Dawei: If Harris is elected as the US President Sino -US relations, the current stabil

The coming US presidential election will be a key election for the United States to find future directions, and the results will also affect the development of Sino -US relations.If the Democratic President's candidate Harris wins, the current stability of Sino -US relations will be extended and may move towards some new normal; if the Republican Trump is elected, China and the United States will fight again, and the relationship between the two countries will be delayed.

Director of the Strategic and Security Research Center of Tsinghua University and Professor of the Department of International Relations, Da Wei, Tuesday (September 3) At the United Morning Post in the Asian Foreign -looking Summit , he delivered a keynote speech based on the title of "the future of American elections and Sino -US relations".

Dawei studied that the November US presidential election is very important because the United States may achieve generations of transformations, from the end of the current president Biden and Trump to a new generation.

He explained that the new generation of Democrats and Republicans represented by Harris and Trump's deputy chooses Wans are on the front desk.No matter who won the election, these young politicians will become the main helmsman of the future in the future.

and their political parties are likely to start a process of governing for 12 consecutive years.If the Republican wins, Trump or President of the Four years, Eight years ; If the Democratic Party won, Biden had been the president for four years. If Harris took over for four years and was re -elected for four years, the party would be in power for 12 years.

"So whether it is the Republican or Democratic Party, its continuous governance will largely determine the future of the United States."

Dawei has long studied US diplomacy and security strategies, Sino -US relations, etc.He has worked in the China Institute of Modern International Relations in the Ministry of Modern International Relations of the Ministry of National Security for more than 20 years and has served as the director of the institute of the institute of the institute.He also served as a senior visiting scholar at the Atlantic Council and John Hopkins University.

According to Da Wei's observation, the Democratic Party and Republican Party have commonality, and they are saying goodbye to neo -liberalism and moving towards nationalism and populism. The two parties' policies for China are also close.At the same time, the two parties are also different.A>, plus he has not governed in the past four years, so the Democratic Party's expectations are stronger than the Republican Party.

Dawei evaluation, such differences, and the results of the United States this time, will largely affect how long Sino -US relations can move towards stability, and how to stabilize.Essence

The first scene is Harris victory, Sino -US relations may move towards some new normal. Although the development of relations between the two countries will still be negative, the current stability will be extended.", Will gradually be stable and clear in the next four years.

In this scene, the concept of Sino -US relations may also be settled.The United States has long defined Sino -US relations with strategic competition, but has not been recognized by China because China believes that the United States has implemented policies for China and delayed China's development.Although China and the United States do have inevitable competition in the fields of military, artificial intelligence, and strategic technology, contradictions in international order, ideology, geopolitics, etc. are exaggerated.If Harris is elected, Dawei predicts that the two countries can re -define the "competition" between each other.

The second scene is that the Republican Trump was elected, China and the United StatesThe relationship will face great challenges in the short term .

Dawei predicts that China and the United States will fight again, and the relationship between the two countries will be delayed again.The new round of trade war and scientific and technological warfare may be staged, and civil exchanges are expected to be blocked again, which will inevitably lead to China's counterattack and the interaction upgrades between the two sides.

But even so, Dawei believes that the return of Sino -US relations to stability is still possible, but the process will be delayed, at least two or three years later than the first scene.

In the interview link, he answered the question from Han Yonghong, deputy editor -in -chief of the host and the deputy editor -in -chief of the Morning Post, and said that after the meeting between the two heads of state in November last year in San Francisco, Sino -US relations have finally been relatively stable.href = "https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20240829-4570956" R = NOFOLOW TARGET = _blank> Sarawn, US National Security Consultant, visited China last week, and summarized the two countries.The meaning and lesson of the relationship in the past four years.

Da Wei expects, no matter who won the election, Bayeng has been trialing and error in the past four years, which can allow stable Sino -US relations to continue until the next government and the next American political cycle.

However, Da Wei does not rule out the deterioration of the relationship between the two countries, resulting in a stable opportunity.

He said that if China and the United States really moved towards military conflicts, it would be difficult to have such a stable opportunity."Can Sino -US relations be able to withstand such an impact, and when you see the other party do something, do you think the other party has done wrong, can you do the right thing, I think this is a big one for ChinaTest. "