Comments: US -China military confrontation to exacerbates the security of the Taiwan S

Source: Wang Bao

Wangbao Society Review

The 20th Shangri -La dialogue ended, and the US -China Defense Minister failed to hold talks on the sidelines as the United States wishes.The signal released by China is very clear. It is willing to resume dialogue with the United States to deal with the relationship between the two countries, but there is no room for compromise on the issue of the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.As the Chinese Defense Director Li Shangfu's lecture was emphasized: First, no matter how much the Chinese army paid, it would maintain national sovereignty and territorial integrity; 2. China has always sought to establish a new type of great power with the United States, but this requires the United States to come up with sincerity.

The Dialogue of the US -China Defense Dialogue broke the situation

China and the United States have recently reported that two machine ships have encountered a crisis at close range. On May 26, the Chinese J-16 fighter aircraft was over the South China Sea, and cut from the US military RC-135 reconnaissance aircraft at a close range. On June 3rd, the United StatesThe Berke -class missile destroyer "Zhong Yun" and the Canadian cruise ship "Montreal" passed the Taiwan Strait, a Chinese warship approached, and accelerated the cross to the front of the Zhongyun. The two sides were less than 150 yards.EssenceWhat is worrying is that there are currently no signs of controlling and easement.

U.S. President Biden personally released the signal of thawing US -China relations in person. The interaction between senior officials on both sides gradually recovered, but played the iron plate in the most critical military field.The most urgent need for the United States and China is to restore the "first track" crisis treatment mechanism of the two armies, but the two sides lack strategic mutual trust and have heavy resistance.This year, the Shangri -La dialogue accurately reflects the security situation of the Indo -Pacific region and the Taiwan Strait. Unless the two parties quickly find pragmatic and feasible measures, the prospects are confused.

IISS published a special article in the "Indo -Pacific Safety Evaluation of 2023" and the rising threats to Taiwan, discussing the current sinister situation in Taiwan, emphasizing that the US -China tension relationship focuses on the Taiwan issue.The American Chinese issue, Shi Wen, also said on the eve of Shangri -La's dialogue on the eve of Shangri -La's dialogue, saying that the most serious diplomacy and military crisis in Washington and Beijing will expand in the next few years because of the opposition between Taiwan and Beijing.

Comprehensive their arguments and claims, although the United States and China hope to use the recovery of communication dialogue to base the spiral relationship between the two countries. Even so, it cannot effectively respond to the most difficult Taiwan problem.The wrong cognition of each other and the construction of a military crisis treatment mechanism.

Most people think that Li Shangfu still ranks the list of US sanctions, and the two sides insist that they are unwilling to make concessions, causing the defense ministers to break the situation. This is just the fuse on the table.The decision -making considerations of the United States and China for the Defense Minister Council cover factors such as comprehensive strategic competition, geopolitics and domestic politics. In addition, the Taiwan issue that has not made a compromise space, restore military communication dialogue, construct risk control and crisis treatment mechanism is indeed the most difficult.Project.

Austin said at the meeting that "dialogue is not a reward, but necessary". The more dialogue can avoid misjudgment of conflict;On the basis of equality, in other words, China is determined to break the US -led model.

Shangri -La dialogue was officially named "Asia Security Summit", with a total of more than 49 countries and 600 representatives attended. Li Shangfu came here this time and directly challenged the U.S. Indo -Pacific strategy at the most important Indo -Pacific Security Forum to protest the United States.Try to promote the "NATO" in the Asia -Pacific.Austin held bilateral and multilateral talks with the defense ministers such as Japan, South Korea, Australia, etc., so as to show the United States to block China again and maintain the intention of the advantage in the Indo -Pacific region.The meaning of giving up is the slightest.

The Right Rate Rate Rate of Taiwan Strait

U.S. -China relations cannot break away from Taiwan. Austin and Li Shangfu basically reiterated their consistent positions and expressed their common views on the consequences of war.Austin said that maintaining the relationship between the peace and stability of the Taiwan Strait and the world, "the conflict of the Taiwan Strait will be disastrous." Li Shangfu also said, "If there is a fierce conflict between China and the United States, it will be an unbearable pain in the world."

The US -China warships and military planes are restrained in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. The action will become more violent."Warships and military planes", under the lack of effective communication pipelines and crisis treatment mechanisms, the probability of military conflict in the Taiwan Strait has risen, and Taiwan has no doubt that serious consequences should be assumed.

The three -sided relationship between the United States and China and the Taiwan Strait has changed its qualitatively since President Trump. The United States is no longer the "peace guarantor" of the Taiwan Strait. Under the continuous challenge of the three parties, the "status quo" is difficult to maintain.The governance emphasizes the subjectivity of Taiwan, cutting the "Republic of China", and strong anti -China and hatred; Beijing adheres to the "peace reunification" policy, but it is even more highlighted that it will not give up the will and preparation of Wu Tong;"Taiwan" has become a tool for check -in Beijing.