The most basic requirement (even the only demand) of Muslim Audit is Israel's bottom line: the existence of Israel.This makes concessions impossible for any party.Faced with the threat of force attack or force attack, Israel cannot be as the appealing or expectations of many international relations -to show the opportunity to give peace to peace.
Hamas's "Pearl Hong Kong Raiders" (inhibitory or "September 1st") launched by Israeli Audit Organization of Palestine region), will be increasingly carried on the international media layout in recent years in recent years.The Papa conflict problem pulled back the front page.Why did the Israeli fate that armed tooth suffered the largest raid since the Atonement Day?What kind of defense mistakes have caused Hamas to attack so fatal?Is Hamas planned alone or another mastermind to help plan a comprehensive assault on such a coordinated coordination?These issues have to be cleared after the fog of war, and the battlefield situation is gradually clarified.At present, the chaotic missile trajectory, the stubborn wall after the explosion, the crying relatives, and the frightened theater people still constitute the main picture of another regional war in the Cold War era.
No surprise, calling on the sound of peace, peace talks, and dialogue immediately appeared. Like all conflicts in the past, it reflects the good wishes of the world's hobbies and peaceful people.However, for Israel, if it is discussed on the premise of "the existence of Israel" and the bottom line, peace is exactly the unavailable luxury.This is also the most paradoxical and difficult to solve the relationship between the Pakistani relations in the situation in the Middle East.
The international community cannot restrain the militia
The main opponent of the beginning of Israel was the sovereign country of the Arab world.From the next day, the Arab countries that came from the Eight Scenes, to the war of atonement, and immersed in the Six -Day War Speed Speed Rongguang.The main body of behavior, they have a systematic violence, and at the same time they have to assume the internal civil governance responsibility, which is bound to be subject to the international community.
Therefore, there can be no later peace talks in 1978 (also known as David Camp) in 1978.At that time, the US President Carter used the country's relationship between the United States and the United States, and the influence and even reshaping the state relationship between Egypt.Since then, the Pakistani Organization faction led by Arafat has gradually transformed into the quasi -national behavior, making Palestine's governance official evolved from the "mountain king" -like radical organization to the first -level international acting subject to undertake the governance and regional foreign communication responsibilityEssenceThis is actually the efforts of the international community trying to resolve the Pakistani conflict in traditional ways. The focus is still on the peace under the restriction of national relations to achieve peace under international supervision.
However, the key role in the Pakistani conflict also includes the international behavior subject of radical organizations. At present, such organizations are relatively more than in Israel in terms of quantity.Hamas is such an organization.These organizations undertake the responsibility of governance in the domain, and the focus is still on the ideal ideal of ideology; and they hardly bear the responsibilities of foreign exchanges.From the perspective of radical organizations, the focus of "revolution has not been successful" at this stage, and the focus of "breaking and standing" is still "breaking", so they are not very concerned about the guarantee of peaceful external environments on internal civil governance.
Because "the revolution has not yet succeeded", any peaceful actions of Arab sovereignty or quasi -sovereign state will be regarded by some radicals as betrayal.The support of people who are also dissatisfied with the unfinished revolution.Hamas rises.The international community can restrain Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and even Iran. It can also restrict the officials of Palestinian governance to the status of the country.
Israel cannot give up force
The most basic requirement (even the only demand) of Islamic radical organizations is the bottom line of Israel: the existence of Israel.This makes concessions impossible for any party.Faced with the threat of force attack or force attack, Israel cannot be as the appealing or expectations of many international relations -to show the opportunity to give peace to peace.
Unlike other countries that emphasize external threats in the world, Israel is the strong enemy of "dead heart" from the beginning of the country from the beginning of the country.When the only demand of the enemy is to break through its bottom line, the international relationship game facing Israel is a cruel model of "scaring replacement of peace".This international relationship game model is the lowest, the simplest and rude, the most puzzled, and the most desperate. It is also the most desperate. It is necessary to discharge only one party completely fails (that is, abandoning the demand, for radical organizations, sincerely give up Israel from the IsraelThe demands wiped out on the map; for Israel, the Jews were packaged and left the promise).
Under the "deleting replacement of peace" mode, Israel cannot show weakness, and any manifestation of weakness will be regarded by the enemy as an opportunity to lead to more attacks.In the face of provocations or attacks, Israel must show a stronger confrontation, showing the enemy with a strong force to show the enemy, so that the enemy knows that it is difficult to retreat.If you do not challenge the iron fist, it will make the enemy think that Israel's weaknesses are available and can be used, which can lead to more frequent attacks.
Human society has gone through a "disassembly to replace peace" model, that is, the Cold War.The two US -Soviet camps ensure that they are destroyed with nuclear forces and ensure the existence of "horror and peace".At the beginning of the Cold War, the international community learned from a failed international relationship and learned about the existence of this model. It was the outbreak of the Korean War: the announcement of the US Secretary of State Edison's declaration on the scope of the US defense did not cover it.The Korean Peninsula has promoted Stalin's decision -making decisions that allow and assist Jin Richeng.
Compared to Eva, the scale of the Cold War is larger, which makes the operating space in the situation larger. Under the general mode of "scaring and replacement", it can be mixed with strategic turns such as compromise, concessions, and detour, but but butThe Cold War still failed to end with a complete failure.
The space of the situation in the situation of Baza is even more promulgated, and the strategy can participate in the less space, which makes the "scare exchange of peace" model more naked and stronger., Also deleted with the most direct force.
Israel cannot abandon force to ensure the survival of the country by force, and radical organizations are reluctant to give up the ultimate goal of completely eliminating Israel to completely eliminate.The only demand for the bottom line is the only foundation for guaranteeing peace.This is the suspicion of the "small situation" as the "small situation" in the Middle East situation.: Metaphors use unconventional methods to solve unsolvable problems).
The author is a Beijing cultural worker
