Taiwan media polls: Ke Wenzhe Hou Youyi is quite Lai Qingde is still leading

The latest poll data from the Taiwan United Daily News shows that in the 2024 Taiwan election, Lai Qingde's support rate remained at the highest, and Ke Wenzhe Houyiyi all had about 20%of the support rate.If the independent candidate Guo Taiming enters the game, it has the greatest impact on Ke Wenzhe's election.

The United Daily News was announced on Wednesday (September 27) that Lai Qingde, a DPP candidate in the latest polls, supports rate of 30%.Hou Youyi is 20%; Kehou's support rate has been within the scope of sampling error.

The founder of the Hon Hai Group Guo Taiming was successfully entered as an independent candidate, and the support rate of the four will be 28%, Ke Wenzhe 20%, Hou Youyi 18%, Guo Taiming 10%Essence

Analysis shows that in addition to attracting about 13%of neutral voters support, Guo Taiming also brought 17%of Ke Wenzhe supporters. This ratio is higher than Hou and Lai supporters.Therefore, Guo Taiming's joining the battle on the war situation on Ke Wenzhe has the greatest impact.

Joint newspaper analyzed the past few poll data. In the past five months, the biggest change in the election is Hou Youyi, and its support rate has gradually declined from 29%at the end of April to 20%.Lai Qingde's support rose slowly from 27%at the end of April to 30%; Ke Wenzhe changed much, and his support hovered around 22%.At the same time, watched voters increased from 22%at the end of April and 27%in late May to 30%of the survey.

Analysis believes that Hou Youyi ’s support is related to the Kuomintang supporters and political parties’ s neutral voters.Among them, the ratio of the Kuomintang supporter's support rate from 74%at the end of April, 70%in late May to 61%of the survey; the ratio of the neutral neutral voters also ranged from 22%at the end of April, 15 in late May 15%, Dropped to 11%.

The party condensation of Lai Qingde and Ke Wenzhe is higher than Hou Youyi. At present, 83%of the DPP and 73%of the people's party branches are supporting. In addition, about 18%of the supporters of the Blue Camp support Ke Wenzhe.

The polls were carried out from September 22nd to 25th. A total of 1082 adults visited 1082 people. At the level of 95%of confidence, the sampling error was within 3 percentage points of the positive and negative.