Yang Jianwen, a second -level researcher at the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, pointed out that China has stated that it will continue to promote the "Belt and Road" initiative, but there is no mature and complete plan for how to transform the "Belt and Road" 2.0.
Yang Jianwen said on Monday (October 23) in the academic salon held for Chinese and foreign media that China held the "Belt and Road" International Cooperation Summit Forum held last week through leadership speech and chairman's statement.There is no doubt that the road is going to go on, and this is good for everyone.
At the opening ceremony of the forum on Wednesday (October 18), the official China official announced that China supported the eight actions of high -quality co -construction of the "Belt and Road", including coordinating the promotion of iconic projects and "small and beautiful" people's livelihood projects.Implement 1,000 small people's livelihood aid projects, etc.
Yang Jianwen believes that in the "Belt and Road" 2.0, it is different from 1.0, and the official consideration is not very mature.This is mainly reflected in how to solve the original problems, such as the economic escort of Chinese assets to the sea, and the risk of investment in the debt country."These problems happened in the previous 10 years, and I will encounter in the next 10 years."
In response to the allegations of China's countries along the "Belt and Road" countries falling into the "debt trap", Yang Jianwen said that huge debt issues have a negative impact on the debt country and China's debt country.He emphasized that in recent years, the debt issues of countries along the route have been prominent and have a lot to do with the global economic situation.If it was not due to the exacerbation of geopolitical conflicts and the crown disease, the global economy fell into a trough, so that there would be no debt defaults.
Yang Jianwen is optimistic that as the US interest rate hike cycle that disturb the emerging market economy has ushered in an inflection point, the global environment will be better than the previous 10 years in the next 10 years.
When it comes to China's domestic economic situation, Yang Jianwen bluntly stated that this year's economic growth can reach the standard, depending on the low -formation of the basis formed last year, and the relatively conservative official growth goals."Fortunately, this year's National Two Association targets (growth) to 5 % ... I would rather go low and go low, don't go high and low."
He also expects that the external environment will have obvious marginal improvements next year. Next, we will focus on the Central Economic Work Conference held at the end of the year."If you stabilize this year, you may catch it next year. If you can't stabilize this year, you can't catch it next year."