On May 14, Thailand held the second national election since the coup in 2014.The reason why it has attracted attention from all walks of life is not only the first national election after the epidemic, but also because this election can be regarded as the competition between the new faction and the military department. Whether the Thai people are really shown in the polls are tired of the old old man.It is governed by a military strong man.Furthermore, due to the selection, candidates from all parties and factions Lin Li (a total of 67 political parties registered for elections).election.
Sure enough, the results of the invoicing show that the advanced party (representative color) led by the Tower has obtained 151 seats of the 500 seats in the House of Commons.Followed by the pre -election polls, the Thai party (the representative color is red), led by the former Prime Minister's daughter Peitantan to win 141 seats.The two military strong men who represent the military forces "Double Baba" Bayu and Bavavi and their parties have only 76 seats together. Compared with the last 116 seats, it was nearly one third.For the sake.
Let's talk about several unexpected situations. The original optimistic is the Thai party and Peitan, and to lose the emerging forward party.It is no longer a two -point method of non -yellow or red.The people's boredom of the traditional binary opposition has given the space for the rise of the third forces. This can be seen from the last future of the party's future.Secondly, Daxin's influence is also increasingly slight in Thailand. Although it still has basic support, it is impossible to copy the absolute majority of the absolute majority of the majority in one third of the year.Before the election, Zhenzhen told supporters that he would not cooperate with the advanced party, but after the results were announced one after another, he immediately changed his attitude to express his willingness to jointly form a cabinet to seek the stable development of Thailand.Friends, there are no eternal enemies, only eternal interests. "
Another interesting role is Antein and his Thai pride.The party performed well in this election, obtained 71 seats with a voting rate of about 2.8%, and was promoted to the third largest party in Congress.Although he is also considered a pro -military person, he has served as deputy prime minister and Minister of Health for many years in the Bayu Government Cabinet, but his background of billionaires, the anti -epidemic prevention of the epidemic, and the party's advocacy of the legalization of marijuana.Voters who attract a certain part.The 70 -next -House seats seem to be unable to go up, but in fact, it can be combined to combine the remaining forces of "double babies". There is a chance to negotiate with the two major parties of Orange and Red, and strive for the lack of cabinet members and ministers.There are media analysis in Thailand that Arnatin may be the biggest beneficiary of this election to collect fishermen.
There are still variables in the candidate of the Prime Minister
As the general election is settled, there are still many challenges to overcome whether Thailand can successfully generate a new government without accident.Due to the new constitution in 2014, the Prime Minister must be selected by the 250 seats of the upper House (members of the military) and 500 seats (elected members) of the House of Lower, which is the support of more than 375 members.The progressive party and the Thai party have a total of 292. Even if there is a whole couple of Thailand's proud party, it is only 363 seats.It is true that there are 25 seats of the old Democratic Party and other sporadic small parties. There are indeed more than half of the opportunity, but who is the prime minister, how to allocate each department, I am afraid that each group has its own interests.Three months later, the Prime Minister's election can observe whether Thailand can successfully form a new government.
Carefully review the changes in the political territory of this time. The ruling alliance is unexpectedly unexpected. From the continuous striving for democratic street movements, to the forces presented by several elections in the pastThe dissatisfaction of the military's governance; coupled with the surge in economic low and unemployment caused by the epidemic, the voice of "replacement" has always been fermented in the folk.Although Bayu acknowledged the defeat, whether it was really "going home" and was willing to let go of the power of nine years, it would take some time to observe.
Orange power has emerged in the past few years, and it is not denying that young ethnic groups have accounted for a large proportion.Everyone will open the campaign check of the people. If you give 100 subsidies, I will give the 200 case in the campaign.The huge intermediate voters who are dissatisfied with political fighting in politics are the key to the party's victory.Interestingly, young people participating in politics are not only Thailand, in other countries in Asia, and even Taiwan and Japan. In recent years, there are many excellent young candidates and third forces different from traditional.They also know how to use the Internet and public opinion to establish a character settings that are conducive to themselves. Even "double babies" frequently on the show before election, or interviewed by Internet celebrities; for the Thai party, they also actively create Peitan's "young, female"The people of the people are the pivotal role of this generation of new media in the election.
The Pioneer's Putin's Putin is naturally shaped as a new political star. Harvard graduation and 42 -year -old said in an exclusive interview with Reuters that he resolutely "anti -corruption, anti -dictatorship", and will actively seek to raise funds with other political parties.For the new government, it will live up to expectations and will represent the Prime Minister of the Prime Minister on behalf of the party.It is just that the party's position in the royal family is controversial. They advocate the guilty of the amendment to Article 112 of the Criminal Law on the crime of "negotiating the royal family" and give the conservative forces the opportunity to label them with the "anti -royal family".In addition, in the issue of supporting same -sex marriage and liberalization of alcohol, the position of the advanced party is well supported by young people and urban residents, but it may not resonate with the same resonance in the government and the countryside.These are likely to become the obstacle to the governance of the pagoda, or at least become a trade -off that he must face when he forms a cabinet.
The chairman of the Myanmar Industry and Commerce Association in Thailand, and also said in the university, said that Huangiang must be able to compromise in many policies in order to find the support of conservative members; while "Shuangba" controlledThe 250 -seat House is still an indispensable force.If the Tower blindly wants to fulfill his promise to "reform the army and the royal family" before the election, it may cause a huge rebound. At that time, the Thai politics may face another turbulent.No one wants to see this situation.
The author is the United Nations Advisor of the Information Technology Department
