The Grand military parade in Pyongyang, the capital of North Korea on the evening of July 27 to commemorate the "70th anniversary of the victory of the War of Liberation of the Motherland".In fact, this is just the anniversary of the 70th anniversary of the South Korean War (North Korean War) signed the 70th anniversary of the suspension agreement, and the two sides did not divide the victory or defeat.Program -Russia has only called the war against Ukraine as "special military operations."On the other side of the Korean War, South Korea and the United States did not hold any large -scale commemorative activities.The Korean Peninsula has long been wrong, and many of them are changes and unchanged, such as the rise and fall of the sun, the vicissitudes of the sea, and need to think and sort out.

First of all, the hostile position of the North -South regime has not changed, but the nature of the regime has undergone tremendous changes.In 1950, North Korea was a socialist regime led by the Labor Party. As soon as the World War II ended, the influence, appeal and combat effectiveness of the regime must be slightly better, otherwise Kim Il Sung would not be confident to launch a united war.The corresponding Korean regime is still under the rule of the feudal dynasty in Li Chengwan. Although there is the support and indulgence of the United States, it cannot change the image and fate of sediment.

But 70 years later, the phenomenon of family inheritance in the North Korean regime has become a typical representative of the world's negative political system; on the contrary, the Korean regime has entered a more stable and positive state of development after Park Jung Hee.However, through relatively open and transparent elections, the regime that will be overwhelmed at will, and all aspects have been praised by most countries.

Secondly, the confrontation of the north -south countries has not changed, but the national strength has changed dramatically.

This change may be structural, and the Korean population has exceeded 50 million. GDP (GDP) is around 1700 billion US dollars, which is basically about 10 in the world.In half, the total amount of GDP is less than one -fifth of South Korea, and many people are still hungry.The comparison of the military field is slightly different. In terms of conventional troops, North Korea has the advantages of 2-1 and a larger number of artillery. North Korea also claims to be a nuclear country;At the forefront of the world's strongest U.S. military, the final fighting strength may be confirmed on the battlefield.

Once again, the background of the country behind the north and south has not changed, but the system weight has changed dramatically.

The occurrence and ceasefire of the Korean War have an important relationship with the allies system of both sides. In other words, without the support of the allies, the war cannot be carried out at all, and the results may be completely different.During the 70th commemorative event of the North Korean Crucket, the representatives of Russia and China stood beside Kim Jong -un, which proved that the allies 70 years ago have always existed.There are many demands in China, let alone North Korea.

In addition, China has grown into the world's second largest economy and is the only country in the world that can resist the US trial today.The opposite ally system does not seem to change much, and the comparison weight of economic strength may still rise. However, the United States, as a pillar, can not be assured that the energy and resources that can be placed in Northeast Asia can be reassured.On the one hand, the critical situation in the frontier of Europe has affected too much attention, and on the other hand, the overall strength of the United States has decreased relatively, and it can bet on two local wars at the same time and face challenges.The preparation of the front line, although this job seems to have begun.

Finally, the peaceful demands of the people of the north and the south have not changed, but the risk challenges have changed dramatically.

The people's desire for peace has never changed, and the Korean Peninsula is no exception; but today I do n’t know how many people are in awe of the war?How many governments have placed the people's peaceful demands in the best priority consideration?After experiencing the frustration of the "Six Party talks" on the Korean Peninsula, it is basically slippery and deeper on the dangerous track.Far, forcing South Korea to work harder to enhance military strength and cause a more insecure situation between the two sides.

This realistic version of the "safety dilemma" is bound to provoke the strategic nerves of all parties, and the possibility of being used as a chess piece is increasing.With the increasingly fierce game of the two parties and the big country behind, today's Peninsula seems to be entering a higher risk, because all parties hope to get advantage opportunities, especially when long -term stalemate and pessimistic expectations for the future.

The ancient Chinese language has clouds, and seventy and do not have much time from their hearts.People pass seventy, or they can achieve the most appropriate state of freedom, and enjoy freedom without infringing freedom.In the 70 years of the Korean Peninsula, progress and freedom seem to have not grown and mature, but it is even more worrying.

The author is a commentator in Yangzhou, China