In response to the first call of China and the United States, interviewees on both sides of the Taiwan Strait pointed out that this can only show that Xi -worship still maintains regular communication channels and is willing to manage risks together.The "transfer" method reduces the specifications of visiting Taiwan, or it is completely canceled, and there are still divergent opinions.
U.S. President Biden and the Chinese official on Thursday (July 28) made more than two hours of call.
The White House officials later described the media to describe the "frankness and substantialness" of this call. Mainland China described it as "frank communication and communication", but neither parties used "constructive" terms.Continue to talk about each other.
On the next day, the Taiwanese government spokesman Zhang Yanhan and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Friday to Biden reiterate the consistent policy of the US government, opposed the unilateral change of the status quo and destroying the peaceful and stable behavior of the Taiwan Strait, expressing gratitude.
Researcher Yan Zhensheng, a researcher at the International Research Center of the University of Political Science, pointed out to the United Morning Post that after a few times of the practice of worship, the content of the speech of Taiwan has formed its own expression but does not deny each other.Maintaining communication pipelines, lack of substantial content.
Huang Kuibo, an associate professor at the Department of Foreign Affairs of the University of Politics, also believes that the mutual trust between Beijing and Washington is still insufficient. Because Perlis cannot be confirmed that Plose is "not in Taiwan", Chinese officials have not released any benefits in the call, which has reduced the release of Biden Biden.Space of friendly conditions.
Scholar: Xiwai Call means that Perosi visit Taiwan is reduced
However, there are also senior officials in Taiwan who believe that the possibility of Perlis' visit to Taiwan is reduced.
Joint Daily quoted the former Secretary -General of the National Security Council, Su Qi, said that after the presence of Xi -worship, Pelosi was less likely to be in Taiwan.The bill must be supported by Pelosi, so Peros must be announced by Peross.
The attitude of the US public opinion in Perosi to visit Taiwan has also changed recently. The Social Putting on the 27th of the Washington Post clearly suggested that Perosi delayed his visit to Taiwan.The National Broadcasting Corporation News Network NBC News reported that Pelosi led a delegation to Asia on the 29th local time, scheduled to visit Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and Singapore.
Pelosi or "turn to Taiwan"
Analysis of Yan Zhensheng, Perosi will be ugly in the United States if Perlis will cancel his visit to Taiwan under the threat of Beijing.
On the other hand, the Ministry of National Defense of Mainland China has come forward to warn "never sitting at a glance", which also shows that the situation is serious.However, given that the CCP is about to hold the 20th National Party Congress (20th National Congress), although Beijing cannot show weakness, it does not want to have a branch.
As a result, Yan Zhensheng believes that Pelosi is likely to come to Taiwan to "turn". Taiwan Tsai Ing -wen and other politicians do not meet with her. Perhaps it is a step down that can be accepted by all parties.
Zhu Feng, dean of the School of International Relations of Nanjing University, pointed out in an interview with this newspaper that Perosi was at this time that he wanted to get the final political capital before he stepped down after the November election in the United States;The party regards this as a symbol of the so -called "US obligation to Taiwan's obligations and responsibilities".
Zhu Feng pointed out to this newspaper that the differences between China and the United States and Taiwan still exist.
The Chinese policy in the United States has changed a lot. The United States has changed to maintain the "unofficial" relationship against Taiwan in the past, and the position that recognizes cross -strait issues in "peaceful and unified".The guarantee of freedom, so mainland China is very dissatisfied with Perosi to visit Taiwan and has no room for concession.
Pelosi will be ugly in the United States to cancel the visit to Taiwan under the threat of Beijing.On the other hand, the Ministry of National Defense of Mainland China has come forward to warn "never sitting at a glance", which also shows that the situation is serious.However, given that the Chinese Communist Party is about to hold the 20th National Congress, although Beijing cannot show weakness, he does not want to have extraordinary branches ... Pelosi is likely to come to Taiwan to "turn".Go down the step.
-The Politburo of Taiwan
Researcher at the International Research Center
Yan Zhensheng
