(Greenwich Comprehensive Electric) Ruida Dalio, the founder of the Bridge Fund, the world's largest hedge fund, believes that the relationship between China and the United States is "on the edge of the red line", but it has not reached the situation of the upcoming war.
Ray Dalio (October 3) said at the Greenwich Economic Forum in Connecticut, USA, pointed out that there are irreconcilable differences between the two largest economies in the world, in many areasThe top is on the edge of the red line, such as the dispute between Taiwan, chip (also known as chip), and geopolitical disputes.
Dali: China and the United States do not want to start a fight for devastating blows to the economy and politics
Da Lyo believes that China and the United States are unlikely to break out of war, because neither country does not want to fight. "Everyone is worried that the war will cause devastating blows in economy and politics."
He said: "The key lies in whether the United States said 'we support Taiwan's independence'. This is equivalent to declare war ... Because of our current political issues ... Many people in Congress will say 'We will defend Taiwan'.
Dalio, who has been a billionaire, has established relations with Chinese officials for a long time, praised some economic policies in Beijing, and often warned the risks of conflict between the two major economies in the world.Dalio also helped Bridge Water Fund establishment of relevant hedge funds in China.Although the macroeconomic situation is severe, it has been boosted by the rebound in the mainland bond market, and its Chinese fund has still achieved a strong return this year.
Dalio described that the United States currently Restricted chip export to China , Similar to before the outbreak of the Pacific War in 1941, the United States' oil ban on Japan's implementation of Japan also stated that one of the reasons why the United States and Japan in the Second World War was that the United States cut off Japan's oil supply and took sanctions.Like oil at the time. "
Dalio wrote through social media in April that as the United States was about to hold a presidential election in November 2024, the tension may deteriorate.Taiwan will hold a presidential election in January 2024, 10 months earlier than the US election.
