Source: Taiwan China Times Society
The first platform -made submarine "Hai Yan warship" recently held naming and launching ceremony. Without any main tests, the DPP government and the green camps operated strongly, touting to prevent Chinese warships from crossing the first island chain in the future."Protecting the country", ignoring the mainland warships through the first island chain is a "new normal".Establishing independence and independent defense is the consensus of the people of Taiwan, but the "politicalization" of the military has become a tool for serving politics. It will only weaken national defense capabilities and impact national security.
Dry docks to meet Cai Yingwen's political achievements
The most puzzling thing is that when the convener of the "Submarine Country" project group, Huang Shuguang appeared in the scenery of the Haiji, actively broke the news to the media.The secrets of the ship country ".However, he did not take the initiative to report to the prosecution, not only let individuals involve in political disputes, but also likely to set off a political storm.Is it the DPP want to use this to transfer the regulation of the "submarine country" program node, or the submarine cannot form an effective combat power that is unable to form an expected effective combat power?
The Tsai Ing -wen government held the naming ceremony in advance.The ridicule of "political launch" is to create political achievements for Cai Yingwen and lift the DPP election.In addition, it is also reported that the testing process should be accelerated. Before Cai Yingwen stepped down from 520 next year, he could hand in the ship, so that the submarine was "politically become the army."
Haiyu is about to conduct "Bo Port Test" and "Exit Test". After successfully completing it, it will be handed over to the Navy for a one -year tactical test. The fastest will be officially formed in 2025.The submarine platform was assisted by the "Eight Kingdoms Allied Forces". More than 10 combat system equipment equipment, testing and integration were more complicated and difficult, and the process was lengthy. If it was urgent to serve the political purpose, it would have greater security and quality risks.
Although Huang Shuguang responded, there was no political or political army, and there was no timetable for prototype test. "We will not make the life safety and combat power of the submarine officers and soldiers."However, the fact that the Cai government deliberately handled the water ceremony in advance for Da Nengxuan.
Huang Shuguang said optimistically to the "Friendly" media briefing that it is expected that two homemade submarines will be completed in 2027. In addition to the existing two "sword dragon -class" submarines, the Taiwanese submarine will be able to restrain the north from now onThe Gonggu Strait, the bus strait in the south of Taiwan, made the mainland navy unable to move in the first island chain, and cannot surround Taiwan for attacks or blockade.Even if there are 71 nuclear submarines, the US Navy will not make this madness; the mainland Navy currently has 6 attack nuclear submarines, 6 ballistic missile nuclear submarines and 44 firewood submarines.deterrence.Huang Shuguang's bold words are equivalent to the "long -term short check" to release political information.
The mainland has actively implemented the "strategic deterrence" strategy, from the "adjacent area" of the "ADIZ" (Adiz), eliminating the Taiwan Strait, and even approaching Taiwan's 24 浬 ""The aircraft carrier and a large number of ships crossed the first island chain and entered the Western Pacific for exercise. At the same time, they achieved the tactical goals that consumed the Taiwan army and shortened Taiwan for time.
Covering the PLA Huang Shuguang's talk high
The mainland strategic deterrence. If the United States and Taiwan respond to negative, Beijing can cause a new normal. Since August last year, this situation is more clear.Now, after 2027, the mainland must not surpass the first island chain, and it is completely out of reality.
The "Subcer Country" was officially launched in 2015. Although it was only 8 years, the situation in India has changed drastically. The mainland is still inferior to the U.S. Navy in terms of overall combat power, but the number of warships in 2020 has surpassed the United States.By 2025, the mainland Navy is expected to expand to 400 ships and 440 ships in 2030, while the United States will have only 290 warships by 2030.With the current scale of military reserve competitions, the two sides of the navy that were not originally on the same balance will only accelerate imbalances.The "submarine country" is of significant to the development of Taiwan's national defense and the development of the defense industry. However, excessive rendering will only stimulate the mainland to adopt more intense counter -control operations, but increase the tension.
Tsai Ing -wen said that the submarine is an important equipment for Taiwan's "asymmetric combat power", but the Wall Street Journal pointed out that Washington has begun to debate whether Taiwan's funds are used in asymmetric combat weapons. More military experts have questioned Taiwan.It costs expensive, majestic hardware weapons.
U.S. experts believe that each submarine budget is close to NT $ 50 billion, which is completely different from other asymmetric weapon systems.Small weapons that are low, flexible, and easy to operate are in line with asymmetric combat concepts.
The Haiyu project has entered a critical moment, but it has not really been launched but has been buried in political saliva. For the entire plan and Huang Shuguang, there is currently only one option.The United States and domestic doubts, otherwise, the country ’s consumer will become a culprit for the defense of Taiwan’ s defense.