Source: Ming Pao
Ming Pao Society Review
President Xi Jinping made a call with Ukrainian President Zelek last Wednesday to exchange opinions on the relationship between the two countries and the Russian and Ukraine War.China announced that it would send Eurasian affairs to a special representative of Eurasian affairs to visit countries such as Ukraine and other countries to talk about the crisis to communicate with all parties.The call and special representatives went to Ukraine, and the Chinese side implemented the persuasion and promotion initiative to specific actions.After more than a year of battles, the Russian and Ukraine War was stuck, both the two sides of the battle were tired, and the international peace voices gradually became higher. It created favorable conditions for the mediation and talks. Although there are still changes to the negotiating table on the negotiation table, China shows the role of a great power responsibility.And the ability to build a new global governance agenda.
The voices of the battle are gradually getting higher
Chinese initiative to take care of the interests of Russia and Ukraine
China and Ukraine have established diplomatic relations for 31 years, and have formed a "strategic partner".After Zelezzky took office, in July 2021, he passed the phone with Xi Jinping. The two foreign ministers of the two countries have also met or speak many times in recent years. Before the war, China has been in the position of the largest trading partner in Ukraine for 4 consecutive years.After the outbreak of the Russian and Ukraine War, although Western public opinion was extremely stigmatizing in Beijing's position, the basic people of Ukrafe and Zelei had never said bad words to the Chinese side.Kiev welcomes the pragmatic policy of China and welcomes the Chinese peace plan.After the call, Zelei Sky appointed a new ambassador to China, saying that "it will effectively promote the development of relations between the two countries."
At the beginning of the outbreak, Russia and Ukraine had five rounds of negotiations, which were held in Belarus and Turkey. On May 17 last year, the two sides said on the same day that the peace talks were "shelved indefinitely."From the perspective of selfish geopolitical game, the long -lasting battle of the Russian and Ukraine war is beneficial to China, but China has adhered to persuasion and talk about the position since the beginning of the war, and released the Chinese position on the political resolution of the Ukraine crisis at the first anniversary of the war.; Xi Jinping visited Russia in March, and also talked about the Chinese position with Putin; April French President Macron, the Chairman of the European Commission Feng Delin, and Brazilian President Lula visited China.Influential mediation to Russia.China successfully promoted the reconciliation of Saudi Arabia with Iran, which also highlighted Beijing's mediation capabilities.Lula suggested to establish an international "Peace Club" including China, mediation of Russia and Ukraine disputes, and enhanced the voices of peace internationally.It is expected that at the South African BRICS Summit in August, Xi Jinping and Lula will discuss with Putin in person.
In the context of the full efforts of Western countries, Ukraine has set up more prerequisites, but this time Xi Jinping and Zeelianzki's call should be the request of Ukraine.Although according to the recent counterattack, if the "decisive victory" could not be achieved, the Western aid of Ukraine or the end of a strong crossbow would put the Ukraine to undergo pressure.According to data from Pew Research Center, the proportion of Americans who believe that too many Americans in Ukraine have risen from 7%in March last year to 26%in January of this year, and it may continue to rise in the next few months.The battlefield aware of Russia and Ukraine that it is unlikely that it is unlikely to achieve a decisive victory in military affairs and increase the possibility of peaceful negotiations.
In the 12 -point peace initiative of China, the first point is to respect the "sovereignty and territorial integrity" of various countries, which can meet the requirements of Ukraine. The second point is balanced and safe.Pay attention to and properly solve it. "It also provides a down -step level for Russia. This is why both Russia and Ukraine expressed their welcome Chinese solutions.
There are many speculations in the outside world for the motivation for China to actively mediate the conflict of Russia and Ukraine. From softening Europe's tough stance in China, separated from the United States and Europe, to the reconstruction of business opportunities after the war, it is not enough, but obviously underestimated the Chinese ambitionsEssenceChina wants to improve Sino -Europe relations, and also expresses the willingness to participate in the war reconstruction in peace initiatives. In fact, China is more hopeful to make the international image of China responsible for China, just as the "global development initiative", "global security initiative", andLike the "Global Civilization Initiative", it shows that China is more active to participate in constructive global governance.
Harmony Occupy Ethical Highlands
The real stop of the war is still far away
Since the Chinese initiative occupies a moral highland, all parties cannot be confused. Even the United States, which is "opposed to the middle of the middle", can only say to China -Ukraine's head of state.When President Gen is ready, "Putin's spokesman also said," Welcome any practices that can promote the end of the Ukraine conflict and achieve Russian goals. "It shows that in the face of the trend of "peace", either party is avoiding playing the role of "war dealers".
However, we must be soberly realized that the war resources of both Russia and Ukraine have not been exhausted. Recently, the Russian army has strengthened the missile offensive.The window has not yet opened.In order to assist the U -military counterattack, NATO provided a new group of military aids for Ukraine. Among them, the United States also announced on April 19th that it also provided $ 325 million in new military assistance.The Russian army is also stepping up the preparation of the battle to strengthen the Crimean peninsula defense. Putin signed a bill on April 14 to allow recruitment and mobilization of soldiers online, and prohibit the from the notifications from leaving the country.More importantly, the goals set by the two sides are still far away. Even if Russia has obtained the channels of Wudong and the channel to Crimea, it is difficult to offset political and economic losses caused by the war.Under the continuous military assistance in the West, Kiev vowed to recover all the loss of land, and the consensus of Western countries can not be allowed to win, but they are unwilling to see the war upgrade.Approval of Western Gold Lord.
Now, the war is unlikely to stop within this year. Although Zelezzki talks with Xi Jinping, it shows the willingness to talk about peace and talks, but in a complex international background, it is difficult for both Russia and Ukraine to make comparisons.In a compromise, solving the Ukraine crisis through peaceful ways will still be a long and arduous road.
