Taiwan's 2024 Presidential Election on Friday (November 24) for registered, the soap -style "Blue Lily" finally ended in the wild "Blue Lily".
A few days ago, the Kuomintang (blue), the people's party (white), and the richest man in Taiwan's richest man in Taiwan staged a farce at the Junyue Hotel in Taipei.Facing the live broadcast of the media, the three parties publicly displayed the differences. Although the words were polite on the surface, the on -site gunpowder was full and there was no compromise atmosphere.
After the blue and white disappearance, some public opinion described in Taiwan. Even if the two sides continue to meet in this case, they just separate the gods. In the end, they still have endless trouble.
The next day, the drag of the drag of the drag down was officially concluded in the wild.The candidate of the people's party, Ke Wenzhe, and Wu Xinying, who came from the Shin Kong Group family, formed a team to formally register for the election.On the same day, Hou Youyi, a Kuomintang candidate, announced that Zhao Shaokang, a director of China -Guangzhou, was nominated as the deputy.Guo Taiming, who had originally planned to run independently, announced his withdrawal.
Calculating the DPP candidates Lai Qingde and Xiao Meiqin, who have registered earlier, will appear in the Taiwan elections in January next year.Essence
Inside Taiwan, this election will determine whether Taiwan will achieve party rotation under the call of "get off the Democratic Progressive Party".Since the election of president in 1996, political party rotation has appeared every eight years.If "Lai Xiao Bao" has won the coming election, the DPP will break the "eight -year curse" and consolidate the long -term governance position in Taiwan.
Outside Taiwan, this election has also attracted much attention because it directly affects the future cross -strait.Cross -strait relations refused to recognize the "1992 Consensus" in frozen because Cai Yingwen's administration, and Beijing insisted that this is the political basis of cross -strait relations.
"Hou Zhao Bao" confirmed that the Taiwan media disclosed on Friday that Zhao Shaokang was willing to be in danger to partner Hou Youyi. One of them was to adhere to the "1992 Consensus".If "Hou Zhaohe" can stand out, it is expected to break the deadlock of the current cross -strait relations.
But at present, Hou Youyi has a small chance of winning.Although Ke Wenzhe, who is the weakest than political parties, is slightly better, even with Zhao Shaokang with "Battle Blue", and the former Kaohsiung Mayor South Korea ’s support on the list of the number one legislator list, the Kuomintang can urge the expectations of expectedIt is just the basic disk of the Blue Camp, and it is difficult to convince a large number of middle voters.
After the blue and white partnered, Lai Qingde was the biggest profitable person.Although the latest polls show that the gap between Hou Youyi and Lai Qingde is shrinking, but this is likely to be abnormal because of the recent strong mobilization of the Kuomintang, which prompts the statement to soar.It will play an effect in the next month.Many analysts believe that in the face of splitting in the wild camp, Lai Qingde is likely to copy the division of Blue Camp in 2000, Chen Shui -bian won the presidential election only with a vote rate of 39 %.
This also means that after this election, Beijing will face a Democratic Progressive Party that continues to govern in Taiwan, and it is a Taiwan, who is claiming to be "Taiwan independence workers" in Taiwan.
In an exclusive interview published on November 21st in the American Times Magazine, Lai Qingde once again showed a "independent" position on cross -strait issues, indicating that it would safeguard Taiwan's sovereignty and will not agree with "unified fantasy".The relationship between Xiao Meiqin, the deputy of Lai Qingde, is equally stiff and Beijing. It is not only listed as a "stubborn molecule of Taiwan independence" by the mainland, but also because of coordinating the visit of Perosi, the Speaker of the House of Representatives in the United States last August, as well as Taiwan Cai Yingwen and Perlis this year.McCarthy met and was sanctioned by Beijing twice.
Zhu Fenglian, a spokesman for the Taiwan Affairs Office of Mainland China, described it on the 15th of this month that Lai Xiao is a "double independent combination" and "independence and independence".In the mainland social media, there are netizens who hate iron and steel for the Kuomintang. They leave a message in the related posts related to the Blue Lily: "Lai Qingde, rely on you uniformly."
Although it is a word, the cross -strait relations are tightly pre -judged after the back of Lai Qingde came to power.It is not difficult to foresee that if "Lai Xiao Bao" won the election, Beijing will further strengthen pressure on Taiwan in all aspects.
Economically, Beijing has previously launched a survey of Taiwan trade barriers until January 12, on the eve of Taiwan's elections, released signals for cross -strait economic cooperation to see politics.Although it is not to comprehensively stop the Straits Cross -Strait Economic Cooperation Architecture Agreement (ECFA), it does not rule out that Beijing will take measures to take measures to some Taiwanese goods in a "cut sausage" way, and use economic pressure to implement the "poor Taiwan" strategy.
Beijing is expected to continue to "dig walls" in Taiwan's diplomatic relations and continue to reduce Taiwan's international space.In military, the pressure on the Taiwan Strait will continue to increase.Although mainland Chinese leaders have denied martial arts in Taiwan in 2027 or 2035, Beijing has never promised not to unify Taiwan under the circumstances of legal Taiwan independence or US Taiwan.In the face of "Taiwan independence workers" Lai Qingde, Beijing will not relax the preparation of Taiwan's military struggle.
It is more than a month before the voting. If the two major Blue and White in the wild camp can successfully operate the insurance, it is not a chance to win;Cross -strait relations are difficult to be optimistic about the prospects of Mai Mang.
