The Housing Development Bureau launched 4,428 units in the pre -order group sales activities in February this year.Although this is higher than 2.5 times in November last year, it is much lower than from February, May and August last year, 5.8 to 7.8 times.The purchase rate in November last year was low, mainly because the HDB launched up to 9,655 units, which was more than doubled than in February this year.

On the other hand, the number of pre -ordering groups in February this year is the least one since February 2020, half less than the number of purchases sold in the past 11 rounds.The median purchase rate for the first subscriber to apply for a three -bedroom and larger units is 1.8 times, which means that the probability of their pumping is quite high.

The Housing Construction Bureau pointed out that preliminary signs showed that the purchase rate of pre -order group housing has declined and stabilized.However, some real estate analysts believe that the low number of purchases in February may be that the location of the project launched by this round of sales activities is not as attractive as before. Some buyers choose to wait until the next round of sales activities to purchase.In addition, the government has recently given the first -time home buying family more provident fund purchase allowance to purchase and resale groups, which may also affect the purchase rate of pre -order group housing.

Different interpretations of the purchase rate reflect the dynamic development of the supply and demand of the HDB.The number of sales units launched by the government, the number of subscriptions, and the other choices of potential subscribers will affect the purchase rate.In addition, the high purchase rate does not necessarily mean that the rigid demand for a house is high.In fact, about 40 % of the subscribers abandoned the purchase right when they were selected by the selection unit.

The crown disease epidemic in more than three years delayed the construction project and also affected the supply of pre -order groups.For the first time, the home buyer turned to the resale group and the public's private house, and pushed the price of the resale group and the private house.The resale group of million yuan was heard, and the price of private houses rose, and the real estate industry's coaxing made many younger generations feel anxious and worried that they could not afford a house.Someone was lonely and decided to buy a private house; some people complained at their preferred place and could not buy their favorite houses.

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The Housing Construction Bureau spared no effort to ensure that the Chinese people can afford and buy a house and accelerate the construction of the housing house. This year, the pre -order group of 20,000 units will be delivered to this year.At the same time, it also greatly increases the supply of pre -order group houses. Last year, more than 23,000 units were launched, and this year will launch an equal amount of units.

The National Development Minister Li Zhisheng said in the debate department of the Congress Delivery Committee's debate department that from this year to 2025, 100,000 houses and private house units are expected to be completed, of which nearly 40,000 will be completed this year, which has been completed in the past five years.The most year.He is confident, and the imbalance of supply and demand will soon improve.

The imbalance of supply and demand for group houses is a periodic phenomenon.During the peak of the 1990s, nearly 150,000 applicants subscribed for the group housing, waiting for seven or eight years, and the Housing Bureau accelerated the speed of building at that time.However, after the Asian financial crisis, many applicants gave up their applications, resulting in 30,000 slow -selling housing units stuck in the HDB.In order to avoid excessive demands, the Housing Bureau launched a pre -order group system.

The crown disease epidemic has once again led to unbalanced supply and demand in the group.Faced with dynamic demand, the Housing Bureau must increase elasticity and toughness in terms of supply.The preliminary planning and preparation time for the construction of the house is quite long, so the supply often cannot keep up with the unpredictable demand.The housing bureau may be able to consider the black swan incident such as crown disease epidemic in planning and supply through big data, and appropriately increase the number of group houses with a short waiting time.

In addition to the supply surface, the HDB can also use behavioral economics to better grasp the changes in demand.In this round of supply and demand imbalances, I believe that many needs originated from the anxiety of the younger generation of the house and purchased the group housing early, or the high -priced and resolding houses and the public's private house;I am afraid to miss the opportunity to make money.Among the pre -order group buyers, up to 40 % of the phenomenon of abandonment of purchasing after the pumping shows that the demand for group houses has great telescopicness.

The construction group is a national policy that is related to the overall situation. In addition to the factors of the real estate itself, it also involves other factors such as population and immigration policy, fertility rate, and external geopolitical changes.Through big data and behavioral economics, the official may reduce the probability of variables and better grasp the cycle of supply and demand for HDB, so that Chinese people will no longer worry about buying or unable to buy a house.