Before the European Union Commission President Feng Delin's visit to China, it proposed that the EU-China relations were too important to be decoupled. Instead, "de-risk", which means that in some areas of choice, such as high-techRestriction with the financial field, not blindly containing China's economic development with the United States without blindly.This concept was originally a financial term, which refers to the implementation of risk factors before the start of investment projects.Feng Delin tried to apply the concept to the diplomatic level, with a clear purpose, in order to enhance the status of the European Commission's leading diplomacy.
The European Commission lacks economic support for Foreign Policy in China.So far, there are only two projects in the hands of the European Commission, namely the "Global Portal" project, investing in developing countries, competing with China's Belt and Road Initiative, and "Green New Deal" environmental protection plan.At the beginning of Feng Delin, he ambitious created "the Geopolitics and EU Commission of strategic independent strategy", but the thunder and rain were small. It was soon abducted by the concept of "institutional competition" proposed by EU bureaucrats in 2019.Then there was the occurrence of the Russian and Ukraine War. The geopolitical construction of the European Commission did not progress. It did not improve the relations with China. Instead, it deteriorated. The across the Atlantic Anti -Russia alliance was supported by the EU member states, and the European Commission had a mediocre role.Therefore, Feng Delin had to propose a new trick.
But Feng Delin's puppets have a short board that is difficult to overcome.
First of all, the EU foreign policy must be passed by a member state.Each member country has a very different interest in China, and it is difficult to reach the risk of any project.Secondly, the European Union's relations with China are defined as "partners, competitors, and strategic rivals". For China, talk about "de -risk" under the framework of strategic opponents.International security generalization and generalization of generalization.
Moreover, the EU's Pharma is still based on the outdated concept of the Seventh Kingdom Group (G7) dominating world affairs, and regards the Western world as a high point of moral system and a global economic center.The Chinese and non -Western world, which accounts for the world's population and economic aggregate as a "risk" source, is precisely the traditional white supremacy and the continuation of colonialism.What the EU really needs is the risk of internal trials and the mentality of "going to colonialism" can improve relations with China.
Interestingly, the United States was highly vigilant about the concept of "de -risk" at first, thinking that it was a new version of "strategic autonomy".Recently, the White House National Security Affairs Assistant, Salvin, publicly proposed that the United States also follows the principle of "de -risk" rather than decoupling.
This move is a double carving.First of all, Macron's visit to China proposed a sharp criticism of cross -Atlantic relations, which brought a great impact on the strategy of integrating the "Democratic League" by the Bayeng government.Shalvin is obviously in order to rapidly meet the cracks that occur in US -Europe relations.In addition, the concept of Feng Delin is extremely beneficial to the integration of the United States in the field of high -tech and finance in the field of high -tech and finance.
However, the audience of the United States is not only the European Union, but also China.
First of all, Chinese leaders have been prepared to be decoupled and began to build a defense system in all aspects, including the promotion of the US dollar international trade market, and independent high -tech development plans.At present, China has seen through the overall strategy of the United States to curb China's overall strategy, and is not interested in communication with high -level communication. The exchanges between the two armies have almost no existence.The aimed to reduce the lectures on the adjustment of the Chinese economy against the Chinese economy, it is difficult to produce substantial results.
Second, Shalvin uses the concept of the European Union to cover up the essence of "decoupling", and has no solution.For China, the biggest "de -risk" is Taiwan.The US -China China policy has gradually become an open "one middle and one" policy, and its strategic blur has been replaced by strategic clearly.The United States is unwilling to have a "de -risk" with China on the Taiwan issue, but continues to increase risk factors.
In short, the seemingly convergence of the "risk" strategy of "de -risks" to China, which seems to be convergence, is unsustainable, because the starting point and purpose of both parties are different.The United States has fully entered the mentality of zero -sum game, and the European Union is still hopeful for win -win.Moreover, this is just the unilateral action of the United States and Europe, and China can use the same logic to counter it.China can restrict the choice of investment in the United States and Europe in the name of national security, and the final result must be a defeat.
The author is a special researcher at Stin Sheng Center in the United States
A special professor of Shanghai Political Science and Law School
