Dong Liwen, a scholar of Taiwan Guoan Think Tank, judged the detonation point of the Taiwan Strait War in the future. It may be that mainland China has formulated a unified legal practice after two years of completing the "democratic consultation" of Taiwan. Once the Taiwan refuses, the PLA will be famous.
Military scholar Ma Zhenkun believes that Beijing has maintained a high growth of military expenditure budgets under the low economic growth, showing that strong military is better than strong people's livelihood, worrying about the mainland to move towards poor soldiers; calling on the cross -strait to rebuild military mutual trust and avoid misjudgment of the Taiwan Strait military conflict.
The Symposium on Monday (March 6) of the Taiwan National Policy Research Institute was hosted, and scholars invited scholars to interpret this year's "two sessions" in mainland China.
Professor Dong Liwen, the president of the National Security Conference of the Presidential Palace and the CEO of the Asia -Pacific Peace Foundation, pointed out that this year's two sessions mainly focus on mainland economic and social issues.The announcement of the new policy of Taiwan, but the three people's conversations are worthy of in -depth observation.
First, the focus of Chinese officials participating in the focus of the group meeting and speaking; the second is the first think tank of Zhongnanhai, the first think tank of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference from Wang Yang, who is about to take over the chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference.The chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference is the second leader in Taiwan after the official Chinese official.The third is whether Li Zhanshu, Chairman of the National People's Congress, will mention the Taiwan -related bill.
Dong Liwen is also a professor at the Department of Public Safety of the Central Police University and a member of the Taiwan Think Tank Consulting.He summarized Wang Huning's conversation from Taiwan last year to the present, and believes that the three keywords "the whole process of people's democracy", "negotiated democracy" and "new political party system" will integrate the CCP's new discussion of Taiwan's policy to resolve cross -strait democracy and policies."The process of grabbing Taiwan's democratic banner and beautifying the unity of the two systems and two systems of democratic negotiations."
He pointed out that since Song Tao, the director of the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Mainland China, has met with nine groups of people in Taiwan, including representatives from Lu and Taiwan, Taiwan compatriots and Taiwanese businessmen, Kuomintang, and representatives from agriculture, fishery, palace temples and grassroots."Create unity by democratic negotiations", but none of them refuted in the mainland, or returned to Taiwan to clarify their positions.
Dong Liwen believes that this may be the detonation point of the next cross -strait war. That is, after Beijing spends about two years to complete the process of democratic consultation against Taiwan, no matter who is in power, "Chinese officials will propose claiming that cross -strait democracy has passed cross -strait democracy that has passed cross -strait democracy.The negotiation 'clear overall strategy of solving the Taiwan issue' "and formulate new laws to practice unity.
He said: "In that circumstances, if Taiwan is not willing to unify, the CCP will be more famous for Taiwan's martial arts to ensure the fourth term of China's official."
Professor Ma Zhenkun, the former director of the Institute of Military Affairs of the Communist Party of China of the National Defense University, pointed out that under the slowdown of economic development, the national defense military expenditure budget still has a high proportion of high proportion, showing that the focus of national development strategy is that strong army is better than strong people's livelihood than strong people's livelihood., To accelerate the modernization of the army to realize the dream of a strong army.He is worried that if the economic growth of the mainland will slow down in the future, the military expenses will continue to soar, and it will be like entering the state of poor soldiers.
He said that the mainland faced nearly 20%in the face of economic downturn and the unemployment rate of youth. The army was strengthening the recruitment of college students from the army and expanding its arms exports in order to raise economic momentum.
Ma Zhenkun said that the PLA has slowed down against Taiwan, but it maintains the countermeasures of the United States and Taiwan to interfere with Taiwan.
He calls on the conflict of the Taiwan Strait on both sides of the strait, and should be converted from the mainland to focus on the military curbing Taiwan independence to emphasizing the opportunity to promote unification, and rebuild cross -strait military mutual trust."Taiwan Strait military conflict.
Professor Tian Hongmao, chairman and dean of the National Policy Research Institute, commented on the concluding concluding. Last year, Taiwan's discussion focus on the discussion of the two sessions was to fight. This year's tone has turned into a policy of discussing the United Front, dialogue and integration;In the election, it is estimated that Beijing has also taken into account that "in the past to scare Taiwanese voters with a strong breath", so it is always counterproductive, so it emphasizes pragmatic and softer to the platform.
