Go to Taiwan in May to arrive in Taipei the next morning. When eating breakfast next to the coffee shop next to the north gate of the century -old monument, the notice from the mobile phone screen continues to pop up the major news institutions: The People's Liberation Army launched Taiwan for two daysMilitary exercises.

It is reported that the main military performance of the main military was more than the then US House of Representatives Perosi's military exercise after visiting Taiwan in 2022.

Under the bombardment of a series of information, I immediately felt that the Taiwan Strait was densely clouded, and there was a kind of mountain rain.But looking up at the surrounding area, the people in Taiwan were either enjoying meals or laughing with friends and couples, as if they were already strange to the main military performance.

I couldn't help asking: "Is the Taipei people really so indifferent to the main military?" With this question, when he listened to the song at the music restaurant EZ5 that night, he asked three older brothers at the age of 60.

One of them said calmly that the main military play was just "doing it" and would not really fight.He explained that after all, the two sides of the strait belonged to the same nation, and laughed "Chinese people do not hit the Chinese."The other two elder brothers present were also concluded, and they also thought that the two sides would not really fight. In addition to national emotions, there was a more realistic level: there is the United States to support the waist.

They took the 1996 Taiwan Strait missile crisis as an example. At that time, everyone thought that mainland missiles would really fly over, and many rich people sell houses to immigrate overseas.When the United States sent an aircraft carrier battle group to the Taiwan Strait, everything was fine.

The same problem, I threw a few Taipei young people who drank outside the door of the bar Fake Sober the next night.

The first sentence they said, "I feel no", "Not the first time it happened", and then began to complain that the DPP government's attitude and position were not hard enough, and dare not yell with the mainland.It has only evolved into the situation that the main island of the main island in Taiwan.

They said that if the cross -strait war really broke out, the United States would help defend Taiwan because of morality, because Taiwan bought a lot of American weapons.After listening, I couldn't help wondering: "Isn't it because the United States needs Taiwan chips?"

The presidential election will be held in November, and American public opinion generally believes that the probability of former President Trump's return to the White House is high.Trump said in an interview with Times Magazine in April that in many cases, for the United States, "internal enemies are much more dangerous than external enemies such as China and Russia."He also refused to answer questions about whether the cross -strait conflict occurred in the case of defense against Taiwan.

If Trump enters the oval office again, will he help Taiwan when he is pursuing his national interests?

In January of Foreign Policy Magazine, Timothy S.Rich, a professor of political science and international public opinion laboratory at the University of West Kenka, was published in January.The article quoted the polls that more than 60%of Taiwanese had no confidence in US defense Taiwan.

The results of the polls announced by the European and American Institute of Taiwan Central Research Institute also showed that the people who agreed to the United States were only 33.9%of the Taiwanese people who talked about credit countries.Some scholars evaluated that this may be caused by the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine war and the US government's reaction.

It seems that whether it is the elder brother or the answer of young people, it does not necessarily represent the ideas of most people in Taiwan.However, it also reflects that some Taiwanese are full of contradictions and doubts, not because they do not understand the mainland's plans, but because they do not know the true intentions of the United States.

With the continued intensification of the competition between China and the United States, cross -strait relations that the strengths of the two countries will become more difficult to predict.How Taiwan is to be on its own, not a victim of the two strong pivotal power, which requires great wisdom.