States. Former mayor Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, decided to re -put his jersey and run for the President of the United States.If Trump thinks he can do whatever he wants, it will be very wrong.It is hoped that Trump will truly realize who is an imminent danger, and do not continue to create things on the issue of trade relations between China and the United States.
After the U.S. Congress election is over, the US Trade Representative Office will definitely change the wrong approach. If you do not believe it, let us wait and see.
The author is a professor at the University of China Zhongnan University of Economics and Law