Chen Liujun
With the continuity of the Russian and Ukraine War and the results, some countries and regions influenced by Russia have begun to produce Domino card effects.In the opposite direction, the common point is that the relatively calm situation was broken, and the game behind the great powers was obvious, and Russia's national movement was swaying with these bones.
The "bone cards" that have been shaking in the recent shaking are Moldova and Georgia, which makes the world worry that they will become the next Ukraine at any time. After all, Moldova has trembled in the Ukraine War, and Georgia was like Ukraine in 2008. TheyIt only resisted for a week.
The Moldova Parliament passed a bill on March 16 to change all the official language and constitutional official languages to Romanian.This was originally an internal affairs of a country, but the abandoned Moldova was the official language set by the Soviet Union and the language that many Russians in their territories were unwilling to give up. The split in China was deepened to the cultural level. I am afraid it would be a more difficult problem.Moldova is a country that has only two groups that neither join NATO nor Russia's collective security treaty between Russia and NATO; the other country is Ukraine.Therefore, the risks of the two countries are torn by geopolitics.
The history of Moldova belongs to the Eastern camp, but now I want to fall to the West. It is one of the EU applicants. Although there are only more than 3 million people, there is a peacekeeping soldier in Russia in the left region of the German left region.60%of the local population is Russians.The village of Cobasta in Dezuo also has one of the largest arsenal in Europe, which stores about 20,000 tons of ammunition and equipment of the Soviet era.This is greatly attractive for Russia, which consumes huge ammunition on the Ukrainian battlefield.No wonder Russian missiles and fighters often fly over Moldova by intentionally or unintentionally; Moldova can only choose to ignore most of the time, and dare not fell to the West in a short time.
On March 7, the Georgian Parliament passed a bill, that is, a foreign agent law, stipulating that any institution must be registered as a foreign agent if more than 20%of funds from abroad.This bill is considered to be a effort to prevent the infiltration of Western forces from the Russian government. The Russian Federal Councilor Crimov calls it a "independent exam", but obviously the "examination" has not passed because it immediately triggered two days of last two days.A protest of demonstration caused about 50 policemen to be injured, more than a hundred protesters were arrested, and the Georgian ruling party had to withdraw the bill on the 9th.It is worth noting that in this wave of protests, the protesters even waved the national flags in the United States, the European Union and Ukraine, shouting the slogan "Support Ukraine", several times to impact the Georgian parliament and asked the government to step down.This has obviously exceeded the protest of the bill itself, becoming another positive confrontation between West and Russia in Georgia after 2008.
Although Moldova and Georgia are not large and their population is not much, they are both the former Soviet Union to join the Republic and is a ban on Russia. It must not allow any stimuli and turbulence.Unfortunately, most of these areas have not stopped since the Soviet Union disintegrated, and it has become a Domino card that has been swaying around Russia. It reminds the strategic environment of Russians in the strategic environment, which also directly shaped Russia's national security.strategy.
The earliest bone cards were the three Baltic nations. At the beginning of independence, they used the weakness and contempt of Russia, and they fell smoothly to the Western camp for a long time.However, the movement of other bone cards immediately caught Russia's attention, so in 1994, Russia used the Budapest agreement to stabilize Ukraine.A card.
The Lakshenko of White Ross has been in power for nearly 30 years. The close relationship with Russia is one of his important reasons for his long -term governance.Russia's intervention is probably a person who has long been wrong.So the Russian and Bai League now looks better than that of that year.
The turbulent restlessness is the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia in 2020, causing thousands of casualties to come to an end with Russian peacekeeping troops to settle in, but this year there are signs of resurgence in conflict.Last year, there was a domestic political turmoil in Kazakhstan. Although Putin did not like the current President of Kazakhstan, Takayev, Russia still sent troops in the name of Ji'an organization to help calm the turmoil.
Don't forget that at the end of February this year, the five Central Asian countries just received US Secretary of State Brills. Although it is not possible to completely abandon Russia in this region for the time being, the two Central Asian countries have not offended and maintained neutral intentions. They also expressed their same expressions.very clear.
When dealing with the turbulent Domino brand effects in the surrounding countries, whether it is based on historical traditions or the consideration of geographical strategy, it is probably a greater consequences to take a strong and arbitrary practice.China has an old saying that it is worth referenced. "If the far people are not convinced, the cultivation has been cultivated since it is cultivated."
The author is a commentator in Yangzhou, China
