(Beijing Comprehensive News) As the peak of travel of Chinese Spring Festival, the British Health Data Analysis Company Airfinity estimates that the number of single -day crown diseases on the Chinese New Year holiday will increase to 306,000.This will be one of the most fatal periods for the outbreak of the crown disease.
According to Bloomberg, Airfinity has revised the forecast of the number of deaths in China on Tuesday (January 17), and the latest data increased by 11,000 compared with the estimated estimates on December 29 last year.
The update number is based on the epidemic data of the provinces and regions and municipalities in China, and refer to the growth rate of case growth after the first time the prevention and control restrictions are lifted.
Airfinity and judge that China may experience a more durable and larger infection.Henan, Gansu, Qinghai, Yunnan and other provinces will increase greatly, which means that the virus spreads faster than expected, and the tide of returning home in the Spring Festival is the guidance.
The company's chief researcher Lin Li said: "Our forecast is estimated to be in the next two weeks, China's medical system will face a huge burden. Many patients who can treat them are likely to die because the hospital is over crowded and lacks care."
Airfinity estimates that since December last year, the total number of crown diseases in China was as many as 6008,000, which was about 10 times more than the official death of crown diseases in the hospital from 59,938 reported from the official last week.
According to Reuters, doctors in many places in China have received instructions, asking them to avoid the cause of death of death cases as crown diseases.Reuters saw a copy of the doctor's notice that if the deceased had other basic diseases, it should be listed as the main cause of death; if the doctor believes that death is caused by crown disease, he must report to the superiors and confirm that it is caused by crown disease.Before death, arrange two levels of "expert consultations".
Six doctors from public hospitals from different regions of China have confirmed that some of them receive similar verbal instructions, and some people have realized that their hospitals are implementing similar policies.
Barker, a public health scholar at the University of Otto University in New Zealand, said that compared with China's current severe epidemic, the latest death data provided by the official "looks low".
He said that most countries found that the cause of the death of most crown diseases was caused by a virus infection, not a crown disease and other basic diseases."In comparison, the main cases of death in China (90%) are caused by crown disease and other diseases, which shows that China is still the number of cases of death directly leading to death."
