U.S. President Biden officially announced on April 25th to find a re -election to blow the horn of the Democratic Party's 2024 presidential election.In the three -minute video video that announced his decision, he vowed to continue to fight for the soul of the United States, firmly defending American democracy, and called on voters to complete the task with him.
Unexpectedly, the Republican Party decided to make a decision to seek re -election.Trump criticized Biden as the "worst and most corrupt" president, bringing catastrophic consequences to the United States; the Republican National Committee rebuked Bayeng "out of reality and frequently created a crisis", and warned voters if he was elected again, it would trigger it would trigger it would cause himA series of economic and social dilemma.
However, the pursuit of re -election in the president has become the practice of American political life because they have a huge governing advantage and make the challengers within the party discouraged.On the one hand, the dignity and prestige of the presidential position have given you a dazzling political aura.Even if the party is ambitious in the party, compared with the president who is exposed to the spotlight all day, it is difficult to achieve its popularity and attention.On the other hand, he has controlled strong political resources and has accumulated rich campaign resources. The rational party colleagues will not be self -employed and become a political joke for mantis to block the car.
The United States has produced a total of 46 presidents since the founding of the People's Republic of China, and only four of the re -election have been actively abandoned.In 1951, the US Constitution passed the amendment of Article 22, stipulating that each presidential term must not exceed two sessions.Since then, seeking re -election has become an inevitable choice for previous presidents, and Bayeng has no exception.
In the past few years, Biden may have income under the party's competition, or absorb the policy proposal they put forward, which has eliminated potential challenges.Old opponent Bernie Sanders has publicly announced that he will not participate in the presidential election and promise to endorse the platform for Biden.At present, Biden has received general support from high -level party in the party. Representing the Democratic Party on behalf of the Democratic Party was on the board in 2024.
However, regardless of whether Biden should be re -elected, it has always been endless in the United States. The most commonly mentioned problem is the age.In 1984, the 73 -year -old Reagan was often attacked by his opponent because he was too old.During the presidential debate with the 56 -year -old Democratic candidate Monador, Reagan cleverly countered, claiming that "he did not intend to bully the opponent's age and lack of experience to achieve political purposes."Although Reagan dispels the public's questioning of his age with humorous words, it is an unavoidable reality that he has an unavoidable reality on the normal ability to perform his duties in political elites.
Biden, who has spent his 80th birthday, broke the age of elected president and the age of president, and the public had doubts about his physical condition and mental state.The latest poll results show that more than 70 % of voters believe that he is too old to seek re -election, and more than half of the Democrats who hold this view.In an interview in February, Biden acknowledged that the public's concerns were unreasonable, and he could only prove that he could be competent through actual performance.
What is even more unfavorable is that the governance performance since Biden has not been satisfactory, and the support rate has been hovering at a low position for a long time.Since entering the White House, the public's support for him has been steadily declining, with an average of about 40 %.According to the general election rules, the ratio of supporters of the president is higher than that of the opponents of five to 10 percentage points, so that there will be a greater opportunity to achieve re -election.Obviously, Bayeng is far away from this standard.
Of course, Biden's support in the Democratic Party remains above 80 %, but this phenomenon is closely related to the background of American political polarization.
The Washington Post reported that Biden was not the most popular candidate for Democratic voters, but the best choice at the moment.In order to fight against the resentful Republican Party, they can only support the re -election of Biden, which is a reluctant supporter.
From a longer -term perspective, Bayeng sought re -election and delayed the intergenerational intergeneration of the Democratic Party for four years.In 2016, Obama, who had just passed, ended his term. In the next two years of the US presidential election, the Democratic Party was played by candidates around seventy to form a unique phenomenon of reverse succession. The Democratic Party was struggling.
Harris is a typical example. As a female vice president of several ethnic groups, it has natural political advantages, but the support rate is far less than the previous vice presidents.Therefore, even if Biden was re -elected, whether the Democratic Party could pick up the beam after him, he had to get a big question mark.On the contrary, the Republican Party represented by De Santis has emerged, and has both the achievements of achievement and the reputation of the hearts of the people.This disappears, the Democratic Party may be in a disadvantage in the future presidential election.
The author is a doctoral student in Beijing University of Foreign Studies
It mainly studies American politics and Sino -US relations