Li Mingzhu: Will the ＂horrible balance＂ of the Korean Peninsula be broken next year

Source: Hong Kong Zhongtong News Agency

Author: Li Mingzhu

Despite the two fronts of Russia and Ukraine, the annual end -end results report released by the US Department of Defense on the 27th shows that the United States continues to deploy in the Indo -Pacific region this year.The various operations of the United States have also led to the heating up of the opposition of the Korean Peninsula.Kim Jong -un, General Secretary of the North Korean Workers' Party, ordered to accelerate the preparations for combat on the 27th to fight back the "confrontation" in the United States.Looking forward to the new year, how long can the "horrible balance" formed by the Korean Peninsula will last, will the situation on the Korean Peninsula be fired on a new "shock source"?

The US report described that the United States and allies have achieved historic achievements this year, making the United States more motorized, tough and fatal in the Indo -Pacific region, including strengthening intimidation against the Korean Peninsula.The United States is deploying cutting -edge military capabilities to develop the ability to "maintain scare" in the Indo -Pacific region in the future.

Yu Xiao, deputy dean of the Northeast and Northeast Asia Research Institute of Jilin University, analyzed the reporter from the Hong Kong News Agency on the 28th. It was subject to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.The issue of Northeast Asia and the South China Sea is moving.As the Korean Yin Xiyue government is at the forefront, the United States and South Korea have increased their secrets, and the trend of pressure on North Korea this year is even more obvious.

On the occasion of the results of the United States this year, the ninth plenary session of the Eighth Central Committee of the North Korean Worker Party held the second day on the 27th.The North Korean Society reported that because the United States and its unprecedented anti -dynasty conspiracy activities followed by the United States and its influence, the tension of the Korean Peninsula reached the limit.Kim Jong -un proposed to further accelerate the preparation of war and expand the strategic cooperative relationship with the development of the anti -emperor's independent country.

"This is North Korea's prediction of the future." Yu Xiao pointed out that due to the strengthening of the deployment of the United States and South Korea, the tensions and the degree of distrust between the two sides have been upgraded. In the future, North Korea may further show a tough attitude.Strengthen countermeasures and fight against the US -South Korea series.

In addition to increasing military bases in the Philippines this year, the United States also tried to disturb the situation of the Hunan Peninsula.The "nuclear protection umbrella" provided by Han Xujie expands it, and agrees that military exercises will be included in nuclear combat drills for the first time; the United States has also dispatched nuclear power carriers to enter the Peninsula, which has increased unprecedentedly to intervene in the peninsula;F-35 stealth fighter, etc., "astronomical amount" involved.

During the year, North Korea "tricked".North Korea launched a military reconnaissance satellite, and South Korea suspended the effectiveness of some terms of the joint declaration of Pyongyang in September to restore the surveillance of North Korean reconnaissance on the military division line.People in the industry described that the tension of the Korean Peninsula this year heated up.

Yu Xiao said that the United States and South Korea's consistent strategy is to maintain strategic and military advantages to balance North Korea and avoid substantial conflicts.However, this imbalance will lead to the lack of security in North Korea. Therefore, North Korea sought to strengthen cooperation with Russia, narrowing the imbalance with the United States and South Korea, and increased chips.Both camps have movements, which also further intensifies the confrontation.

As for whether the situation in the peninsula next year will wipe the gun away?Yu Xiao believes that the risk of small -scale wiping guns in the North Korean border and the maritime boundary has increased, but it is expected that the general direction will continue this year, that is, although the confrontation and deployment of the two parties will be strengthened.The possibility is unlikely.

Military Expert Song Zhongping told the Hong Kong News Agency on the same day that when North Korea supports nuclear, the United States has increased the use of nuclear weapons to support Japan and South Korea, which has formed a "horrible balance".Because Japan and South Korea itself does not want military conflict on the peninsula, and China Russia is also an important deterrent.Therefore, although the situation of the Korean Peninsula will be further nervous, it will also be in a terrible balance.