The latest polls released by the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation showed that the support of Taiwan ’s Vice President and the President of the DPP Lai Qingde in the“ three -footed ”(competition) support fell by 10 percentage points to reach33.4%.
The Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation issued a press release on the official website on Tuesday (September 26) to inform the above information.
According to the press release, the polls asked the interviewed objects: "The Taiwan election in 2024. At present, it may be competed by the DPP Lai Qingde, the Kuomintang Hou Youyi and the People's Party Ke Wenzhe.The results found that 33.4%of the respondents supported Lai Qingde, 27.4%of Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi's support for 17.2%and 15.5%, and 6.6%had no opinion, do not know, and refused to answer.
Compared with August, the competitive situation of Lai Qingde, Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi has changed dramatically, and the three people have unchanged.Rise 3.6 percentage points.
The situation in the election in September changed. Lai Qingde, who was far ahead, fell 10 percentage points, causing structural tightening election competition.Although he still maintains a stable lead, the overall election has turned peaks and the state of dramatic return to the state before August strongly implies the uncertainty of the presidential election process and results.
According to the analysis of the Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation, Lai Qingde's preliminary explanation of 10 percentage points was that the happy time effect in August had ended, and the explosive emergencies of imported egg controversy caused a systemic crisisNot only did the support of the DPP, but also the prestige of Cai Yingwen, seriously injured the administrative president Chen Jianren's cabinet's administrative satisfaction, and caused heavy harm to Lai Qingde's presidential election.
The happy time effect in August refers to the visit of Lai Qingde as a group with a special envoy as a president, creating unprecedented media exposure.Following away from the overall state of Lai's favorable.
This poll period is from September 18th to 20th during the visits of the polls. The object is adults over 20 years old in Taiwan; the sampling method is randomly sampled by the two -bottom volume of market dialects and mobile phones., Mobile phones account for 30%.There are 1077 people with valid samples, 753 people in the market, and 324 mobile phones; the sampling error is about 2.99 percentage points at the level of 95 % confidence.
